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Elliott Parker ==================================================================== Television and political alienation in Japan Shinichi Saito Department of Communication Tokyo Woman's Christian University 2-6-1 Zempukuji, Suginami-ku, Tokyo, Japan, 167-8585 E-mail: [log in to unmask] Paper presented at the Mass Communication & Society Division of the Association for Education in Journalism and Mass Communication annual meeting at San Antonio, August 10-August 13, 2005 Abstract Putnam's time displacement hypothesis and Robinson's videomalaise hypothesis have not received sufficient supporting evidence from studies undertaken in the United States and a number of European countries. However, it remains unknown whether television causes similar demobilization effects in Japan. Therefore, this study examined whether television cultivates political alienation in Japan. To address this issue, this study was based on the assumption that effects resulting from television content and use of the medium per se combine in a complex manner to produce political alienation. Past research has indicated that Japanese political alienation is comprised of three dimensions: political apathy, political inefficacy, and political cynicism. Data from a survey conducted in Tokyo revealed that frequent viewers were more likely to be politically apathetic and feel politically inefficacious than were infrequent viewers. Among viewers who did not watch the news on NHK (public television), television viewing was also related to political cynicism. We examine the implications of our findings and provide some directions for future research. Television and political alienation in Japan In many democratic societies, including Japan, political apathy, disaffection, distrust, and indifference are common among the general public, especially the younger generation. This sort of negative political consciousness (negative attitudes or feelings toward politics) can only have a negative effect on democracy. Some researchers argue that along with various other factors embedded in political systems, mass media, especially television, play a crucial role in promoting or intensifying political apathy or cynicism (e.g., Cappella and Jamieson, 1997; Ootake, 2003; Patterson, 1993, Putnam, 1995, Robinson, 1976, Taniguchi, 2002). Condemnation of mass media as a negative force against democracy can be traced back to Lazarsfeld and Merton's (1948/1971) idea of narcotizing dysfunction. These authors argued that mass media allow the general public to be in touch with the world, but that mass media "may elicit only a superficial concern with the problems of society, and this superficiality often cloaks mass apathy" (p. 565). According to them, the audience "comes to mistake knowing about problems of the day for doing something about them" (italics original) and "quite apart from intent, increasing dosages of mass communications may be inadvertently transforming the energies of men from active participation into passive knowledge" (p. 566). Concerning narcotizing dysfunction, Wright (1986) wrote that "the individual, overwhelmed by matters brought to his or her attention by mass communication, escapes to private concerns over which there seems to be more control" (p. 18). In other words, too much information from mass media may lead an audience to privatization, which in turn may lead to individual apathy about civic activity. Although it was not well documented in their work, the process (or underlying mechanism) by which media induce mass apathy and inertia may include at least three components: time displacement of civic activities owing to media use, privatization resulting from information overload, and misperception of passive knowledge about public issues as active social participation. These processes may take place at the same time as media use, regardless of the content's quality or type. Thus, narcotizing dysfunction could be regarded as a social consequence that is brought about by the use of media per se, rather than by media content.1 If this is the case, this negative social consequence should be more clearly demonstrated among frequent media users than among infrequent users. When Lazarsfeld and Merton (1948/1971) published their theory, radio and newspapers were the dominant mass media. With the addition of television in modern times, narcotizing dysfunction seems to have become more and more prevalent. It may be one of the most significant unintended influences of mass communication. In the past, however, authors have discussed narcotizing dysfunction in the absence of empirical testing, partly because it was under-theorized and oversimplified, and partly because functional analysis has been widely unpopular since the early 1970s (Bryant and Miron, 2004). Although not directly referring to the term 'narcotizing dysfunction', some researchers have investigated an issue similar to that set out by Lazarsfeld and Merton (1948/1971) half a century ago. For example, Putnam (1995) has argued that television has led to a decline in social capital in the United States. He noted that "TV watching comes at the expense of nearly every social activity outside the home, especially social gatherings and informal conversations" (pp. 678-679), and claimed that television has, therefore, privatized our leisure time. Although the theme under discussion is the decline