Content-Type: text/html A STUDY OF RADIO STATION MANAGERS' ATTITUDES ON STATION FORMAT CHANGES A paper submitted to the Association for Education in Journalism and Mass Communication Media Management and Economics Division by Max V. Grubb B.S.C. Ohio University 1979 M.A. Kent State University 1994 Doctoral Student Ohio University 10309A Porter Lane Athens, OH 45701 (614) 797-3700 Email: [log in to unmask] RUNNING HEAD: RADIO FORMAT CHANGES ABSTRACT A STUDY OF RADIO STATION MANAGERS' ATTITUDES ON STATION FORMAT CHANGES The radio industry currently operates in a different environment from the pre-1980s period. The drive for deregulation led to changes in the types of management and in the competitive environment. This study examines the dynamics of change management and radio station format changes. Force field theory was used as the theoretical underpinning for exploring the dynamics of radio station format changes. Personal interviews and a survey questionnaire were the methodologies used for this study. A STUDY OF RADIO STATION MANAGERS' ATTITUDES ON STATION FORMAT CHANGES The radio industry has been operating under a regulatory atmosphere since its inception over 70 years ago. Broadcast regulation originated with the Wireless Act of 1910 and the Radio Act of 1912 (Head, Sterling, and Schofield, 1994, 156). The Radio Act of 1927 and the Communications Act of 1934 were enacted to establish that the airwaves resource be used as a public trust and not as private property. Licenses were issued to those who made a commitment to operate and use this scarce resource in the public interest. The trusteeship approach to broadcast regulation was established with this legislation. This trusteeship model would last until the deregulation of the early 1980s (Simmons, 1978, 27). Today, the radio industry operates in a different environment from the pre-1980s period. The deregulation of the 1980s brought about tremendous change for station managers. Deregulation included changes in the number of stations owned, the length of time of ownership, and the addition of new radio stations. The drive for deregulation led to changes in the types of ownership, the type of management, the number of radio stations, and the competitive environment (Anderton and Sanders, 1992, 6). One result of these changes is that radio station managers operated in increasingly competitive conditions. To survive, radio managers needed to incorporate change as an integral part of the operations of their organizations. Fierce competition for listeners and advertising revenue resulted in the need for radio managers to adapt and change as their environments changed. Change certainly is not limited to the broadcasting industry. Many companies have experienced change in today's business world. Buzzwords such as reinventing, restructuring, and reengineering have been used to describe businesses' response to change. Academicians and professionals have observed not only that businesses need to change and adapt to new environments, but also that these businesses need to incorporate change as a fundamental part of their organizations. Radio station managers' attitudes toward programming change is the focus of this study (Byrne, 1992, 62). LITERATURE REVIEW Radio station format changes and change management were the main topics of this research. This section contains a review of the literature pertaining to these topics. It begins with an overview of the development and changes in radio programming and formats. A review of the definitions and types of change are then presented. Concluding this section is a discussion of change management. Radio Station Programming The terms programming and formats are often used interchangeably in describing a radio station's over-the-air product. O'Donnell, Hausman, and Benoit define programming as "the placement of elements within the broadcast day" of a radio station. They define format as that which "pertains to the entire overall strategy of the station" (O'Donnell, Hausman, and Benoit, 1989, 73). Radio's programming 50 years ago was similar to television programming today. No one in the 1920s, 1930s, 1940s or early 1950s had a favorite radio station (N. Anthony, personal communication, March 20, 1993). What people did have were favorite programs. People would choose to listen to comedies, dramas, mysteries, quiz shows, and musical programs on various radio stations. In this type of radio programming, commonly called block programming, the radio station used, for example, a comedy show for one t wo-hour block, then would air either dramas, variety shows or musical shows for the next hour or two. For their programming, most of the stations relied on radio networks for delivery of these shows. Some independent stations would program using local talent and have studio orchestras for local shows (Keith, 1987, 1-2). In the 1950s radio faced an unpleasant reality as television emerged and began offering the same type of programming. In fact, many of the shows previously on radio had moved to television, and so had the audience and advertisers. Radio networks' loss to television of national advertising caused them to cut back programming offered to affiliate stations. With their listenership declining, local radio stations started to play more and more records as an inexpensive alternative to producing their own shows (Vivian, 1991, 185). As a result, block programming, which depended on the radio networks, was abandoned as a strategy for radio (Keith, 1987, 2). At the time of the emergence of television, rock`n'roll also established itself in the field of music. Hit playlists of record stores were being dominated by the new music (Keith, 1987, 2-3). Some radio stations started airing this new form of pop music. Anthony reported that during this period the "all format" made its appearance in radio. Radio would play one type of music, for example, top 40 or country, all day instead of using block programming. In his book, Keith observed that a new period had begun for radio: It was the dawning of a new era, of program specialization and selectivity. Radio broadcasters began to narrow their programming to gain a share of the listening audience that would generate advertiser interest. The day when radio stations could successfully broadcast in a random fashion was coming to a close for all but a few stations (Keith, 1987, 2). The first format to appear was a form of hit rock 'n' roll music called top 40. The term was created in reference to the airing of the top 40 favorite songs as determined by record sales. Keith identified broadcasters Todd Storz and Gordon McLendon as the young program innovators of this format. This format had a pre-determined recipe for what music was aired and mixed together. "No other format at the time adhered so closely to a formula," Keith noted. Eventually Country, Beautiful Music and Middle-of-the-Road formats would create niches for themselves among listeners. Block programming stations were becoming extinct. The medium of radio was emerging from the 1950s with even greater strength (Keith, 1987, 2-3). Competition grew as more licenses were issued by the