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*Columbia FDI Perspectives*

Perspectives on topical foreign direct investment issues
No. 140  February 2, 2015
Editor-in-Chief: Karl P. Sauvant ([log in to unmask])
Managing Editor: Adrian P. Torres ([log in to unmask])



*The Transatlantic Trade and Investment Partnership, investor-state dispute
settlement and China*
<http://columbia.us6.list-manage.com/track/click?u=ab15cc1d53&id=8c1f75c77d&e=6f8fc3f180>
by
Axel Berger and Lauge N. Skovgaard Poulsen* <#14b4c00aea14ada4__edn1>


The prospect of including investor-state dispute settlement (ISDS) into the
Transatlantic Trade and Investment Partnership (TTIP) has produced a
polarizing debate in the European Union (EU). Critics have argued that this
adjudication mechanism is unnecessary in TTIP as United States (US)
investors can expect fair treatment in EU courts and vice versa.

Advocates have countered that the inclusion of ISDS is justified in TTIP.
One important argument is the precedential value for future agreements. The
standard reference is China: excluding investor-state arbitration from TTIP
would make it more difficult to get a comprehensive agreement negotiated
with Beijing.

For instance, Karel De Gucht, then European Commissioner for Trade, told
the European Parliament in July 2014 that: “I think it will be difficult
one day claim that we must avoid ISDS provisions with the US because they
are dangerous and then the next day insist to include the same kind of
provisions in agreements with others such as China.”[1]
<#14b4c00aea14ada4__edn2> The *Financial Times* agreed, warning that,
unless investment arbitration is included in the agreement, “the TTIP – and
investor protection in China – could be at risk.”[2]
<#14b4c00aea14ada4__edn3>

We disagree with this assessment.

First, China has been signing investment agreements with broad and binding
consent to investment arbitration for more than 15 years. And unlike many
other developing countries, which are becoming increasingly skeptical of
investment arbitration, Beijing remains a strong proponent of the regime to
protect the growing stock of Chinese investment abroad. Chinese investments
have been regarded with suspicion in recent years by an increasing number
of host countries, and investment arbitration is one instrument for Beijing
to seek redress for unwanted restrictions. In 2012, a major Chinese
insurer, Ping An, filed a large investment treaty claim against Belgium,
for instance.

Second, the EU and China have not waited for TTIP to materialize before
entering into comprehensive investment negotiations. They recently vowed to
accelerate the pace of negotiations toward a China-EU investment treaty –
notably, before knowing the outcome of TTIP.[3] <#14b4c00aea14ada4__edn4>
Parallel investment treaty talks between China and the US have been
difficult, as Beijing has been hesitant about having investor-state
arbitration cover pre-establishment issues. This is partly because of a
power struggle between the Ministry of Commerce and the National
Development and Reform Commission, where the former is keen on further
liberalization while the latter is less so. Yet, this divide is less
relevant for talks with Brussels, as Beijing is *not *opposed to ISDS
covering traditional post-establishment protections. China should therefore
be willing to accept the approach in the recent EU agreement with Canada,
for instance, where investment arbitration is limited to the
post-establishment phase.

Finally, besides the dynamics within this triangle, it is worth
highlighting the China-Australia Free Trade Agreement (ChAFTA) concluded in
November 2014. Australia refused to include investment arbitration in its
2005 free trade agreement with the US, but the current Abbott government is
considering investment arbitration on a case-by-case basis. And in the
agreement with China, investment arbitration is included. As noted in the
Australian government’s overview of the treaty: “The investment obligations
in ChAFTA can be enforced directly by Australian and Chinese investors
through an Investor-State Dispute Settlement (ISDS) mechanism”.[4]
<#14b4c00aea14ada4__edn5>

Beijing was thereby not deterred from including investment arbitration in
an agreement with a developed country, which had previously refused to
include similar provisions in a treaty with the US. This seems to be the
final nail in the coffin for the already implausible argument that China’s
support of ISDS depends on the nature of investment protection agreements
among developed countries.

Just as critics of TTIP should avoid spreading myths of investment
arbitration to favor their cause, advocates of a transatlantic investment
treaty should be careful not to overstate their case. Based on Beijing’s
recent approach to investment treaty negotiations, it seems impetuous to
use the “China-card” as one of the core arguments for allowing US investors
to side-track EU courts.


------------------------------

* <#14b4c00aea14ada4__ednref1> Axel Berger ([log in to unmask]) is a
researcher at the German Development Institute/Deutsches Institut für
Entwicklungspolitik (DIE) working on China’s investment treaty program;
Lauge Poulsen ([log in to unmask]) is a Lecturer in International
Political Economy at University College London. The authors are grateful to
Anna De Luca, Wenhua Shan and Valentina Vadi for their helpful peer
reviews. *The views expressed by the authors of this **Perspective** do not
necessarily reflect the opinions of Columbia University or its partners and
supporters. **Columbia FDI Perspectives** (ISSN 2158-3579) is a
peer-reviewed series.*

[1] <#14b4c00aea14ada4__ednref2> Statement by Commissioner Karel De Gucht
on TTIP, European Parliament Plenary debate, Strasbourg, July 15, 2014.