of social capital, and does not refer directly to negative political consciousness, Putnam's 'time displacement hypothesis' (Moy, Scheufele and Holbert, 1999) can be considered an important extension of the concept of narcotizing dysfunction. Mutz (1998) pointed out that Putnam's arguments are "clearly within the mass society tradition; mass media are conceptualized as displacing close-knit interpersonal networks and thus producing an alienated public" (p. 267). Moy et al. (1999) conducted an empirical examination of Putnam's time displacement hypothesis, namely, that "the time one spends watching television should be related negatively to civic capital" (Moy et al., 1999, p. 31). Their results supported the hypothesis that television has a negative impact on civic capital, but they found that the relation is not mediated by perceptions of time pressure. They concluded that "television undermines civic engagement. However, blaming television for taking time away from other activities is not warranted. Therefore, our research calls for a modified time displacement hypothesis" (p. 40). A number of researchers have provided unsupported evidence for the time displacement hypothesis (e.g., Norris, 1996); however, Putnam's thesis deserves further investigation, above all in countries other than the United States. It is important to note that the mechanism hypothesized by Lazarsfeld and Merton (1948/1971) and Putnam (1995) does not provide a complete picture of how media induce political apathy or cynicism. With regard to this issue, Norris (1996) pointed out that "we do not know whether the public is affected by the simple amount of television viewing, as Putnam (1995) claims, or whether the contents of what people watch is equally important" (p. 475). Obviously, television content also plays an important role in cultivating political alienation among viewers. Among studies that have addressed the issue of the impact of media content on political alienation, Robinson's (1976) study, which set out the "videomalaise hypothesis", is clearly one of the earliest and most influential studies to date. He argued that growing political discontent and a decline in feelings of political efficacy can be linked to the media, particularly television. Robinson demonstrated that exposure to TV news about politics was related to political inefficacy, distrust, and cynicism. Robinson listed several factors that may lead to videomalaise, including unmotivated television news viewing, the high credibility attributed to the television networks by the audience, the interpretive character of television news coverage, the emphasis on the negative and on conflict and violence in television news, and the anti-institutional theme of network news programs. However, follow-up studies on the videomalaise hypothesis by other scholars have shown mixed findings, partly because of their "diverse conceptualizations, research designs and indicators" (Holtz-Bacha, 1990, p. 74). Several studies have been conducted in the US, but few provided evidence supporting the hypothesis (see Bennet, Rhine, Flickinger & Bennet, 1999; Norris, 2000). Bowen, Stamm and Clark (2000) suggested that the videomalaise hypothesis was subject to a number of contingencies that limit its generality. Some European studies have revealed that, while the viewing of commercial TV news and entertainment programs has a negative effect on political engagement, viewing TV news on a public channel has a positive effect (e.g., Holtz-Bacha, 1990; Hooghe, 2002; Aarts & Semetko, 2003). Cappella and Jamieson's (1997) "spiral of cynicism" argument can be regarded as a variant (or extention) of the videomalaise hypothesis. From the perspective of media-framing effects (see Scheufele, 1999 for a comprehensive review), Cappella and Jamieson hypothesized that the media undermine political trust and participation. They divided styles of news reporting about political campaigns into two types: issue frame and strategic frame. The former emphasizes "policy issues, problems, and solutions" and the latter focuses on "candidate strategy, win-or-lose aspects of the campaign, and politicians' selfish interests" (Rhee, 1997, p. 30). Using experimental studies, Cappella and Jamieson (1997) demonstrated that news coverage using a strategic frame leads audiences to political cynicism. They also provided a thoughtful explanation, from a social cognition perspective, of the underlying mechanisms of this type of media framing effect (See also Rhee, 1997). In Japan, Taniguchi (2002) expanded on the work of Cappella and Jamieson (1997), examining the relationship between viewing specific news programs and political cynicism. Taniguchi's content analysis of two major nightly news programs (NHK's News 10 and TV Asashi's News Station) categorized 76.3% of News Station news items as using a strategic frame and 15.3% as using an issue frame (8.5% were categorized as other); corresponding figures for News 10 were 55.6%, 40.3%, and 4.2% respectively. Based on panel data along with the content analysis, Taniguchi concluded that News Station relied on a strategic frame and depicted politicians in a more negative context; this tended to lead viewers to political cynicism. This negative influence was not observed in News 10 newscasts. Unlike Lazarsfeld and Merton's narcotizing dysfunction or Putnam's time displacement hypothesis, Robinson's videomalaise hypothesis and Cappella