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*Karl P. Sauvant, PhD* *Resident Senior Fellow* *Columbia Center on Sustainable Investment* Columbia Law School - The Earth Institute, Columbia University 435 West 116th St., Rm. JGH 825, New York, NY 10027 | p: (212) 854 0689 | cell: (646) 724 5600 e: [log in to unmask] | w: www.ccsi.columbia.edu | t: @CCSI_Columbia <https://twitter.com/CCSI_Columbia> "Towards an Indicative List of FDI Sustainability Characteristics", “The Importance of Negotiating Good Contracts", "A New Challenge for Emerging Markets: the Need to Develop an Outward FDI Policy”, "China Moves the G20 toward an International Investment Framework and Investment Facilitation", "The Rise of Self-judging Essential Security Interest Clauses in IIAs", "Can Host Countries have Legitimate Expectations?", "The Next Step in Governance: The Need for Global Micro-regulatory Frameworks", and "The Evolving International Investment Law and Policy Regime: Ways Forward" *are* available at https://papers.ssrn.com/sol3/cf_dev/AbsByAuth.cfm?per_id=2461782 and http://www.works.bepress.com/karl_sauvant/. View this email in your browser <http://mailchi.mp/law/perspective-211?e=dd153d6a25> 哥伦比亚大学国际直接投资展望中文版都可以在我们的网站查看：http://ccsi.columbia.edu/ publications/columbia-fdi-perspectives. <https://columbia.us6.list-manage.com/track/click?u=ab15cc1d53&id=e6b8f29e60&e=dd153d6a25> *Columbia FDI Perspectives* Perspectives on topical foreign direct investment issues No. 211 October 23, 2017 Editor-in-Chief: Karl P. Sauvant ([log in to unmask]) Managing Editor: Matthew Schroth ([log in to unmask]) *NAFTA 2.0: a way forward for the investment chapter* <https://columbia.us6.list-manage.com/track/click?u=ab15cc1d53&id=a57d3a0788&e=dd153d6a25> * <#m_8806473878251558140__edn1> by Mélida Hodgson** <#m_8806473878251558140__edn2> As the fractious NAFTA negotiations hurtle forward, it is clear that the negotiations are not about investment protections—or, more specifically, investor-state dispute settlement (ISDS). Nevertheless, the Office of the US Trade Representative (USTR), having still not tabled proposed text at the fourth round of negotiations,[1] <#m_8806473878251558140__edn3> created some consternation in late August by floating an “opt-in” model for ISDS.[2] <#m_8806473878251558140__edn4> Arguably, the US floated this proposal as a way to improve its negotiating position on issues that this renegotiation *is *really about for the Trump Administration, namely a revision of automotive rules of origin and more favorable agriculture, supply chain, digital commerce, and sugar provisions. The outcry from the US business community to the proposal was swift, threatening to withhold support for the deal before Congress.[3] <#m_8806473878251558140__edn5> On the other hand, there is bipartisan support for eliminating the NAFTA investment chapter. On the theory that the Trump Administration will not deny the business community ISDS, there is room to bridge the gap by modernizing the chapter. Below are some ideas as to how that can be achieved. These ideas are consistent with the one overarching goal expressed for the investment chapter by the US before the modernization negotiations began – “no greater substantive rights” for foreign investors – which has been the guiding principle since the George W. Bush Administration’s free trade agreement negotiations. The proposal is essentially an enhanced Trans-Pacific Partnership (TPP).[4] <#m_8806473878251558140__edn6> Any comparison of the NAFTA and TPP investment chapters leads to the conclusion that the latter is a substantial improvement over the former from the government’s perspective, and at least offers clarity for investors. Accordingly, USTR could start by replacing the NAFTA text with the TPP text, incorporating improvements such as: - modern expropriation provisions that constrain findings of indirect expropriation in the context of regulations concerning public health and safety and the environment; - a minimum-standard-of-treatment/fair-and-equitable-treatment provision that does not cover investors’ expectations; - guidance on the concept of the “in like circumstances” required for a violation of the national-treatment and most-favored-nation provisions; - the circumscription of MST and expropriation claims related to subsidies; - procedures to dispose of frivolous claims at an early stage, on an expedited basis; - provisions related to the governing law and Free Trade Commission interpretations; - exceptions that preserve financial and prudential regulatory space, including through the limitation of certain (i.e., debt restructuring) claims; and - significant transparency provisions (e.g., non-disputing party and *amicus curiae* submissions, publication of pleadings and