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哥伦比亚大学国际直接投资展望中文版都可以在我们的网站查看:
https://ccsi.columbia.edu/content/columbia-fdi-perspectives
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*Columbia FDI Perspectives*
Perspectives on topical foreign direct investment issues
Editor-in-Chief: Karl P. Sauvant ([log in to unmask])
Managing Editor: Abigail Greene ([log in to unmask])

*The Columbia FDI Perspectives are a forum for public debate. The views
expressed by the authors do not reflect the opinions of CCSI or our
partners and supporters.*

No. 348   January 9, 2023
*How to make global supply chains more resilient*
<https://columbia.us6.list-manage.com/track/click?u=ab15cc1d53&id=7fdfab119f&e=dd153d6a25>
by
Gary Gereffi* <#m_1550552761379828342__edn1>

Global supply chains (GSCs) have become a hot topic, ranging from
pandemic-induced shortages of personal protective equipment and COVID-19
vaccines to military logistics, oil sanctions and wheat blockades following
Russia’s invasion of Ukraine. Most recently, the Biden administration
targeted the US semiconductor industry with direct subsidies in the August
2022 CHIPS and Science Act
<https://columbia.us6.list-manage.com/track/click?u=ab15cc1d53&id=aac0578a52&e=dd153d6a25>.
On the diplomatic front, US Secretary of State Anthony Blinken and
Secretary of Commerce Gina Raimondo hosted a 2022 Supply Chain Ministerial
<https://columbia.us6.list-manage.com/track/click?u=ab15cc1d53&id=30fd737988&e=dd153d6a25>
with 17 partner economies and the European Union on July 19-20 in an effort
to build resiliency through greater international cooperation. Supply-chain
diplomacy involves both bilateral and multilateral initiatives addressing
current vulnerabilities, including the US-EU Trade and Technology Council
<https://columbia.us6.list-manage.com/track/click?u=ab15cc1d53&id=3645bb1163&e=dd153d6a25>,
the Indo-Pacific Economic Framework
<https://columbia.us6.list-manage.com/track/click?u=ab15cc1d53&id=0f66798e64&e=dd153d6a25>
and the Americas Partnership for Economic Prosperity
<https://columbia.us6.list-manage.com/track/click?u=ab15cc1d53&id=cff4cf3dba&e=dd153d6a25>
.

Post-pandemic, companies have four main options to reduce rigidity and increase
resilience
<https://columbia.us6.list-manage.com/track/click?u=ab15cc1d53&id=25fd3146d8&e=dd153d6a25>
in GSCs: make them more *domestic* (e.g., reshoring, stockpiles); make them
*shorter* (e.g., reducing the physical distances traversed by supply chains
through regionalized production
<https://columbia.us6.list-manage.com/track/click?u=ab15cc1d53&id=fb10a40613&e=dd153d6a25>,
such as Mexico and Central America for the US); make them *more diversified*
(e.g., reduce dependence on one or a few countries); and make them more
*digital*
<https://columbia.us6.list-manage.com/track/click?u=ab15cc1d53&id=65179cbb75&e=dd153d6a25>
(e.g., digital versions of real products and using digital technology to
track the supply chain better).

Governments can support these initiatives in the longer term by following
several principles outlined in extensive research carried out on GSCs,
innovation, and development.[1] <#m_1550552761379828342__edn2>

   - *The most important product in GSCs often is not the finished good,
   but rather key components or raw materials.* Semiconductor shortages are
   a classic example because they are critical inputs for many end-product
   industries, from advanced electronics to automobiles and home appliances.
   Similarly, pharmaceutical active ingredients are key for essential
   medicines, while scarce minerals like lithium and cobalt are needed to make
   batteries for electric cars and smartphones. Emphasizing critical
   technologies and geographic shortages can help both governments and
   companies anticipate and overcome supply-chain vulnerabilities.


   - *Focus on solutions for high-priority markets.* Mature products may
   have greater opportunities for quick gains than advanced products. While
   cutting-edge semiconductors require large investments in new and costly
   wafer-fabrication facilities, the shortage of “legacy chips” used in mature
   products like cars and appliances might be addressed more quickly by
   retooling existing factories or alternatively redesigning chips for
   existing production facilities.


   - *International production partnerships are often necessary.*
   Contemporary GSCs can be staggeringly complex, requiring intricate
   cross-border trade and investment collaboration. For example, the COVID-19
   vaccine developed by BioNTech and Pfizer involves 280 components from 86
   suppliers sourced from 19 countries around the world. Furthermore, vaccine
   manufacturers
   <https://columbia.us6.list-manage.com/track/click?u=ab15cc1d53&id=6b3988abc5&e=dd153d6a25>
   follow very different production strategies with numerous international
   partnerships. AstraZeneca has formed manufacturing partnerships
   <https://columbia.us6.list-manage.com/track/click?u=ab15cc1d53&id=ca13a9bc97&e=dd153d6a25>
   with 16 contract manufacturers in 25 sites in 15 countries, and transferred
   technology to the Serum Institute of India, the largest vaccine producer in
   the world. Without such partnerships, which are utilized in most
   industries, governments could not handle the diversification, speed and
   scale required by global crises.


   - *Human capital is critical for resilient supply chains.* The US Government
   Accountability Office
   <https://columbia.us6.list-manage.com/track/click?u=ab15cc1d53&id=2ce7dc2a6b&e=dd153d6a25>
   concluded that the most significant long-term strategy to address
   supply-chain shortages in semiconductors and other industries was workforce
   development. In the new semiconductor fabs being built in the US, including
   those likely to be supported by the CHIPS and Science Act, skills shortages
   are critical chokepoints.[2] <#m_1550552761379828342__edn3> The good
   news is that government policies to improve supply-chain resilience, such
   as training people to avoid skills shortages (e.g., cyber-security) as well
   as building skills to fill available jobs, can boost earnings and
   productivity. Intel’s two new semiconductor factories in Ohio
   <https://columbia.us6.list-manage.com/track/click?u=ab15cc1d53&id=4aacfe2e70&e=dd153d6a25>
   are expected to employ 3,000 workers with an average salary of $135,000 per
   year.