and Jamieson's media-framing effects hypothesis directly deal with the impact of media content, rather than the consequences of media per se. Thus, their theoretical foundations or conceptual frameworks differ from those of Lazarsfeld and Merton (1948/1971) and Putnam (1995). Since the question of whether media content or the use of media per se plays a greater role in inducing political apathy or cynicism remains unsolved, this study assumes that both media content and the use of media per se combine in a complex manner to have an impact on viewers' political consciousness. Recent trends in television news and information programs in Japan Recently, there has been worldwide criticism of television news and information programs. Researchers have coined the terms 'newszak' (Franklin, 1997) and 'tabloid news (or tabloidization)' (Grabe, Zhou, Lang and Bolls, 2000; Hayashi, 1999; Langer, 1998) to refer to mainly entertainment-oriented news programs, and have examined the possible negative impacts that these programs may have on an audience. In Japan, television news programs have dramatically changed since the mid-1980s. News Station, first aired in 19852, was the first to change the way in which news was reported. Since then, other television stations have also revised their news programs. Consequently, there has been a so-called 'news war', in which news coverage (mostly programs on commercial stations) has become increasingly sensational and entertainment-oriented (Hagiwara, 2001; Ootake , 2003; Takase, 1999).3 Hagiwara (2001) conducted a content analysis to examine how television news programs tend to be entertainment-oriented. He focused on two aspects: news content and news format. His analysis showed that 'soft' news (e.g., sports, lifestyle, or culture) occupied on average about half of the total broadcasting time. He also found that a variety of attention-catching techniques such as bridge sounds, computer graphics, charts, BGM, sound effects, or unnecessary telops were excessively used in news programs on commercial stations. (He termed these 'excessive stage effects'.) According to Hagiwara, the tendency of news programs to be entertainment-oriented has accelerated in recent years. Such entertainment-oriented tendencies can be observed not only during regular news programs but also during weekly information programs such as TBS's Sunday Morning or TV Asahi's Sunday Project (these are often termed 'political talk shows'; see Inaba, 2003). Ootake (2003) argued that while entertainment-oriented news programs and political talk shows certainly contribute to enhancement of political interest and a better understanding of complicated social issues among the general public, the programs simultaneously foster a tendency to regard politics as a form of entertainment. Ootake (2003) further charged that these television programs have manufactured political spectators who are similar to sports spectators. In addition, several weekly 'infotainment' programs hosted by comedians are aired in Japan; these deal with mainly political issues, and often turn political issues into comedy. Although they may help the audience, especially the younger generation, to learn about recent political issues, the way in which politics is presented in these programs could also have a negative impact. This study examines whether television cultivates a negative political consciousness in Japan. In this study, we do not rely on a single theoretical model. As mentioned above, this study is based on the assumption that both media content and the use of media per se play significant roles, which interact in a complex manner, to induce political alienation. Robinson's (1976) videomalaise hypothesis was the most influential study with respect to the present undertaking. Applying this hypothesis to the impact of entertainment-oriented news and infotainment programs, we hypothesized that more frequent viewers of television are more likely to be politically cynical or to have a sense of political inefficacy. It seems plausible to suppose that frequent viewers can become so engrossed in being informed, and so mesmerized by entertainment-oriented programs dealing with political matters, that they equate being an informed citizen with being an active citizen, and subsequently become apathetic or cynical toward politics. The concept of 'political alienation' So far we have used the terms political apathy, cynicism, distrust or indifference rather loosely when referring to negative attitudes toward or feelings about politics. Some researchers in the US have attempted to clarify the conceptual foundations of these similar concepts, often used as synonyms. For example, analyzing the National Election Study (NES) data on political alienation, Chen (1992) concluded that political alienation consists of four dimensions: (1) normlessness or distrust, (2) powerlessness or inefficacy, (3) meaninglessness, and (4) apathy. Similarly, Austin and Pinkleton (1995) described four components of a model of political disaffection: (1) cynicism, (2) apathy, (3) negativism, and (4) third-person perceptions. Austin and Pinkleton summarized several concepts relating to negative political attitudes and feelings (e.g., apathy or cynicism) and created a questionnaire to measure them (Austin and Pinkleton, 1995; Pinkleton and Austin, 2004). In Japan, reviewing relevant literature about negative political consciousness, Yamada (1990; 1994) suggested using the term 'political alienation' in a generic way to cover various concepts about negative attitudes toward or feelings about politics. Political alienation may be defined as "alienated feelings from politics among members of mass democratic society" (Yamada, 1994, p. 92). Yamada (1994) constructed a scale consisting of nine items to measure political alienation among Japanese citizens. His research indicated that Japanese political alienation is comprised of three dimensions: political apathy, political inefficacy, and political cynicism (or distrust). Because of differences in the political culture and climate of Japan and the United States, this study used the scale proposed by Yamada (1994). With regard to political inefficacy, Bandura (1986) introduced the idea of self-efficacy, which influences self-regulation. According to Fiske and Taylor (1992), "Self-efficacy beliefs are conceptualized as highly specific control-related beliefs which concern one's ability to perform a particular outcome. The stronger one's perceived self-efficacy, the more one will exert effort and persist at a task" (p. 198). Applied to political communication, political efficacy is defined as "the feeling that an individual citizen can have an impact on the political process" (Tan, 1981, p. 136). Three items in Yamada's scale apply to political efficacy; more specifically, the items measure political inefficacy. Austin and Pinkleton (1995) found that apathy and cynicism toward politics were negatively correlated to political efficacy. These researchers regarded political efficacy as a mediating variable between political disaffection and voting behavior (i.e., disaffection such as cynicism and apathy precede inefficacy). Yamada (1994), however, proposed the opposite relationship, namely, that people become politically apathetic because they feel politically inefficacious. Arguments about causal relationships among apathy, cynicism, and efficacy are, however, beyond the scope of this article. For the sake of convenience, here we deal with these three elements independently. Hypotheses As mentioned earlier, this study is based on the assumption that effects resulting from both television content and use of the medium per se combine in a complex manner to produce political alienation. Although both Putnam's time displacement hypothesis and Robinson's videomalaise hypothesis have not necessarily gained supporting evidence from studies conducted in the United States and a number of European countries, the question of whether television causes these demobilization effects in other countries, including Japan, remains to be answered. Based on the arguments of a number of prominent Japanese political scientists cited earlier (e.g., Ootake, 2003; Taniguchi, 2002; Takase, 1999), and previous relevant findings by Hagiwara (2001) and Taniguchi (2002), it may be assumed that television fosters political apathy, cynicism, and inefficacy among viewers in Japan. This study uses two measures to indicate television exposure: the amount of overall viewing and the amount of television news viewing. Both measures could be predictor variables, but which one has more power to predict political alienation? Specifically, this study formulated the following hypotheses: H1a: The more time people spend watching television, the more likely they are to be politically cynical. H1b: The more time people spend watching television news programs, the more likely they are to be politically cynical. H2a: The more time people spend watching television, the more likely they are to feel politically inefficacious. H2b: The more time people spend watching television news programs, the more likely they are to feel politically inefficacious. H3a: The more time people spend watching television, the more likely they are to be politically apathetic. H3b: The more time people spend watching television news programs, the more likely they are to be politically apathetic. Although not formally included in these hypotheses, we also pay careful attention to possibly different effects created by viewing public and commercial TV broadcasting4. Method Procedures To test these hypotheses, a sampling survey was conducted in November 2003. The sample for this study was drawn from the city of Tokyo. Using a two-stage probability sampling method, 1000 people aged 20 or above who lived in Tokyo were selected. The sample was chosen using a Tokyo poll-book that lists all electorates at least 20 years old. Trained interviewers administered questionnaires in person from November 15 to December 1, 2003; 619 interviews were completed. Measures Political alienation: We used Yamada's scale to measure negative attitudes toward or feelings about politics. Respondents expressed their level of political alienation by responding to nine 5-point Likert-scale items with response categories ranging from 1 (strongly disagree) to 5 (strongly agree). A factor analysis of political alienation items using varimax rotation indicated that the scale consisted of three dimensions suggested by Yamada (See Table 1). Political cynicism consisted of three items: "we cannot trust what politicians say"; "dietmen/women do not consider the electorate"; and "politicians devote themselves to corruption or factions rather than to planning or carrying out policy". We combined these three items into a scale (hereafter termed the 'cynicism scale'). The alpha