FCC. While the number of AM station licenses continued to increase during the 1960s, FM lagged behind. Up to this point, FM had been considered the alternative band. According to Keith, AM owners treated their FM stations as weak step sisters. Despite its superior stereo quality, FM was largely ignored during this time. One reason was that very few people had FM receivers. Also, FM was associated with the highbrow culture. It was described by some as the egghead band, radio for the cultured. Hence, most broadcasters and listeners focused on AM and left FM in limbo (Keith, 1987, 3-4). In 1965, the FCC ruled that AM/FM stations could no longer simultaneously broadcast the same programming. Prior to this, a number of AM stations had broadcast the same programming on their FM stations. The FCC considered this an inefficient use of broadcast frequencies. This ruling initially applied to cities with populations of 100,000 or more. Thereafter, FM started to attract a listenership with its own programming (Keith, 1987, 4). However, AM enjoyed tremendous success during the 1960s and early 1970s. It was not unusual for an AM station to air 18 to 20 minutes of commercial time per hour. In fact, to squeeze more commercials into a hour, AM operators were playing 45 rpm records at 47 or 48 rpm to shorten the music. Having few listeners, FM could not sell its commercial inventory and thus had few commercials. By the mid-1960s, people began to listen to FM because of its limited number of commercials, no-talk policy, and stereo quality (N. Anthony, personal communication, March 20, 1993). By the late 1960s and early 1970s, FM started to achieve listenership ratings that attracted the attention of station managers and advertisers (Keith, 1987, 4). FM listenership continued to grow in the 1970s. FM ceased to be the weak step sister. In 1978, for the first time, it attracted 51 percent of the radio listening audience. By the mid-1980s, FM would leave AM far behind with 70 to 75 percent of the listeners. Today FM radio garners 90 percent of the radio listeners (N. Anthony, personal communication, March 20, 1993). In the 1970s, undeveloped FM stations were bought and moved closer to major markets to capitalize on growing revenue possibilities. A 1961 FCC ruling had provided operators considerable flexibility in moving transmitter sites. However, the strict administration of FCC rules kept the pace of station development slow. Then, in 1984, the FCC introduced Docket 80-90, which allocated new FM channels and issued new rules allowing "greater flexibility to alter existing FM technical facilities to penetrate larger nearby markets" (Anderton and Sanders, 1992, 5). Docket 80-90 also included a use-it-or-lose-it provision. FM stations not operating at full power for their class were given three years to build up to minimum levels or be permanently downgraded. This provision, along with the rest of Docket 80-90, changed the FM environment. FM's growing audience and revenue potential, coupled with the use-it-or-lose-it directive, further fueled FM station expansion (Anderton and Sanders, 1992, 5). Radio programming in the late 1970s and early 1980s focused on creating smaller niches in the audience market. This occurred in markets where radio stations encountered competition from other stations. Stations started to narrow the focus of the music to reach a specific listener target. For example, now there were three different Adult Contemporary (AC) formats. One station would have Soft AC, another a Hot AC, and another a Middle-of-the-Road AC, splitting three ways what had been the broad Adult Contemporary listenership (N. Anthony, personal communication, March 20, 1993). It was during the 1980s that the demise of the trusteeship approach to broadcasting occurred. The deregulation environment of broadcasting started this process. Docket 80-90, which added new FM frequencies, was just one part of it. The early 1980s brought about a different concept of the public interest. Government regulators now viewed licensees as marketplace participants rather than holders of a public trust. The marketplace approach is based upon the view that, in order to profit, entrepreneurs must provide to consumers goods of value and utility. This entrusts the entrepreneur to maximize fulfillment of societal needs. As Zaragoza states, the entrepreneur is: led by an invisible hand to promote an end which was no part of his intention but which, in the course of pursuing this own interest[.]...frequently promotes that of the society more effectively than when he really intends to promote it (Zaragoza, Bodorff and Emord, 1988, 30). Those who advocate the marketplace approach stated that the trusteeship model prevents the broadcast spectrum from reaching its best and highest use, which can be only achieved through competition (Zaragoza et al. 31). J. T. Anderton noted in his book, LMA Handbook, that operators in the early 1980s developed stations in markets with few or no stations and showed huge profit margins quickly. The financial community was impressed. The buying and selling of stations accelerated during the 1980s as more money was invested. Station prices were based on very high multiples of cash flow and the assumption that advertising revenues would continue to grow as they always had. Thus stations were bought and sold on their business potential. Many stations were heavily leveraged to fund and capitalize acquisition and development creating heavy debt burdens (Anderton and Sanders, 1992, 5-7). Thus, in the late 1980s, as new station owners had to pay this debt and interest, they faced more competition with much greater financial pressures than heretofore experienced. For example, where a $4 million radio advertising market once had four stations receiving $1 million each, there now might be eight stations obtaining $500,000 of the radio pie. According to Anthony, 55 percent of the radio stations lost money in 1992. Many markets were saturated by radio signals and formats, and numerous stations were heavily in debt. Advertising revenues remained static and actually decreased slightly in the early 1990s (N. Anthony, personal communication, September 14, 1993). An option that radio station managers are choosing to make their stations more competitive and profitable is to change format. According to Robert Unmacht, editor of the M Street Journal, 40 to 45 format changes by radio stations nationwide are tracked in his newsletter each week (R. Unmacht, personal communication, December 14, 1993). This means that between 2,080 to 2,340 radio stations, approximately 23 percent of the 10,022 commercial radio stations in 1995, switch formats annually (Broadcasting & Cable, 1995, 46). Rooster Rhodes, Operations Manager and Program Director of KCAQ-FM, Oxnard, California, indicated in a interview that a format change by a competitor might lead another station to switch its format (R. Rhodes, personal communication, April 1, 1994). Long-time broadcaster Kim Colebrook said "movement by someone else," in other words, a format change by a competitor, might lead a station to change its format (K. Colebrook, personal