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*Columbia FDI Perspectives*
Perspectives on topical foreign direct investment issues
No. 244  January 28, 2019
Editor-in-Chief: Karl P. Sauvant ([log in to unmask])
Managing Editor: Marion A. Creach ([log in to unmask])
*China’s Belt and Road investment governance: building a hybrid model*
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* <#m_7480206486437032709__edn1>
by
Mark Feldman** <#m_7480206486437032709__edn2>

China’s Belt and Road Initiative (BRI) will give rise to an unprecedented
hybrid model of investment governance. Transnational governance under the
BRI will combine elements of a traditional state-driven model, in which
states shape rulemaking either directly or through agents, with elements of
transnational policy networks, in which non-state actors play significant
roles in rulemaking. If designed and implemented as an effective and
sustainable hybrid model, investment governance, understood as rulemaking
throughout the investment life cycle, from authorizations through disputes,
could contribute greatly to the BRI’s ultimate success.

Transnational policy networks will significantly shape BRI investment
governance. Although existing and future treaties will support the BRI, the
initiative itself is not treaty-based; rather, it has been established as a
framework that allows considerable flexibility in implementation. The
entity that is perhaps most closely associated with BRI implementation, the
Asian Infrastructure Investment Bank (AIIB), identifies “openness,
transparency, independence, and accountability” as its “core principles”;[1]
<#m_7480206486437032709__edn3> it has established an International Advisory
Panel, composed of former government officials, private sector executives
and academics to support AIIB senior management in decision-making. The
AIIB also has joined two recent initiatives that are assembling a range of
public and private stakeholders to advance opportunities for collaboration
and knowledge exchange: the Global Infrastructure Facility and the Global
Infrastructure Connectivity Alliance. With respect to BRI financing,
President Xi Jinping, at the opening of the Belt and Road Forum for
International Cooperation, held in Beijing in 2017, called for the
development of a “diversified financing system” and for “greater
cooperation between government and private capital.”[2]
<#m_7480206486437032709__edn4>

At the same time, however, state entities advancing state policy will play
a key role in the development of BRI investment governance. Chinese
investors seeking to invest in BRI projects abroad will need to obtain
approvals from one or more state entities, depending on the particular
characteristics of a contemplated investment (including sector, location
and amount, as well as the state-owned or privately-owned status of the
investor). Many BRI investments will be funded by Chinese policy banks,
state-owned commercial banks and/or state-owned investment funds. These
state-driven aspects of BRI governance will contribute to the BRI’s
ambition and reach, but also will be closely scrutinized abroad by a range
of actors, including governments, businesses, non-governmental
organizations, and academics, with a particular focus on debt
sustainability, terms of financing and competition for securing work on BRI
projects.

A US$1 billion transaction in Sri Lanka in 2017 illustrates how the
state-driven aspects of BRI projects can lead to controversy. Specifically,
in exchange for a reduced debt burden, Sri Lanka agreed to transfer control
over a strategic port to a Chinese corporation. More recently, Malaysia
suspended three major China-backed infrastructure projects and has called
for renegotiating or cancelling infrastructure deals with China that are
considered by Malaysia to be one-sided. With respect to competition for
Chinese-funded BRI projects, recent reports by the Center for Strategic and
International Studies and the National Bureau of Asian Research have raised
questions concerning the extent to which companies outside of China can
secure such work.

The ultimate success of the BRI will depend in significant part on whether
issues of debt sustainability, terms of financing and competition for
projects are clarified and resolved. Notably, the AIIB has directly
addressed all three issues, committing to (i) fiscal sustainability as a
condition of financing, (ii) disclosure of project documents and (iii)
transparent procurement processes. The issues should also be addressed on
the state-driven side of the hybrid governance model.

More generally, to build an effective and sustainable hybrid model of
investment governance, a number of strategies can be pursued:

   - One central institution could advance transparency, clarity and
   predictability by coordinating China’s BRI-related decision-making. The IMF
   Managing Director, Christine Lagarde, has suggested that China’s
   recently-created International Development Cooperation Agency, which will
   oversee China’s foreign aid, could play such a role.
   - State entities in China could increase their level of engagement with
   non-state entities on BRI-related issues. One example is the China-IMF
   Capacity Development Center; it will be based in Beijing and will
   strengthen collaboration between China and the IMF on capacity development,
   with a focus on BRI jurisdictions. A second example would be the
   recently-established International Energy Charter-China Electricity Council
   Joint Research Centre in Beijing; it will focus on a range of
   energy-related issues, i.e., trade, transit, efficiency, investment, and
   dispute settlement.
   - Decision-making in connection with BRI-related investment disputes
   could be undertaken primarily by non-state actors, specifically private
   individuals sitting as arbitrators in BRI-related disputes that are
   submitted by private entities to international commercial arbitration or
   investment treaty arbitration and administered by either Chinese or foreign
   arbitral institutions. The recently established China International
   Commercial Court can complement, rather than displace, China’s existing
   international arbitration regime, similar to the role played by other
   international commercial courts launched in Singapore, Abu Dhabi and Dubai.

