*Karl P. Sauvant, PhD* *Resident Senior Fellow* *Columbia Center on Sustainable Investment* Columbia Law School - The Earth Institute, Columbia University 435 West 116th St., Rm. JGH 825, New York, NY 10027 | p: (212) 854 0689 | cell: (646) 724 5600 e: [log in to unmask] | w: www.ccsi.columbia.edu | t: @CCSI_Columbia <https://twitter.com/CCSI_Columbia> "Beware of FDI statistics!", "Towards an Indicative List of FDI Sustainability Characteristics", “The Importance of Negotiating Good Contracts", "A New Challenge for Emerging Markets: the Need to Develop an Outward FDI Policy”, "China Moves the G20 toward an International Investment Framework and Investment Facilitation", "The Rise of Self-judging Essential Security Interest Clauses in IIAs", "Can Host Countries have Legitimate Expectations?", "The Next Step in Governance: The Need for Global Micro-regulatory Frameworks", and "The Evolving International Investment Law and Policy Regime: Ways Forward" *are* available at https://papers.ssrn.com/sol3/cf_dev/AbsByAuth.cfm?per_id=2461782 and http://www.works.bepress.com/karl_sauvant/. View this email in your browser <http://mailchi.mp/law/perspective-218?e=dd153d6a25> 哥伦比亚大学国际直接投资展望中文版都可以在我们的网站查看：http://ccsi.columbia.edu/ publications/columbia-fdi-perspectives. <https://columbia.us6.list-manage.com/track/click?u=ab15cc1d53&id=05930c5876&e=dd153d6a25> *Columbia FDI Perspectives* Perspectives on topical foreign direct investment issues No. 218 January 29, 2018 Editor-in-Chief: Karl P. Sauvant ([log in to unmask]) Managing Editor: Matthew Schroth ([log in to unmask]) *Europe’s new investment policy faces an uncertain future* <https://columbia.us6.list-manage.com/track/click?u=ab15cc1d53&id=472459002d&e=dd153d6a25> * <#m_5127072386706173465__edn1> by Guillaume Beaumier and Richard Ouellet** <#m_5127072386706173465__edn2> A thorough analysis of the recent European Union (EU) free trade agreements (FTAs) with Singapore (2015), Canada (2016) and Vietnam (2016) allows us finally to grasp the impact of the Lisbon Treaty <#m_5127072386706173465__edn3> on the development of a unified European investment policy. As the EU’s member states are signatories to almost half of the world’s 3,000 international investment agreements (IIAs), the investment treaty model being developed by the European Commission (EC) could significantly influence international investment law. Rather than replicating the traditional “gold standard” of European IIAs, the EC has effectively developed a much more complex and elaborate model. Nevertheless, the investment chapters in the three FTAs show few genuine legal innovations, in that most of their standards can be traced back to past IIAs, case law or other international rules. The inclusion of a WTO “market liberalization” approach is unprecedented. In sharp contrast to IIAs historically signed by EU member states, the EC has embraced comprehensive pre-establishment guarantees. This is especially striking given that the absence of pre-establishment protection was a lasting difference between European and US IIAs. The EC however went further than any past IIA by developing a market-access provision stipulating that no numerical limitations shall be imposed on the number of enterprises that may carry out an economic activity, or on the total value of assets that can be moved. While some exceptions exist, that means that an EU trade partner cannot limit the number of investors or the amount of foreign money entering its market. Such rule is directly inspired by WTO law. <#m_5127072386706173465__edn4> This unexpected linkage between trade and investment law appears to be an indirect result of the singular EU integration process. Before the Lisbon Treaty, at a time when it only had competence over trade policy, the EC decided to develop its own investment policy through the negotiation of norms on the establishment of service providers. As such, the “minimum platform on investment for EU FTAs” <#m_5127072386706173465__edn5> which represented the *de facto *model for EU investment agreements pre-Lisbon was greatly influenced by previous negotiations on market access for services. As the EC is actively negotiating IIAs with major trading partners (e.g., China, India, Japan, the US), the impact of this new approach should not be underestimated. While states have integrated many investor protections in their IIA practice throughout the years, many still restrict the entry of foreign investment. Furthermore, European states are genuinely more open