communication, April 5, 1994). However, broadcast consultant Jerry King stated that in his 25 years of experience he has seen this response to format changes happen only twice in two markets (J. King, personal communication, April 4, 1994). Radio stations operate in a dynamic environment. To remain competitive and profitable, radio station managers have had to change and adapt to shifting conditions. Programming niches have divided the listener base resulting in advertisers having numerous groups of listeners from which to choose. Stations fiercely compete in an over-crowded market for the same programming niche and advertising dollar. Anderton stated that "the result of these conditions is a far higher-than-normal station failure rate in the industry"(Anderton and Sanders, 1992, 6). To survive, radio station managers had to change and adapt to this new environment. The most common change is to the station's format. Change Harvard Business School professor Rosabeth Moss Kanter, Barry A. Stein, and Todd D. Jick stated that change is hard to define. They adopted the contemporary idea of change as being movement between distinct states, which they characterized as discrete and fixed. Discrete and fixed states are identifiable and separate from each other and are stationary. Change is described as motion between "state 1 at time 1 and state 2 at time 2." This movement is seen as ubiquitous and multidirectional. Kanter, Stein and Jick described planned organizational change: Deliberate change is a matter of grabbing hold of some aspect of the motion and steering it in a particular direction that will be perceived by key players as a new method of operating or as a reason to reorient one's relationship and responsibility to the organization itself, while creating conditions that facilitate and assist that reorientation (Kanter, Stein and Jick, 1992, 9). Howard Carlisle stated that to understand the complexity of corporations and change, it is important to have a systems view of organizations. Systems theory assumes that nothing exists in nature that is unattached. To truly understand an organization, one needs to know the relationships that contribute to its existence. Carlisle observed that "a system is an entity consisting of a composite whole formed of interdependent parts or elements involving relationships that contribute to the unique characteris tics of the whole" (Carlisle, 1982, 62). The emphasis is on the organization as a whole and the relationship among its constituent parts. Relationships that exist among the elements can be studied and understood by the unique characteristics they give the whole, and by their cause-and-effect interdependencies. Corporations are systems composed of such constituents as owners, managers, employees, vendors, competitors and customers. Changes in any one component will affect the relationships among all the other elements in the organization's system (Carlisle, 1982, 59). Leon Martel identified two basic kinds of change: structural and cyclical. He defined structural change as a "fundamental transformation of some activity or institution from a previous state" (Martel, 1986, 32). Structural changes are almost always permanent and prompt other changes in the environment. The transformation of the government's approach to broadcast regulation from the trusteeship approach to the marketplace model would fit Martel's structural change definition (Martel, 1986, 39). Martel described cyclical change as having a temporary nature. Cyclical change does not cause any transformation in the structure of institutions or activities. The duration of cyclical change is limited, which means that adjustments to it is temporary. Martel used economic growth rates as an example of cyclical change. He noted that a country will enjoy high annual rates of growth and then later realize a downturn in growth (Martel, 1986, 39). Radio stations provide good examples of cyclical change. Stations often have periods where their format was popular and the economy strong. Then listener's tastes change, a new competitor emerges with a better format, or the economy becomes weak, often causing the station to lose money. Organizations operate in an atmosphere of change. Whether the change is structural or cyclical, businesses need to change and adjust to their environments. To accomplish this, companies need to analyze the current environment, identify a need for change, and follow a process that implements planned change. The following section presents and discusses the process of change management. Change Management According to Edgar Schein, Kurt Lewin is the father of planned change. Schein felt that it was most useful to start understanding planned change by going back to the model first proposed by Lewin (Schein, 1980, 239). Lewin developed a way of examining change called force-field analysis. According to Lewin, change is not an event, but a "dynamic balance of forces working in opposite directions" (Hellriegel, Slocum, and Woodman, 1986, 590). Lewin observed: In discussing the means of bringing about a desired state of affairs one should not think in terms of the "goal to be reached" but rather in terms of a change "from the present level to the desired one. The discussion thus far implies that a planned change consists of supplanting the force-field corresponding to an equilibrium at the beginning level L1 by a force-field having its equilibrium at the desired level L2. It should be emphasized that the total force-field has to be changed at least in the area between L1 and L2 (Lewin, 1951, 224). His theory originally was derived from a physics concept. For example, Einstein theorized space as a system of distributed gravitational and electromagnetic forces. The distribution of such forces in an environment "determines what an object with certain properties will do in that environment" (Riordan and Riordan, 1993, 86). Lewin's force-field theory asserts that the "properties of any given event are determined by its relation to the system of events of which it is a component" (Riordan and Riordan, 1993, 86). That is, a change situation involves moving from a current condition to a desired condition. This situation is thought of as a field in which "forces are facilitating change and forces are hindering change." This theory assumes that most situations are held in equilibrium by these two opposing forces (Conner and Lake, 1988, 90). For example, Corbett and Norman used force-field analysis to identify individuals' positive and negative perceptions when a company introduced change in the form of new computer technology (Corbett and Norman, 1991, 11). Stokes also stated that force-field analysis is a good management tool for information systems professionals to use to identify facilitating and restraining forces when trying to attract users to their systems (Stokes Jr., 1989, 31). Nicholas further identified force-field analysis as a "technique that can be used to investigate which forces act on a current project or which might influence an upcoming project, and to determine where emphasis is needed to increase a project's likelihood for success" (Nicholas, 