[2] <#14b4c00aea14ada4__ednref3> “Jean-Claude Juncker plays with future of
EU-US trade deal,” *Financial Times*, October 23, 2014.

[3] <#14b4c00aea14ada4__ednref4> “China, EU vow to speed up investment
treaty talks”, *Xinhua*, October 16, 2014, available at
http://news.xinhuanet.com/english/china/2014-10/16/c_133719673.htm

[4] <#14b4c00aea14ada4__ednref5> “China-Australia Free Trade Agreement: key
outcomes”, available at
http://dfat.gov.au/fta/chafta/fact-sheets/key-outcomes.pdf.



*The material in this Perspective may be reprinted if accompanied by the
following acknowledgment: “Axel Berger and Lauge N. Skovgaard Poulsen, ‘The
Transatlantic Trade and Investment Partnership, investor-state dispute
settlement and China,’ Columbia FDI Perspectives, No. 140, February 2,
2015. Reprinted with permission from the Columbia Center on Sustainable
Investment (www.ccsi.columbia.edu <http://www.ccsi.columbia.edu>).” A copy
should kindly be sent to the Columbia Center on Sustainable Investment at
[log in to unmask] <[log in to unmask]>.*



For further information, including information regarding submission to the
*Perspectives*, please contact: Columbia Center on Sustainable Investment,
Adrian Torres, [log in to unmask] or [log in to unmask]


*Most recent Columbia FDI Perspectives*
<http://columbia.us6.list-manage.com/track/click?u=ab15cc1d53&id=430e3e61e3&e=6f8fc3f180>


   - No. 139, Ralf Krüger and Ilan Strauss, “Africa rising out of itself:
   The growth of intra-African FDI,” January 19, 2015.
   - No. 138, Steven Globerman, “Host governments should not treat
   state-owned enterprises differently than other foreign investors,” January
   5, 2015.
   - No. 137, Dylan G. Rassier, “Locating production and income within
   MNEs: An alternative approach based on formulary apportionment,” December
   22, 2014.

*All previous **FDI Perspectives** are available at
**http://ccsi.columbia.edu/publications/columbia-fdi-perspectives/
<http://ccsi.columbia.edu/publications/columbia-fdi-perspectives/>**. *

*Other relevant CCSI news and announcements:*

   - *From January to April 2015, *CCSI will host its ninth annual
   International Investment Law and Policy Spring Speaker Series. This year’s
   speakers include (in the order of their talks) Josh Kallmer, Diane
   Desierto, Giorgio Sacerdoti, Emmanuel Gaillard, Claudis Frutos-Peterson,
   Eloise Obadia, Xavier Carim, and Lee Caplan. The series will be
   co-sponsored by Crowell & Moring LLP, Curtis, Mallet-Prevost, Colt & Mosle
   LLP and Investmentclaims.com, with media sponsor Transnational Dispute
   Management (TDM), and moderated by Ian Laird and Borzu Sabahi. Select
   presentations will be webcast; please see our website
   <http://columbia.us6.list-manage2.com/track/click?u=ab15cc1d53&id=498bcc2775&e=6f8fc3f180>
for
   the schedule and more details. *No registration is required.*
   - *On June 8-19, 2015*, CCSI will hold its third annual Executive
   Training in Extractive Industries and Sustainable Development
   <http://columbia.us6.list-manage.com/track/click?u=ab15cc1d53&id=ea3f5e5251&e=6f8fc3f180>
at
   Columbia University. The program is designed to equip mid-level public
   sector officials and civil society representatives from resource-rich
   developing countries with the necessary skills to promote the responsible
   development of the extractive industries sector in resource-rich developing
   countries and to encourage a rich dialogue about best practices from around
   the globe. The two-week training emphasizes the interdisciplinary nature of
   resource-based development. By working through real case studies and with
   practitioners and experts in the field, participants will be able to apply
   analytical tools and frameworks to the unique context of the extractive
   industries in their country. *For more information about the program,
   please download our 2015 Executive Training Program Brochure* *here
   <http://columbia.us6.list-manage.com/track/click?u=ab15cc1d53&id=8db7fab4a0&e=6f8fc3f180>*
   . *If interested in applying, please go here
   <http://columbia.us6.list-manage.com/track/click?u=ab15cc1d53&id=cbd61710c2&e=6f8fc3f180>.*



Karl P. Sauvant, Ph.D.
Resident Senior Fellow
Columbia Center on Sustainable Investment
Columbia Law School - Earth Institute
Ph: (212) 854-0689
Fax: (212) 854-7946

*Copyright © 2015 Columbia Center on Sustainable Investment (CCSI), All
rights reserved.*
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