   - *Reshoring or making supply chains more domestic does not guarantee
   resilience.* While the breakdown of GSCs has spurred calls to bring the
   production of critical goods back to domestic shores
   <https://columbia.us6.list-manage.com/track/click?u=ab15cc1d53&id=4d41b110e8&e=dd153d6a25>,
   often this is not feasible technologically, and it would decrease the
   benefits of geographical diversification (e.g., for agricultural goods,
   energy grids or complex manufactures). Selective reshoring is possible and
   domestic stockpiles can be utilized, but they must be managed very
   carefully.

Reorganizing supply chains to enhance strategic competitiveness and
building a workforce with the needed skills for 21st century development is
the best path for effective international and public-private partnerships.
Both governments and companies play mutually supportive roles in advancing
this critical objective.

------------------------------
* <#m_1550552761379828342__ednref1> Gary Gereffi ([log in to unmask]) is
Emeritus Professor of Sociology at Duke University and Founding Director of
the Duke Global Value Chains Center. The author wishes to thank Alvaro
Cuervo-Cazurra, Lorraine Eden and an anonymous reviewer for their helpful
peer reviews.
[1] <#m_1550552761379828342__ednref2> This draws on insights from the
voluminous academic literature on global value chains that tracks how,
where and by whom value is created, captured and eroded in GSCs. See, e.g.,
Gary Gereffi, *Global Value Chains and Development: Redefining the Contours
of 21st Century Capitalism* (Cambridge: CUP, 2018); Stefano Ponte, Gary
Gereffi and Gale Raj-Reichert, eds., *Handbook on Global Value Chains*
(Northampton: Edward Elgar Publishing, 2019).
[2] <#m_1550552761379828342__ednref3> Of the projected employees in the
typical advanced semiconductor plant, 70% will require two-year technical
college degrees, 20% M.A. degrees and 10% Ph.D. degrees.
*The material in this Perspective may be reprinted if accompanied by the
following acknowledgment: “Gary Gereffi, ‘How to make global supply chains
more resilient,’ *Columbia FDI Perspectives *No. 348. Reprinted with
permission from the Columbia Center on Sustainable Investment (*
*http://ccsi.columbia.edu*
<https://columbia.us6.list-manage.com/track/click?u=ab15cc1d53&id=895764aafa&e=dd153d6a25>*).”
A copy should kindly be sent to the Columbia Center on Sustainable
Investment at **[log in to unmask]* <[log in to unmask]>*.*

For further information, including information regarding submission to the
*Perspectives*, please contact: Columbia Center on Sustainable Investment,
Abigail Greene, [log in to unmask]

*Most recent Columbia FDI Perspectives*
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   - No. 347, Bernard M. Hoekman and Petros C. Mavroidis, “Investment
   facilitation in the WTO: The case for early harvesting,” *Columbia FDI
   Perspectives*, December 26, 2022.
   - No. 346, Yulia Levashova, “The way forward in reforming the legitimate
   expectations test,” *Columbia FDI Perspectives*, December 12, 2022.
   - No. 345, Alejandro Carballo Leyda and Frauke Nitschke, “Investment
   dispute management: The importance of the domestic dimension,” *Columbia
   FDI Perspectives*, November 28, 2022

*All previous FDI Perspectives are available at
https://ccsi.columbia.edu/content/columbia-fdi-perspectives
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*Other relevant CCSI news and announcements*

   -

   CCSI and the Sabin Center for Climate Change Law are hiring for the
   position of *Senior Legal Researcher, Climate Law & Finance. *The
   researcher will work collaboratively with CCSI's and the Sabin Center’s
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   and policy pathways critical to achieving global climate goals and
   facilitating the energy transition, and the corresponding implications for
   public, private, and institutional financial sector actors, regulators, and
   alliances. *More details on the position and instructions for applying
   can be found here
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   - *Apply now* for our 2023 virtual *Executive Training Program on
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   interdisciplinary program explores challenges and solutions for advancing
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   synchronous components, including short and interactive live sessions
   dedicated to engagement with course lecturers and participants from around
   the world. Applications will be considered on a rolling basis until March
   15, 2023. *For more information, and to apply, visit our website
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   .

Karl P. Sauvant, Ph.D.
Senior Fellow
Columbia Center on Sustainable Investment
Columbia Law School - Columbia Climate School
*Copyright © 2023 Columbia Center on Sustainable Investment (CCSI), All
rights reserved.*
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*Karl P. Sauvant, PhD*


*Senior Fellow*
*Columbia Center on Sustainable Investment*
Columbia Law School, Columbia University
435 West 116th St., Rm. JGH 825, New York, NY 10027
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Development is Important", "Six Reasons for Emphasizing Responsible
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for Development", "The WTO Investment Facilitation for Development
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*Investment
Facilitation for Development: A Toolkit for Policy Makers. Second Edition,*
"Agenda for Practice-oriented Research", "How Would a Future WTO Agreement
on Investment Facilitation for Development Encourage Sustainable FDI Flows,
and How Could it be Further Strengthened?”, "Incentivising Sustainable
FDI", "Green FDI: Encouraging Carbon-neutral Investment", "Extending
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International Investment Law", "More Attention to Policies! Improving the
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Investment Facilitation Framework: Four Concrete Proposals", "An Inventory
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