1989, 38). Hellriegel, Slocum and Woodman assert that using Lewin's model has two major benefits. First, it requires managers to analyze the current situation, and second, to identify factors that can and cannot be changed. "Managers often waste a great deal of time considering actions related to forces over which they have little, if any control" (Hellriegel et al., 1986, 591). For example, a radio station manager desiring to improve profitability must analyze the current situation. Forces for and against the changes needed to improve profitability would have to be identified and understood. The radio manager may need to change the station's format. However, there may be many forces opposing this change such as owner's dislike of proposed format, advertisers desires, and competitive pressures. Instead, the manager chooses to reduce station expenses which has fewer and weaker opposing forces. As Lewin observed: "To decide how best to bring about such an actual change, it does not suffice to consider one property. The total circumstances have to be examined" (Lewin, 1951, 224). The concept is useful in that it identifies and describes these forces, thereby facilitating management strategies to best manage change. To initiate change, management must change the equilibrium of the forces. Hellriegel, Slocum and Woodman observed that a manager might attempt change by: a) Increasing the strength of the pressure for change. b) Reducing the strength of the resisting forces or removing them completely. c) Changing the direction of a force --- that is, change a resistance into a pressure for change (Hellriegel et al., 1986, 591). Lewin's Force-field Theory: A Three-Step Model For Change Kanter, Stein and Jick noted that most change theories are typically modeled after Lewin's three-part process of change whereby an organization is moved from a flawed current condition to a desired condition (Kanter et al., 1992, 375). Lewin's theory is composed of a three-stage model of change with the steps being: unfreezing, changing, and refreezing (Lewin, 1951, 228-229). Kanter, Stein and Jick explained that the three-part process of change embodied: 1) The company must be awakened to a new reality and must disengage from the past, recognizing that the old way of doing things is no longer acceptable. 2) Next, the organization creates and embraces a new vision of the future, uniting behind the steps necessary to achieve that vision. 3) Finally, as new attitudes, practices and policies are put in place to change the corporation, these must be "refrozen" or solidified (Kanter et al., 1992, 375). The unfreezing step is the first stage of change and usually involves reducing the forces that seek to maintain the status quo. Hersey described it as a "thawing-out process in which the forces acting on individuals are rearranged so that now they see the need for change" (Hersey and Blanchard, 1988, 387). The goal is to motivate and prepare individuals or groups for change. Hellriegel, Slocum, and Woodman described the moving, or change, step as the development of new behaviors, values, and attitudes through changes in organizational structures and processes (Hellriegel et al., 1986, 591). Hersey asserts that the change process occurs by one of two mechanisms: identification and internalization. Identification occurs when role models are provided from whom individuals can learn new behaviors. Internalization occurs when individuals are placed in an environment that demands new behaviors of them if they are to operate successfully in that setting (Hersey and Blanchard, 1988, 382). The third stage of the change process, refreezing, is described as the step that "stabilizes the organization at a new state of equilibrium" (Hellriegel et al., 1986, 591). This is often done through supporting mechanisms such as organizational culture, norms, policies, and structures. The concern with this step is that the new behaviors of the individual or group do not disappear over time. (Hersey and Blanchard, 1988, 382-383). Lewin's force field theory explains how forces initiate the process of change. Change is described as movement from a current condition to a desired condition. This environment is characterized as a field where there are forces facilitating change, and forces opposing change. Most situations are held in equilibrium by these two sets of forces. As noted earlier, some broadcasters suggested that a competitor's format change might lead a station to change its format. According to the framework of Lewin's theory, this would imply that a competitor's format change is a facilitating force. This study examined a competitor's format change as a possible force that motivates radio station managers to change a station's format. THE RESEARCH HYPOTHESIS An examination of the materials on broadcast regulation, radio programming and formats, change, and change management resulted in the development of a research hypothesis and related questions. Earlier it was observed that when one station in a market changed formats it led another station in the market to change its format. This observation suggests that one of the forces acting on the equilibrium of a station operation is the competition's current format. A review of the literature suggests that the hypothesis for this study is: Radio station managers will cite the format change of a competing station as a primary force for considering a change of their station's format. The researcher's definition of primary force was that the factor is observed as the first or second reason to consider a station format change; i.e., that it be evaluated as a strong force and likely to influence a general manager to consider a station format change. Related Questions Lewin's force-field theory suggests that there are many forces, pro and con, that maintain an organization's equilibrium. While not directly related to the study, two related questions were investigated on a preliminary basis for future research. They were: How will managers evaluate a set of possible forces, in terms of their importance, for changing a station's format? How will managers evaluate a set of possible forces, in terms of their importance, for opposing a station's format? METHODOLOGY Lewin's theory observed that the change of the strength of a force would alter the forces maintaining the equilibrium and thus cause change to occur. The researcher hypothesized that a format change of a competitor is one of the forces that influence a station manager to consider a station's format change. The concept was operationalized through depth interviews and a survey questionnaire. The depth interviews were conducted with individuals from different parts of the country, with various market size backgrounds, and who had radio format change experience. The survey questionnaire was conducted by telephone with a census of radio station general managers in Akron, Canton, Cleveland, and Youngstown. The researcher used methodological triangulation for this study. This strategy permitted the researcher to explore, gather information, and construct a questionnaire on the topic with depth interviews. The survey was