coefficient for the cynicism scale was .84. Political inefficacy was comprised of the following three items: "political trends are determined by power beyond our control"; "our making a fuss about politics makes no difference in political reform"; and "it is difficult to reflect public opinion in politics". We combined these three items into a scale (hereafter termed the 'inefficacy scale'). The alpha coefficient for the inefficacy scale was .85. Political apathy consisted of three items: "thinking or doing something about politics in daily life annoys me"; "it is better to devote myself to my own job than to spend my energy on politics"; and "it is wise to leave political matters to politicians". We combined these three items into a scale (hereafter termed the 'apathy scale'). The alpha coefficient for the apathy scale was .72. Political orientation: The respondents were asked to indicate their self-designated political orientation using a five-point scale ranging from 1 (conservative) to 5 (liberal). They also indicated how interested they were in politics in general using a four-point scale ranging from 1 (very much interested) to 4 (not at all interested). Television viewing: The total amount of television viewed was measured by asking respondents to indicate how much time they usually spent watching television (M = 177.43, SD = 104.45 per day). The amount of television news viewed was measured by asking how much time they usually spent watching television news (M = 60.79, SD = 41.51 per day). Respondents were also asked to indicate whether they regularly watched any of 19 specific television programs (Yes = coded 1; No = coded 0). Of these 19 programs, 12 were daily news programs and seven were weekly information programs. Internet use: Respondents were also asked about whether they accessed the Internet using a computer (Yes = coded 1; No = coded 0). Slightly more than half the respondents were computer Internet users (52.5%). One of the most notable recent trends in Japanese communications is an explosive growth in Internet access via cell phone (including PHS). The number of cell phone Internet users has rapidly increased since the first cell phone Internet service (i-mode service by NTT DoCoMo) began in February 1999 (IAJ, 2003; MPHPT, 2003). However, use of the Internet via cell phone differs from Internet use via computer (Ishii, 2004). In this sample, the number of people accessing the Internet only via cell phone was small (n = 52); therefore, we focused solely on computer Internet use in subsequent analyses. Evaluation of news coverage of politics: The respondents were required to evaluate how television news report political matters by using a four-point scale ranging from 1 (strongly disagree) to 4 (strongly agree). Four items were evaluated: "there is too much sensationalized reporting"; "news reporting on television includes too many entertaining elements"; "news reporting on television puts too much emphasis on conflicts between political parties"; and "news reporting on television is inaccurate and unbalanced". A factor analysis indicated that these four items consisted of a single construct, and the reliability coefficient was also acceptable (a = .83); we therefore combined these four items into a single scale (hereafter termed the 'television evaluation scale'). Characteristics of the sample In the sample, 50.6% of respondents were males and 49.4% were females. Respondents ranged in age from 20 to 70 (M = 46.6, SD = 13.6): 14.5% were 20-29 years old, 19.7% were 30-39, 19.1% were 40-49, 24.1% were 50-59, 22.6% were 60 or over. Of respondents, 8.4% were junior high school graduates, 35.4% were senior high school graduates, 22.1% had graduated from junior college (or equivalent), 31.8% were college students or graduates, and 1.6% had attended graduate school (0.3% were categorized as other). Results First, we examined relationships between viewing specific television programs and scores on the three scales (the cynicism scale, the inefficacy scale, and the apathy scale). Although the impact that an individual program has on political alienation was not a main concern in this study, the data will provide basic information for subsequent discussion. Partial correlation analyses indicated that viewing News 10 on NHK (a public station) was negatively correlated to scores on all three scales: regular viewers were less likely to be politically apathetic (7th order partial r = -.092, p < .05), less likely to be politically cynical (7th order partial r = -.098, p < .05), and slightly less likely to be politically inefficacious (7th order partial r = -.078, p < .10). Regular viewers of TBS's News 23 tended to be slightly less politically apathetic (7th order partial r = -.075, p < .10). Similarly, regular viewers of Fuji TV's Report 2001 were slightly less likely to be politically cynical (7th order partial r = -.094, p < .05). We found no significant correlations between scores on the three scales with any other programs analyzed in this study (see Appendix A). To examine the relative predictive power of television viewing on political alienation, we conducted a hierarchical multiple regression analysis. Predictor variables included age, gender, level of education, self-designated political orientation, level of interest in politics, evaluation of television news reporting, amount of television viewing, and Internet use. Dependent variables were scores