than most countries and stand to gain much from this approach, most notably in the context of current IIA negotiations with China (which imposes various entry restrictions). <#m_5127072386706173465__edn6> Interestingly, the EC has carved out the use of investor-state dispute settlement for violations of these new guarantees on market access. This shows that the EC distinguishes pre-establishment guarantees from post-establishment protections given to foreign investors (e.g., fair and equitable treatment). This reflects the US practice, but more importantly it is consistent with a trade approach where norms on establishment are concessions made between sovereign states. In practical terms, though, this means that the enforceability of the EC’s approach will depend on the goodwill of governments to bring complaints through state-to-state dispute-settlement mechanisms. With “Brexit” set to reshape the EU, it remains to be seen what will become of the new European investment policy. On the one hand, its impact may be slight, given that the EC appears more influenced by norms emanating from international institutions (e.g., the WTO) or from non-European IIAs. <#m_5127072386706173465__edn7> On the other hand, it could lead the EC to be more receptive to the views of individual member states. Although it is questionable that such an outcome would cause a resurgence of the old “gold standard,” greater involvement by member states could create new hurdles. In the days following Britain’s referendum, the EC’s decision (reluctantly) to ratify the FTA with Canada as a mixed agreement <#m_5127072386706173465__edn8> is one such example. While this might ease the EC’s relationship with EU member states wary of ceding too much sovereignty, the rising anti-trade rhetoric in some member states could make the ratification of this FTA (and others) impossible. The Wallonia crisis may not be an isolated event. If so, the outlook for a unified European investment policy would be bleak. ------------------------------ * <#m_5127072386706173465__ednref1> *The Columbia FDI Perspectives are a forum for public debate. The views expressed by the author(s) do not reflect the opinions of CCSI or Columbia University or our partners and supporters. Columbia FDI Perspectives (ISSN 2158-3579) is a peer-reviewed series.* ** <#m_5127072386706173465__ednref2> Guillaume Beaumier ( [log in to unmask]) is a Ph.D. Candidate at Université Laval and a member of the Canada Research Chair in International Political Economy; Richard Ouellet ([log in to unmask]) is a full-time professor of international economic law at Université Laval. The authors are grateful to Marc Bungenberg, Catherine Kessedjian and August Reinisch for their helpful peer reviews.  <#m_5127072386706173465__ednref3> The Lisbon treaty (2007) gave competence over investment policy to the European Commission: *Treaty on the Functioning of the European Union *(2007), Art. 207. In a recent decision (C-2/15), the European Court of Justice clarified that this competence is however not exclusive. New FTAs with investment chapters will now need to be concluded by both the EU and its member states.  <#m_5127072386706173465__ednref4> *See*, *e.g.*, *General Agreement on Trade in Services* (1995), Art. XVI.  <#m_5127072386706173465__ednref5> Available at http://www.iisd.org/pdf/2006/itn_ecom.pdf <https://columbia.us6.list-manage.com/track/click?u=ab15cc1d53&id=fc1319afa8&e=dd153d6a25> .  <#m_5127072386706173465__ednref6> Wenhua Shan and Seng Zhang, “Market access provisions in the potential EU model BIT: towards a ‘global BIT 2.0?’,” *The Journal of World Investment & Trade*, vol. 15 (2014), p. 445.  <#m_5127072386706173465__ednref7> The “Mapping BITs” database (http:// mappinginvestmenttreaties.com/) <https://columbia.us6.list-manage.com/track/click?u=ab15cc1d53&id=7867d6a262&e=dd153d6a25> indicates that the treaties most similar to the recent EU investment chapters are US IIAs. It also confirms that market access provisions have no lineage in the IIA world.  <#m_5127072386706173465__ednref8> Mixed agreements require approval of both the EU and its member states. *The material in this Perspective may be reprinted if accompanied by the following acknowledgment: “Guillaume Beaumier and Richard Ouellet, ‘Europe’s new investment policy faces an uncertain future,’ Columbia FDI Perspectives, No. 218, January 29, 2018. Reprinted with permission from the Columbia Center on Sustainable Investment (**www.ccsi.columbia.edu* <https://columbia.us6.list-manage.com/track/click?u=ab15cc1d53&id=d41ce61603&e=dd153d6a25>*).” A copy should kindly be sent to the Columbia Center on Sustainable Investment at **[log in to unmask]* <[log in to unmask]>*.