conducted to measure the factors discovered in the interviews. This strategy was not intended to show corroboration, but rather to better study and understand the attitudes of radio station managers and the dynamics of radio format changes. A purposeful sampling method was used for the depth interviews in selecting information-rich cases for study. For the qualitative part of the study a snowball sampling method was used to recruit subjects for interview (Patton, 1987, 56). The survey questionnaire used a census of four Northeastern Ohio markets for study. A census of a small population was used since the survey questionnaire did not utilize established measures and was untested (True, 1983, 83). Thus, one outcome of this study would be a questionnaire that has been tested and is capable of being used to conduct future research with a larger sample. The population surveyed in this study included radio station managers in the Akron, Canton, Cleveland and Youngstown metropolitan markets. Station managers were selected from radio stations reported in the Arbitron Company rating surveys. Radio station managers from stations reported in the Fall 1993 Arbitron, from the markets listed, formed the census . The total size of this census was 31. A total of 23 individuals participated in the research, 7 from Akron/ Canton, 9 from Cleveland, and 7 from Youngstown (Arbitron, 1993, III). The Qualitative Research: Depth Interviews The researcher used depth interviews, a qualitative approach, as the pilot component of the study. Wimmer and Dominick observed that depth interviews give investigators the opportunity to use broad questions to gain information on a subject (Wimmer and Dominick, 1994, 154-155). The depth interviews also were used to assist in constructing a questionnaire for the survey. The researcher interviewed eight individuals for this study. These information-rich cases included persons with the following backgrounds: 1) a vice president and executive sales director of a medium-market broadcast company, 2) operations manager and program director for a small-market radio station, 3) a vice president and general manager of a radio station, 4) a radio broadcast consultant of a major national consulting firm, 5) a vice president and general manager of a major market advertising agency, 6) a president of a national radio broadcast consulting firm, 7) a vice president of a national group of 13 radio stations, and 8) a president of a multi-media corporation owning 15 radio stations. The Quantitative Research: Survey Questionnaire The researcher constructed the questionnaire for this study so that each radio station manager's attitudes were measured using two Likert scales (Singletary, 1994, 84-85). In this study, respondents evaluated factors that were identified in the depth interviews as motivating and opposing forces for a radio station's format change. On one scale, respondents were asked to evaluate factors on a scale from 0 to 10 with 0 as `not a reason at all' and 10 `as the strongest possible reason' to make a format change. Since the survey was conducted over the telephone, it was easier for respondents to remember and use this scale in their evaluations. The researcher then used another Likert scale to examine the same variables. Participants could respond to factors with either highly likely, likely, neutral, unlikely, or highly unlikely. The results of this approach assisted the researcher in gaining an understanding of the factors under examination and provided information for more extensive research. Babbie notes that the ultimate validity of a measure cannot be proven. It is difficult to say that a measure truly reflects a concepts meaning. As for this study's measure to test if a competitor's format change is a force that influences other station managers to consider a station format change, it has face validity. Since this study did not use any established measures and the survey questionnaire was untested, there is no way to assess the reliability of this research (Babbie, 1992, 130-131). Data Analysis Depth Interviews Inductive analysis was used to analyze the qualitative data. Patton identifies inductive analysis as one method of organizing themes and patterns in the data. Once data is collected, the formal analysis begins. He identifies inductive analysis as a method whereby "patterns, themes, and categories of analysis come from the data; they emerge out of the data rather than being decided upon prior to data collection and analysis" (Patton, 1987, 150). There are two kinds of patterns that materialize from the analysis of the data: (1) the categories developed and articulated by the participants in the study, and (2) the patterns which people did not label "and the analyst developed terms to described these inductively generated categories" (Patton, 1987, 150). Survey Questionnaire Univariate analysis was used by the researcher to study and interpret the meaning of the data collected through the survey questionnaires. The analysis of the data involved descriptive statistics that examined frequency distributions, measures of central tendency, and measures of dispersion of the data (Babbie, 1992, G3). Data analysis was accomplished using the Statistical Package for the Social Sciences (SPSS release 4.1) through the Kent State University mainframe computer. The following section details the results of the analysis of the data collected from the depth interviews and survey questionnaire (Norusis, 1983). RESEARCH RESULTS Depth Interviews Motivating Forces for Changing a Radio Station's Format The researcher conducted the depth interviews during the first two weeks of April 1994. The researcher questioned participants and probed for reasons or forces that move radio managers to change the formats of their radio stations. Out of this path of inquiry, the researcher identified nine factors that possibly act on radio managers to make a station format change. The factors include slippage in station ratings, lack of sales revenues, competitive moves such as format changes, the development of a hot new format, ownership change of a competitor, ownership change of station, station research, marginal profits, and anticipated format change of a competing station. None of the participants cited every item listed above. Each of the respondents noted three or four factors. When combined, a list of nine potential factors was developed to determine what leads radio station managers to consider a radio station format change. These factors were slippage in ratings, lack of sales revenues, competitive moves, the development of a hot new format, ownership change of competitor, own station ownership change, station research, marginal profits, and anticipated format change of competing station. One of the most cited factors for changing a radio station's format was the lack of sales revenues. Six of eight people noted the lack of sales revenues in the current format as a very strong reason to change formats. Another most cited factor for changing a station's format was slippage in station audience ratings. There were five respondents who cited falling audience ratings of