on each of the three scales. A relatively high correlation was observed between the total amount of television viewed and the amount of television news viewed (r = .585, p < .001), so we used these two measures separately in different regression models: the total amount of television viewed was used in Model 1, and the amount of television news viewed was used in Model 2. In the first step, we entered demographic variables (age, gender, and education). In the second step, we added level of interest in politics, self-designated political orientation, and the television evaluation scale. In the third step, we added television viewing and Internet use. Table 2 summarizes the results, showing final standardized regression coefficients. Results showed that both the total amount of television viewed (b = .087, p < .05) and the amount of television news viewed (b = .076, p < .10) positively related to the inefficacy scale; thus, more frequent viewers were slightly more likely to feel politically inefficacious. The total amount of television viewed also positively related to the apathy scale (b = .112, p < .01), indicating that viewers with more frequent overall use were more likely to be politically apathetic. Neither total television viewed nor television news viewed showed a significant relationship with the cynicism scale. The results, therefore, supported Hypotheses 2a, 2b, and 3a, but refuted Hypotheses 1a, 1b, and 3b. The data also revealed that Internet use was negatively related to the apathy scale, indicating that Internet users were less likely to be politically apathetic. In addition, the results showed that respondents who regarded themselves as liberal were less likely to feel inefficacious and be apathetic than those who considered themselves conservative. Up to this point, the analyses examined respondents as a whole. In the next step, we divided respondents into two types: NHK news viewers, and non-NHK news viewers. We conducted additional regression analyses for each group separately, using the same independent and dependent variables. A cluster analysis of 12 news programs indicated that NHK news programs belonged to a different cluster than other news programs of five commercial television stations.5 For convenience, we categorized those who regularly watched either NHK News 7 or News 10 as NHK news viewers (n = 309), and other respondents as non-NHK news viewers (n = 310). The results of the multiple regression analysis indicated that among NHK news viewers, neither total television viewed nor television news viewed showed any significant relationships with scores on the cynicism, inefficacy, and apathy scales. Internet use, however, was negatively related to the apathy scale (b = -.210, p < .001 in both Model 1 and Model 2), indicating that respondents who accessed the Internet via computer were less likely to be politically apathetic. In contrast, non-NHK news viewers showed different patterns; we examined the results closely (see Table 3). The total amount of television viewed was positively related to scores on the cynicism scale (b = .101, p < .10), so frequent television viewers were slightly more likely to be politically cynical. The amount of television news viewed was not, however, significantly related to scores on the cynicism scale. Both total television viewing (b = .178, p < .01) and television news viewing (b = .164, p < .01) showed significant relationships with scores on the inefficacy scale, so frequent viewers were more likely to feel politically inefficacious than less frequent viewers. Frequent television viewers were more likely to be politically apathetic (b = .137, p < .05), but television news viewing was not a significant predictor of apathy scale scores. The finding that respondents who considered themselves liberal were less likely to feel inefficacious and be apathetic also applied to non-NHK news viewers. Accordingly, the results supported Hypotheses 1a, 2a, 2b, and 3a, but among non-NHK news viewers, the results refuted Hypotheses 1b and 3b. As mentioned above, in this study we examined the three elements of political alienation (apathy, cynicism, and efficacy) independently. To help with future research, however, we should note that we attempted to incorporate a model in which cynicism and apathy precede inefficacy (Austin and Pinkleton, 1995). We ran another regression analysis specifically for non-NHK news viewers, using the inefficacy scale as the dependent variable and entering the cynicism and apathy scales into an equation as a set of independent variables (others were the same independent variables used in the preceding analyses). Results indicated that whereas the standardized regression coefficient reduced to .102 from .178 in Model 1 and .126 from .164 in Model 2, the coefficients remained significant (p <. 