* For further information, including information regarding submission to the *Perspectives*, please contact: Columbia Center on Sustainable Investment, Matthew Schroth, [log in to unmask] *Most recent Columbia FDI Perspectives* <https://columbia.us6.list-manage.com/track/click?u=ab15cc1d53&id=037eadbabc&e=dd153d6a25> - No. 217, Mouhamadou Madana Kane, “The Pan-African Investment Code: a good first step, but more is needed,” January 15, 2018. - No. 216, Kenneth J. Vandevelde, “IIA provisions, properly interpreted, are fully consistent with a robust regulatory state,” January 1, 2018. - No. 215, Karl P. Sauvant, “Beware of FDI statistics!”, December 18, 2017. *All previous FDI Perspectives are available at * *http://ccsi.columbia.edu/publications/columbia-fdi-perspectives/* <https://columbia.us6.list-manage.com/track/click?u=ab15cc1d53&id=26b78b87b5&e=dd153d6a25> *. * *Other relevant CCSI news and announcements* - *On February 6, 2018,* CCSI and the International Institute for Environment and Development (IIED) will co-host a webinar on “Civil Society Submissions in Investor-State Arbitration” to discuss how civil society groups can bring forward community perspectives, human rights and environmental issues in investor-state arbitrations. This online seminar is designed for civil society organizations in low- and middle-income countries that want to support communities whose livelihoods are affected by natural resource projects. Further information is available here <https://columbia.us6.list-manage.com/track/click?u=ab15cc1d53&id=2a7d463155&e=dd153d6a25> . *To join the webinar, email [log in to unmask] <[log in to unmask]> before February 1, 2018**. * - CCSI has released its 2016-2017 Annual Report. *The full report is available here <https://columbia.us6.list-manage.com/track/click?u=ab15cc1d53&id=b2689019f5&e=dd153d6a25>.* - CCSI is accepting applications for our three upcoming executive trainings: on Extractive Industries and Sustainable Development <https://columbia.us6.list-manage.com/track/click?u=ab15cc1d53&id=97a7cfc785&e=dd153d6a25> (June 4-15, 2018), Sustainable Investments in Agriculture <https://columbia.us6.list-manage.com/track/click?u=ab15cc1d53&id=fa27a140bc&e=dd153d6a25> (June 19-29, 2018), and Investment Treaties and Arbitration for Government Officials <https://columbia.us6.list-manage.com/track/click?u=ab15cc1d53&id=fb402d1693&e=dd153d6a25> (July 30-August 9, 2018). Each program is designed to equip participants with the necessary skills, analytical tools, and frameworks to address relevant challenges and opportunities, and to encourage a rich dialogue about best practices from around the globe. *More information about each training, including brochures and applications, is available at the links above.* Karl P. Sauvant, Ph.D. Resident Senior Fellow Columbia Center on Sustainable Investment Columbia Law School - Earth Institute Ph: (212) 854-0689 Fax: (212) 854-7946 *Copyright © 2018 Columbia Center on Sustainable Investment (CCSI), All rights reserved.* [log in to unmask] *Our mailing address is:* Columbia Center on Sustainable Investment (CCSI) Columbia Law School - Earth Institute, Columbia University 435 West 116th Street <https://maps.google.com/?q=435+West+116th+StreetNew+York,+NY+10027&entry=gmail&source=g> New York <https://maps.google.com/?q=435+West+116th+StreetNew+York,+NY+10027&entry=gmail&source=g>, <https://maps.google.com/?q=435+West+116th+StreetNew+York,+NY+10027&entry=gmail&source=g> NY <https://maps.google.com/?q=435+West+116th+StreetNew+York,+NY+10027&entry=gmail&source=g> 10027 <https://maps.google.com/?q=435+West+116th+StreetNew+York,+NY+10027&entry=gmail&source=g> Add us to your address book <//columbia.us6.list-manage.com/vcard?u=ab15cc1d53&id=a61bf1d34a> unsubscribe from this list <https://columbia.us6.list-manage.com/unsubscribe?u=ab15cc1d53&id=a61bf1d34a&e=dd153d6a25&c=bc56eca3c3> update subscription preferences <https://columbia.us6.list-manage.com/profile?u=ab15cc1d53&id=a61bf1d34a&e=dd153d6a25> [image: Email Marketing Powered by MailChimp] <http://www.mailchimp.com/monkey-rewards/?utm_source=freemium_newsletter&utm_medium=email&utm_campaign=monkey_rewards&aid=ab15cc1d53&afl=1> ____ AIB-L is brought to you by the Academy of International Business. 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