a radio station's current format as a strong reason to change. The most cited factor for changing a radio station's format was competitive pressures. All eight participants described competitive pressures as a force in deciding to change a radio station's format. Respondents noted that competitive moves such as format changes, changes to a hot new format, or attacks by a competitor in a similar format would lead them to consider a station format change. It is important to note, however, that only one of the individuals cited this as a very strong reason to change formats. Two participants noted it as their secondary factor, and the remaining five people stated this as a third or fourth lesser factor in contemplating a station format change. Opposing Forces To Changing a Radio Station's Format Upon completing the discussion on forces that might lead the participants to change a radio station's format, the focus switched to factors that may lead them to reconsider their decision. The question was framed: Given that the individual was contemplating a format change, what then would be factors or reasons to reconsider changing a station's format? The following factors were identified by the participants as reasons to not change a format: ownership dislike of the proposed new format, current station advertisers, current loyal listeners, being unique in current format, the cost of changing a station's format, weak sales force to sell new format, station research, consultant's advice, and deep pockets of competitor. Unlike the forces for changing a radio station's format, there was no factor that was identified by a majority of the participants. Some factors received mention by three respondents; all the other factors were observed only once. The forces against change identified by three participants included the station's current advertisers, current listeners, and station research. The loss of current advertisers was noted by both the small-market radio manager and the president of the company owning several stations. The president of the broadcasting company observed that anytime a radio station changes format, it starts from ground zero and will need to build another listener and advertiser base. His comment was that too many radio managers underestimate the loss of business that occurs when changing a radio station's format. Another factor identified by three individuals was current listener loyalty. Participants observed that current listenership might lead the manager not to change a station's format, particularly if the potential audience for the proposed format is questionable. One respondent commented that often it is a matter of studying the current listeners and determining if the station can encourage them to listen longer, and during other days and dayparts. Improvements are then made to the current format which then leads to an increase in the station's ratings. Consequently, the station avoids changing its format. Station research was another factor identified by three respondents as a reason to not to change a radio station's format. They noted that research may reveal that potential listeners, advertising revenues, or both for a proposed format may not be as great as first thought. In addition, station research may reveal that improvements in the current format would build more listeners and advertising dollars than making the costly move of changing the station's format. The remaining force identified by three participants was the cost of changing a station's format. All three individuals noted that this is not a strong or primary force, but it is a consideration that might make them not change the format. One comment worth noting is that it all comes down to what can be described as the risk vs. benefit ratio. All the risks and all the benefits have to be weighed and examined before changing a radio station's format. His thoughts were that the factors mentioned to changing a format, pro and con, need to be weighed against the potential benefit of making that change. Are the prospective revenue benefits worth the risk of making a change? Changing A Radio Station's Format In exploring radio format changes and change management, the researcher asked the eight participants to describe the process of changing a radio station's format. All the respondents observed that format changes are dependent on the condition of the station and its market. No two situations are alike. In their observations, planning, timing, and staff changes would be different for each station's format change. Six of the eight people stated that once a decision is made to change a station's format, it is usually executed quickly. The six respondents indicated the timing of a format change from when a decision is made to implementation is between one and four weeks. They felt the timing was important because they feared the decision would leak out and give the competition time to gear up a combative marketing campaign. Two individuals noted that they had changed a station's format in three to four days, although it is something they would not recommend. In one case, the respondent observed that a station was offered a large amount of money by a competitor, with a similar format, to drop and change its current format in two hours. The station agreed to do it, and in two hours dropped the current format. For three days the station played the songs of one artist from the new format until a new music library arrived. One participant said that when the station changed its format, he had hired telemarketers to handle calls from listeners. Telephone calls were screened so that positive calls of praise were passed on to the announcers. Negative calls were taken by telemarketers who listened, probed for reasons of dissatisfaction, and offered information to the caller/listener on how the format change improved the station's ability to serve its listeners. The unhappy listener was then offered a dinner for two at a nice restaurant if he or she would listen, try out the station's new format, and then call with feedback. The respondent noted that this approach was extremely successful in handling and converting irate listeners from the old to the new format. Survey Questionnaire The census was comprised of 20 males and 3 females. Twelve of the 23 had greater than 15 years of radio management experience, 7 had between 10 and 15 years, 1 had between 5 and 10 years, and 3 respondents had less than five years of radio management experience. Seven of the 23 individuals were general managers of group owned stations. The other 16 were general managers of radio stations that owned no other stations outside their market. The ages of the respondents ranged from 22 to 74. The median age was 49 with a mean age of 48.7. Four respondents refused to provide ages. Seventeen of the 23 participants had changed a radio station's format. The other six people had no format-change experience. Of the 17 who did, five individuals had experience changing a radio station's format once, six people had changed formats two times, three people had changed formats three times, two participants had changed formats four