awards, open hearings). [5] <#m_8806473878251558140__edn7> But civil society groups felt TPP was not sufficiently protective of sovereign interests. So how can the NAFTA investment chapter be an enhanced TPP? Let us start by imagining that an administration embarking on a grand infrastructure initiative would want to avoid all claims related to subsidies, not just minimum-standard-of-treatment and expropriation claims. In addition, although generally opposed to environmental regulation, this administration would presumably want to preserve its sovereign discretion with respect to health and public welfare policy, as well as the environment. One way to do this would be to strengthen regulatory discretion by excluding regulatory claims from ISDS, or requiring that any such claims be subject to the same restrictions placed on claims based on tax measures.[6] <#m_8806473878251558140__edn8> Other provisions that could appease skeptics would: - prohibit the importation of substantive and procedural obligations of other agreements through the operation of the most-favored-nation provision; [7] <#m_8806473878251558140__edn9> - a right to counter claims for states; - require the bifurcation of damages claims; - adopt a code of conduct for ISDS that applies to arbitrators and counsel (this is not novel—NAFTA already has a code of conduct for other types of arbitral proceedings); - complete the roster of arbitrators foreseen in NAFTA (Art. 1124.4); - require that challenges to arbitrators be decided by an administering institution without suspension of the proceedings; - require disclosure of third-party funding arrangements; and - require the negotiation of an appellate mechanism. Certainly, these further enhancements will not satisfy those opposed to any investment protections or ISDS. But it is arguably a fairer balancing of national interests. Because, while the NAFTA modernization is “not about” the investment chapter, the opt-in proposal reveals the chapter’s vulnerability. ------------------------------ * <#m_8806473878251558140__ednref1> *The Columbia FDI Perspectives are a forum for public debate. The views expressed by the author(s) do not reflect the opinions of CCSI or Columbia University or our partners and supporters.* *Columbia FDI Perspectives (ISSN 2158-3579) is a peer-reviewed series.* ** <#m_8806473878251558140__ednref2> Mélida Hodgson ([log in to unmask]) is a partner in Foley Hoag LLP’s International Litigation and Arbitration Department in New York, and a former Associate General Counsel at USTR, having participated in the latter capacity in the interpretation of NAFTA in 2001 and having been the attorney responsible for the revision of the 2004 US Model BIT and the US Model FTA investment provisions, as well as various negotiations from 2001-2005. The author is grateful to James Mendenhall, Hugo Perezcano Diaz and Todd Weiler for their helpful peer reviews. The author would also like to thank Elizabeth Baltzan for her helpful comments. [1] <#m_8806473878251558140__ednref3> It is rumored that, at the third round in mid-September 2017, Canada tabled a “EU-Canada Comprehensive Economic and Trade Agreement (CETA) light” investment chapter, but details are scarce. [2] <#m_8806473878251558140__ednref4> This is not as radical as some may think: there is no ISDS in the Australia FTA (2005). But that was a new agreement. *See* https://ustr.gov/sites/default/files/uploads/ agreements/fta/australia. [3] <#m_8806473878251558140__ednref5> Letter from the National Association of Manufacturers, the Business Roundtable and the U.S. Chamber of Commerce, Aug. 23, 2017, at www.nam.org (Association CEO Letter on ISDS in NAFTA). [4] <#m_8806473878251558140__ednref6> TPP’s investment provisions were acceptable to Canada, México and the US business community. Although it was largely not acceptable to those opposed to investment protections (particularly ISDS), to the extent the Trump Administration can get concessions on the issues that the renegotiation is really about, opponents may have to live with ISDS. [5] <#m_8806473878251558140__ednref7> *See* https://ustr.gov/trade- agreements/free-trade-agreements/trans-pacific-partnership/tpp-full-text (Chapter 9). [6] <#m_8806473878251558140__ednref8> *See, e.g.