05), implying that the suggested model may not apply to Japan (i.e., cynicism and apathy may not precede inefficacy in Japan). Discussion Overall, our findings suggest that, even controlling for several relevant variables, television viewing is related to political alienation, especially among non-NHK news viewers. As this study was based on cross-sectional data, a causal relationship cannot be established. The results, however, seem to indicate that television has a negative influence on viewers' political consciousness. As Holtz-Bacha (1990) has noted, "In complex political systems the individual citizen has little opportunity for direct political experience. Politics is almost exclusively experienced through the mass media" (p. 81). Thus, although it is possible that those with higher levels of political alienation would be more likely to spend more time watching television, the dominant causal direction might be reversed6. The fact that these results were obtained, given the current trends in news and information programs toward sensationalism and entertainment-orientation, has important implications for future television programs. If television, even unintentionally, plays a negative role in a democratic system by cultivating political alienation among viewers, media researchers and creators should pay careful attention to this dysfunction and be aware of television programming. It is, of course, also important to pay equal attention to the positive influences of television; Norris (2000), for example, has claimed that news media exert a positive impact on democracy, but more research is needed to examine the net balance between the positive and negative influences of television. It may be argued that the size of the effects observed in this study is negligible (e.g., standardized regression coefficients never exceeded .20). As Gerbner et al. (1986) have pointed out, however, "even light viewers live in the same cultural environments as most others, and what they do not get through the tube can be acquired indirectly from others who do watch television" (p. 21). The differences in political alienation between infrequent and frequent users may be small, but even small differences could have far-reaching consequences for democracy. When discussing the small effect sizes found in many studies, Gerbner and colleagues used the metaphor of climate change, namely, that a shift of even a few degrees in average temperature can cause significant climate change, such as an ice age or global warming; thus, small effects should not be ignored (Gerbner, Gross, Morgan and Signorielli, 1986, 1994). The same logic could apply to the results of our study. As already noted, negative influences of television viewing were not observed among NHK news viewers, although positive influences were equally not observed at the aggregate level. In addition, at the individual program level, regular viewers of News 10 showed slightly less political alienation, although the cause for this is unknown. These findings indicate that NHK (public television) and commercial television programs have different effects on political apathy, cynicism, and feelings of inefficacy. Future research should clarify whether public and commercial broadcasts have different impacts on the political consciousness of an audience. Related to the above-mentioned point, future studies should examine which kind of measure has the most power to predict political alienation. Measurements to detect the influence of television appear to include at least three levels: individual program, genre (e.g., news programs in general), and television as a whole. It is almost impossible to detect the impact that an individual program has on political alienation using cross-sectional data, as in this study. Moreover, it is improbable that viewers would watch only one news program (e.g., NHK's News 10) and avoid watching any others; it is more reasonable to assume that average viewers watch a wide variety of programs, even though there will be idiosyncratic viewing preferences. In reality, the effects of individual programs may cancel out (or possibly amplify) each other. An experimental study may be one way to detect the impact that a particular program has upon viewers. However, even if we were able to conduct experiments to determine the independent impact of a specific program, it might not be possible to apply the results to reality. In current television programming, where genre boundaries are blurred and entertainment and information elements are becoming increasingly blended, it is not an easy task to create a reliable measure for identifying the impact of a genre. Using the total television viewed, similar to original cultivation analysis (Gerbner and Gross, 1976; Gerbner et al., 1986, 1994), was one solution on which this study relied. Future research, however, needs to find a better indicator of how television induces political alienation. While this study showed that television viewing is related to political alienation in Japan, its underlying mechanism remains undisclosed. The sociological explanations suggested by Lazarsfeld and Merton (1948/1971) and Putnam (1995) might explain the results, in part. However, a cognitive psychological mechanism such as that underlying framing effects, as suggested by Cappella and Jamieson (1997) and Rhee (1997), may also be at work. It seems that both psychological and sociological explanations are necessary for a full understanding of the results of our study. Subsequent studies should attempt to set out the possible psychological and sociological mechanisms of the political alienation induced by television. In this study, we included Internet use as a predictor variable in the analyses and found that it was related to less political apathy among NHK news viewers. However, questions about whether the relationship is causal or spurious (and if it is causal, in what direction) remain unresolved, simply because the data available do not allow us to answer them. In future research, we need to pay more careful attention to the role of the Internet. References Aarts. K.