times, and one respondent had changed a radio station's format seven times. The following sections provide results of the attitude measurements of factors for and against changing a radio station's format. Data analysis involved descriptive statistics that included frequency distribution, mean, mode, and standard deviation. Possible Forces That Influence a Format Change The researcher had the respondents evaluate potential factors that may influence a radio manager to change a station's format using a 0 to 10 scale. A score of 0 meant the factor is not at all a reason and a score of 10 was the highest possible reason to change a radio station's format. The results of the survey questionnaire appear to support the results of the depth interviews. The factor, a competitor's format change, received a mean score of 3.565. At first glance this would indicate that radio general managers in the census rated a competitor's format change as a very low reason to consider changing their station's format. However, the standard deviation is large, 2.761, which indicates the scores were widely distributed from the mean. The range of reported scores was a minimum of 0 with a maximum of 8. The mode value was 0 with a frequency of 5. The values 2, 3, 5 and 8 had a frequency of 3. While the results indicate that radio station managers in Akron, Canton, Cleveland, and Youngstown cite a competitor's format change as a weak motivating force for a station format change, the range and frequency distribution of the scores may indicate that the strength of this factor varies. Five of the radio station general managers evaluated this factor with a 0, but the other 18 respondents measured the factor between 1 and 8. While the mean score indicates this is a weak factor, the range and frequency distribution of each of the scores exhibit strength that varies between 0, not at all a force, to 8, strong. Radio station general managers in the census were asked to evaluate nine potential forces in the survey questionnaire. Evaluations were accomplished using the same 11-point Likert scale. Slippage in station ratings, lack of sales revenues, marginal profits, and station research received mean scores of 7 or higher in measurement. But the standard deviation for each of the factors mean scores was large. This indicates that the scores were widely dispersed. However, the frequency distribution of each score showed that the majority of the respondents evaluated these factors as 6 or higher. The next segment of the survey used a another Likert scale to measure the attitudes of radio general managers toward possible factors influencing a station format change. The scale used was 1 `highly unlikely,' 2 `unlikely,' 3 `neutral,' 4 `likely,' and 5 `highly unlikely.' An examination of the results of the second Likert scale measurements indicate that a competitor's format change is unlikely to lead a station manager to change a station's format. The mean score was 2.304 with a standard deviation of 1.063. In this census, radio station managers observed that it is unlikely a competitor's format change would lead them to consider a station format change. However, the standard deviation is somewhat large exhibiting a wide dispersion of scores. The mode was 2 (unlikely) with a frequency of 8. The range and frequency distribution of each score varied from a score of 1 (Highly Unlikely) with a frequency of 6 to a score of 4 (likely) with a frequency of 4. There were 5 respondents who cited the value of 3 (neutral) for this factor. Overall, 14 respondents rated this factor at least unlikely, but 5 cited neutral and 4 responded with likely. Evaluations were made for the other motivating factors that might influence a radio general manager to change a station's format. The measurements exhibit the clearest results for lack of sales revenues with a mean score of 4.652 and standard deviation of .714, marginal profits had a mean score of 4.130 and a standard deviation of .968, and station research had a mean score of 3.783 and a standard deviation of .736. The results indicate that the radio station managers in the census evaluated these factors as likely to motivate them to consider making a station format change. Slippage in ratings also received a mean score of 4.087, but the standard deviation was 1.240. The frequency distribution though showed that 18 of the 23 respondents rated this factor likely or higher as a motivating force. The other factors of competitor's format change, hot new formats, anticipated format change of competitor, ownership change of competitor, and own station ownership change received mean scores that rated the factors unlikely to lead the radio station general managers in the census to consider a station format change. However, the factors' mean scores had standard deviations that were large indicating a wide dispersion of scores. Possible Factors Opposing A Format Change In the final segment of the survey, respondents, using a Likert scale, measured possible factors that might influence radio sales managers to reconsider a station format change. The same Likert scale was used again 1`highly unlikely,' 2 `unlikely,' 3 `neutral,' 4 `likely,' and 5 `highly likely.' The score reflected a radio station manager's attitude towards potential factors that may cause a decision to change a station's format to be reconsidered. The results of these measurements were inconclusive. M ost of the mean scores for these factors had large standard deviations indicating a wide distribution of scores. Summary The intention of this study was to examine one specific force that may influence radio station managers to change formats. As it was, the small size of the census limited the ability of the research to examine the hypothesis. What this study does find is that there are a number of forces that influence change, as noted by Lewin. However, due to the study's limitations, the exact nature and strength of those forces are unknown. The results of this study do not support the research hypothesis. The data collected from the depth interviews identified a competitor's format change as a potential force in influencing a radio station's manager to consider a station format change. But most of the eight individuals interviewed noted the force as a third or fourth reason. Analysis of the data gathered through the survey questionnaire showed that radio station general managers in the census do not cite this factor as a primary force. A competitor's format change was evaluated by the census as a weak influence in the consideration of a station format change. However, the dispersion of the scores indicate that the presence and/or strength of this force varies among the participants in the census. The pursuit of this research produced two related questions: what are the motivating forces that influence a station manager to consider a station format change?, and what are the opposing forces that influence a station manager to reconsider a format change? The depth interviews identified nine potential motivating forces. These forces were slippage in station ratings, lack of sales revenues, competitive moves, the development