* the Korea-United States Free Trade Agreement, Art. 23.3 (Exceptions-Taxation), at https://ustr.gov/trade-agreements/free-trade-agreements/korus-fta/final-text . [7] <#m_8806473878251558140__ednref9> Similar to CETA Art. 8.7.4. *The material in this Perspective may be reprinted if accompanied by the following acknowledgment: “Mélida Hodgson, ‘NAFTA 2.0: a way forward for the investment chapter,’ Columbia FDI Perspectives, No. 211, October 23, 2017. Reprinted with permission from the Columbia Center on Sustainable Investment (**www.ccsi.columbia.edu* <https://columbia.us6.list-manage.com/track/click?u=ab15cc1d53&id=86834304ea&e=dd153d6a25>*).” A copy should kindly be sent to the Columbia Center on Sustainable Investment at **[log in to unmask]* <[log in to unmask]>*. * For further information, including information regarding submission to the *Perspectives*, please contact: Columbia Center on Sustainable Investment, Matthew Schroth, [log in to unmask] - No. 210, Karl P. Sauvant, “The importance of negotiating good contracts,” October 9, 2017. - No. 209, Catharine Titi, “A stronger role for the European Parliament in the design of the EU’s investment policy as a legitimacy safeguard,” September 25, 207. - No. 208, Lisa Sachs, Jeffrey Sachs and Nathan Lobel, “Corporations need to look beyond profits,” September 11, 2017. *All previous FDI Perspectives are available at * *http://ccsi.columbia.edu/publications/columbia-fdi-perspectives/* <https://columbia.us6.list-manage.com/track/click?u=ab15cc1d53&id=7a2b7d9b51&e=dd153d6a25> *. * *Other relevant CCSI news and announcements* - *On October 26, 2017*, CCSI, the Columbia International Arbitration Association (CIAA), and Columbia Law School’s Human Rights Institute (HRI), will co-host a talk with *Juan Pablo Bohoslavsky* (United Nations Independent Expert on Debt and Human Rights) and *Edward Guntrip* (Lecturer in Law, University of Sussex), on "Investment Arbitration for Debt Disputes: Undermining Human Rights Compliance?," co-sponsored by Sussex Law School/University of Sussex and Sussex Centre for Human Rights Research. *Please see our website here <https://columbia.us6.list-manage.com/track/click?u=ab15cc1d53&id=498ce7f7a3&e=dd153d6a25> for more details, including link to webcast. No registration necessary.* - *On October 30-November 3, 2017*, CCSI, White & Case, and the EU Delegation to the UN will host three distinguished guests from the Court of Justice of the European Union— *Judge Ian Forrester, Advocate General Nils Wahl, *and *Director of Communications William Valasidis *–for a week of discussions on matters of anti-trust, investment, trade, legal challenges in the EU, and other timely developments in EU and International Law. *Please see our website here <https://columbia.us6.list-manage.com/track/click?u=ab15cc1d53&id=8ee3099df8&e=dd153d6a25> for more details. * - *On October 31, 2017*, CCSI and the Columbia International Arbitration Association (CIAA) will co-host a talk with *Jan Dalhuisen *at Columbia Law School, during which he will discuss the complex role of international arbitrators in international commercial and investor-state dispute settlement. *Please see our website here <https://columbia.us6.list-manage.com/track/click?u=ab15cc1d53&id=056bacdb97&e=dd153d6a25> for more details. No registration necessary.* - CCSI is announcing a *Call for Papers* for the edition of the *Yearbook on International Investment Law and Policy <https://columbia.us6.list-manage.com/track/click?u=ab15cc1d53&id=f368288c0d&e=dd153d6a25> *covering 2017. Submissions will be accepted on a rolling basis until February 1, 2018. *Please see details here <https://columbia.us6.list-manage.com/track/click?u=ab15cc1d53&id=7d920fbb0d&e=dd153d6a25>.* Karl P. Sauvant, Ph.D. Resident Senior Fellow Columbia Center on Sustainable Investment Columbia Law School - Earth Institute Ph: (212) 854-0689 Fax: (212) 854-7946 *Copyright © 2017 Columbia Center on Sustainable Investment (CCSI), All rights reserved.* [log in to unmask] *Our mailing address is:* Columbia Center on Sustainable Investment (CCSI) Columbia Law School - Earth Institute, Columbia University 435 West 116th Street <https://maps.google.com/?q=435+West+116th+StreetNew+York,+NY+10027&entry=gmail&source=g> New York <https://maps.google.com/?q=435+West+116th+StreetNew+York,+NY+10027&entry=gmail&source=g>, <https://maps.google.com/?q=435+West+116th+StreetNew+York,+NY+10027&entry=gmail&source=g> NY <https://maps.google.com/?q=435+West+116th+StreetNew+York,+NY+10027&entry=gmail&source=g> 10027 <https://maps.google.com/?q=435+West+116th+StreetNew+York,+NY+10027&entry=gmail&source=g> Add us to your address book <//columbia.us6.list-manage.com/vcard?u=ab15cc1d53&id=a61bf1d34a> unsubscribe from this list <https://columbia.us6.list-manage.com/unsubscribe?u=ab15cc1d53&id=a61bf1d34a&e=dd153d6a25&c=6ba6b5c132> update subscription preferences <https://columbia.us6.list-manage.com/profile?u=ab15cc1d53&id=a61bf1d34a&e=dd153d6a25> [image: Email Marketing Powered by MailChimp] <http://www.mailchimp.com/monkey-rewards/?utm_source=freemium_newsletter&utm_medium=email&utm_campaign=monkey_rewards&aid=ab15cc1d53&afl=1> ____ AIB-L is brought to you by the Academy of International Business. 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