Striking an appropriate balance between the ambition of a state-driven
model and the inclusiveness of a transnational policy network model will be
of central importance for BRI investment governance.

------------------------------
* <#m_7480206486437032709__ednref1> *The Columbia FDI Perspectives are a
forum for public debate. The views expressed by the author(s) do not
reflect the opinions of CCSI or Columbia University or our partners and
supporters. Columbia FDI Perspectives (ISSN 2158-3579) is a peer-reviewed
series.*
** <#m_7480206486437032709__ednref2> Mark Feldman ([log in to unmask])
is Professor of Law at Peking University School of Transnational Law. The
author is grateful to Vivienne Bath, Kabir Duggal and Susan Finder for
their helpful peer reviews.
[1] <#m_7480206486437032709__ednref3> AIIB, “Introduction: our founding
principles,” https://www.aiib.org/en/about-aiib/
<https://columbia.us6.list-manage.com/track/click?u=ab15cc1d53&id=a1769fff56&e=dd153d6a25>
.
[2] <#m_7480206486437032709__ednref4> “Full text of President Xi’s speech
at opening of Belt and Road Forum,” *Xinhua*, May 14, 2017
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.
*The material in this Perspective may be reprinted if accompanied by the
following acknowledgment: “Mark Feldman, ‘China’s Belt and Road investment
governance: building a hybrid model,’ Columbia FDI Perspectives, No. 244,
January 28, 2019. Reprinted with permission from the Columbia Center on
Sustainable Investment (**www.ccsi.columbia.edu*
<https://columbia.us6.list-manage.com/track/click?u=ab15cc1d53&id=b78453eaf0&e=dd153d6a25>*).”
A copy should kindly be sent to the Columbia Center on Sustainable
Investment at **[log in to unmask]* <[log in to unmask]>*.*

For further information, including information regarding submission to the
*Perspectives*, please contact: Columbia Center on Sustainable Investment,
Marion A. Creach, [log in to unmask]

*Most recent Columbia FDI Perspectives*
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   - No. 243, Karl P. Sauvant, “Five key considerations for the WTO
   investment-facilitation discussions, going forward,” January 14, 2019
   - No 242, Matthew Stephenson and Jose Ramon Perea, “How to leverage
   outward FDI for development? A six-step guide for policymakers,” December
   31, 2018
   - No. 241, Robert W. Schwieder, “Lessons for a future advisory center on
   international investment law,” December 17, 2018

*All previous FDI Perspectives are available at *
*http://ccsi.columbia.edu/publications/columbia-fdi-perspectives/*
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*Other relevant CCSI news and announcements*

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Karl P. Sauvant, Ph.D.
Resident Senior Fellow
Columbia Center on Sustainable Investment
Columbia Law School - Earth Institute
Ph: (212) 854-0689
Fax: (212) 854-7946
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*Karl P. Sauvant, PhD*


*Resident Senior Fellow*
*Columbia Center on Sustainable Investment*
Columbia Law School - The Earth Institute, Columbia University
435 West 116th St., Rm. JGH 825, New York, NY 10027
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"Five Key Considerations for the WTO Investment-facilitation Discussions,
Going Forward", Arriving at Sustainable FDI Characteristics", "Putting FDI
on the G20 Agenda", "International Investment Facilitation: By Whom and for
What?", "Moving the G20's Investment Agenda Forward", "Emerging Markets and
the International Investment Law and Policy Regime", "Sustainable FDI for
Sustainable Development", "Towards an Investment Facilitation Framework:
Why? What? When?", "Beware of FDI Statistics!", "Towards an Indicative List
of FDI Sustainability Characteristics", “The Importance of Negotiating Good
Contracts", "A New Challenge for Emerging Markets: the Need to Develop an
Outward FDI Policy”, "China Moves the G20 toward an International
Investment Framework and Investment Facilitation", "The Next Step in
Governance: The Need for Global Micro-regulatory Frameworks", and "The
Evolving International Investment Law and Policy Regime: Ways Forward"
*are* available
at https://ssrn.com/author=2461782 and
http://www.works.bepress.com/karl_sauvant/.

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