of a hot new format, ownership change of competitor, own station ownership c hange, station research, marginal profits, and anticipated format change of competing station. The evaluations of radio general managers from the census exhibited the clearest results for lack of sales revenues, marginal profits, and station research. These factors were identified as forces that would likely influence the managers to consider a station format change. Slippage in station ratings was evaluated as a likely force, but the dispersion measurements for this factor showed the evaluations varied widely. The other factors of competitive moves, hot new format, anticipated format change of competitor, ownership change of competitor, and own station ownership change were rated as unlikely to lead the census to consider a station format change. However, the evaluations were widely dispersed for all these factors. This means that the strength and/or presence of these forces varied among radio managers in the census. The depth interviews identified ten possible forces opposing a radio station format change. The forces identified were: ownership dislike of prospective new format, current station advertisers, current loyal listeners, being unique in current format, cost of changing a station's format, a weak sales force, station research, cost of operating new format, consultant's advice, and deep pockets of competitor. Measurement of these factors in the survey questionnaire were inconclusive. The dispersion of the scores made the results unclear. Conclusion and Implications Although the initial results of this study failed to confirm the research hypothesis, this conclusion would be premature. The distribution of the scores from the survey questionnaire showed that the strength of a competitor's format change varies in its ability to influence radio station general managers in the census to consider a station format change. One possible explanation for these results is that the size of the census surveyed was small. This could affect the ability of the descriptive statistics to provide clear results. Comments offered by some of the respondents offer another interpretation. In evaluating the forces of change, one respondent stated that "it depends on the corporate strategy" of what would lead a station manager to consider a station format change. Another individual from Cleveland said that the only way his station would change formats "is if it got bought," because the station is focused on serving the ethnic community with ethnic-centered programming. The comments suggest that one possible element influencing the distribution of survey scores in the evaluation of forces is the mission or goals of each station. Lewin stated that change is movement from a current condition to a desired condition. The researcher suggests that one component not considered in the study is the radio station's current point of equilibrium and what, if any, is the desired point of equilibrium. The desired equilibrium in the example of a radio station may be defined as its mission or goals. The goals may range from a level of profitability to serving the needs of a specific listening audience with specific information and entertainment. The respondent with the ethnic-centered programming served the ethnic community. This station's mission was to serve this specific audience. No factor, according to the participant, would lead the station to change its format except if it is sold. Another radio station general manager may be influenced to change a station's format if its level of profitability dropped below a certain point. An additional explanation for the results of the survey questionnaire was that participants were asked to evaluate and rate potential motivating and opposing factors individually. One respondent commented that "it's a combination of things that lead a radio general manager to make a station format change. A participant from the depth interviews stated that the dynamics of radio station format change are complex. Lewin observed that forces have various strengths and that the sum of these forces maintain the equilibrium. Thus evaluating and rating each factor separately may be unrealistic and out of context. While this study did establish that a competitor's format change as a possible motivating force among the participants in the research, the strength of this factor is still unknown. A better question would be: when is a competitor's format change a significant force in influencing a radio station manager to consider changing a station's format?, and what is its strength in relation to other factors? The implications of this study: the presence and strength of forces that act on radio station managers are dynamic and complex. The findings suggest that station managers do not have identical forces with identical strengths acting on them. There appears to be other variables that determine the forces which create equilibrium for a station. Limitations There are limitations to this study that need to be noted. First, the results of the depth interviews cannot be generalized. The nature of qualitative methods makes it difficult to generalize results. Naturalistic inquiry is excellent for observing and gathering information on the experiences of participants. Patton observed that the term generalization in qualitative research gives way to extrapolation. Extrapolations are mild speculations on the likely applicability of results to other similar situations. They are thoughtful,logical, and useful when based on data collected from information-rich sources (Patton, 1987, 168). Data collected by the survey questionnaire is limited in its ability to be generalized. A census of radio station general managers in Akron, Canton, Cleveland, and Youngstown was surveyed. Their input provided a better understanding of the topic. It is unknown how this census reflects the attitudes of radio station general managers in the U.S. Thus, the results can be generalized to the population of the census, but nowhere else. The final limitation concerns the questionnaire used for the survey. The questionnaire did not use established measures and was untested. Although it had face validity, there is no way of evaluating the reliability of this questionnaire. Recommendations This research serves as a pilot study for gaining familiarity with the subject of radio station format changes. The results indicated that the dynamics of radio station format changes are complex. The researcher recommends that future studies investigate how the station mission or goals determine which motivating and opposing forces influence a station format change. In addition, other variables such as market size, type of ownership, and the general manager's experience should be examined to determine if there are any significant relationships that decide the forces influencing or opposing radio station general managers to consider a station format change. Future research needs to be conducted concerning the second part of Lewin's force-field theory of change in relation to station format changes. 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