& Semetko, H.A. (2003). The divided electorate: Media use and political involvement. Journal of Politics, 65, 759-784. Austin, E. W. and Pinkleton, B. E. (1995). Positive and negative effects of political disaffection on the less experienced voter. Journal of Broadcasting and Electronic Media, 39, 215-235. Bandura, A. (1986). 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Political alienation in modern society (in Japanese). In N. Kurita (Ed.), Political psychology renewal (pp. 92-113). Tokyo: Gakubunsha. Wright, C. R. (1986). Mass communication: A sociological perspective (3rd edition). New York: Random House. Zhang, N. (2000). A test of inter-media consonance in news reporting (in Japanese). Journal of Mass Communication Studies, 56, 130-144. Footnotes 1. Strictly speaking, narcotizing dysfunction occurs, in part, through information conveyed by a medium, and not simply through the medium itself. Even so, Lazarsfeld and Merton's (1948/1971) concept of narcotizing dysfunction does not pay enough attention to content, because it addresses only the amount of information (e.g., information overload), rather than the type or quality of information. 2. The program drew high audience ratings and continued until 2004, when the main anchor, Hiroshi Kume, resigned. 3. While every news program has unique characteristics, the similarities among them are important. To examine inter-media consonance (Noelle-Neumann, 1973; Noelle-Neumann and Mathes, 1987), Zhang (2000) conducted a content analysis and revealed that, in terms of the agenda-setting level and the focusing level, Japanese news media showed high inter-media consonance. Inter-media consonance at the level of focusing is of particular significance to this study, because it is closely related to the concept of media framing. Zhang's findings also justify the strategy of using TV news exposure at the aggregate level as an independent variable (i.e., the amount of TV news viewing). 4. Japan has a dual television broadcasting system that consists of a public broadcaster (NHK) and a number of commercial broadcasters. As with the traditional BBC model, NHK is independent of both government and corporate sponsorship, and relies almost entirely on revenue from household reception fees. The commercial broadcasters derive their revenue, in the main, from advertising. 5. Hagiwara (2001) also indicated that in terms of news format, news on the public station, NHK, should be categorized differently to programs on commercial stations. 6. Of course, without panel survey data or experimental data, we cannot be certain about the direction of causality. In addition, it is plausible that the relationship is reciprocal. Table 1. Results of factor analysis (varimax rotation) Cynicism Inefficacy Apathy We cannot trust what politicians say .853 .181 .108 Dietmen/women do not consider the electorate .742 .285 .055 Politicians are devoted to corruption or factions rather than on carrying out policy .697 .192 .067 Political trends are determined by powers beyond our control .261 .838 .157 Our making a fuss about politics makes no difference in political reform .194 .739 .260 It is difficult to reflect public opinion in politics .255 .683 .156 Thinking or doing something about politics in daily life annoys me .147 .078 .837 It is better to devote myself to my own job than to spend my energy on politics .196 .241 .625 It is wise to leave political matters to politicians -.071 .143 .560 Eigenvalue 3.85 1.64 1.20 Variance explained (%) 42.7 18.2 12.4 a .84 .85 .72 Television and political alienation 2 Table 2. Results of hierarchical regression analyses: All respondents Cynicism Inefficacy Apathy Model 1 Model 2 Model 1 Model 2 Model 1 Model 2 Independent variables b b b b b b Step 1 Gender .000 .000 -.071† -.075† .065† .046 Age .009 .004 -.128** -.132** -.082* -.069* Education .012 .006 -.072 -.088* -.026 -.048 Step 2 Political orientation .065 .063 -.136*** -.139*** -.180*** -.180*** Interest in politics .136** .143** .190*** .200*** .344*** .339*** TV news evaluation .164*** .164*** .006 .005 .014 .010 Step 3 Internet use -.039 -.039 .016 .013 -.149*** -.158*** Total TV viewing .037 --- .087* --- .112** --- TV news viewing --- .046 --- .076† --- .000 Multiple R .206** .208** .328*** .326*** .460*** .448*** R2 .042 .043 .108 .106 .211 .200 R2 increase in Step 3 .002 .003 .007 .005 .029 .018 Note: Table entries are final standardized regression coefficients. †p <.10, * p <.05, ** p <.01, *** p <.001. Table 3. Results of hierarchical regression analyses: Non-NHK news program viewers Cynicism Inefficacy Apathy Model 1 Model 2 Model 1 Model 2 Model 1 Model 2 Independent variables b b b b b b Step 1 Gender .010 .007 -.077 -.082 .049 .032 Age -.028 -.034 -.125* -.136* -.055 -.052 Education .050 .036 .005 -.019 .019 -.001 Step 2 Political orientation .063 .063 -.151** -.151** -.174*** -.175*** Interest in politics .091 .111† .171** .208*** .403*** .403*** TV evaluation .165** .162** .002 -.004 .053 .047 Step 3 Internet use -.047 -.056 .104 .089 -.092 -.111† Total TV viewing .101† --- .178** --- .137* --- TV news viewing --- .091 --- .164** --- .014 Multiple R .212† .208 .355*** .349*** .496*** .479*** R2 .045 .043 .126 .122 .246 .229 R2 increase in Step 3 .012 .010 .033 .029 .026 .009 Note: Table entries are final standardized regression coefficients. †p <.10, * p <.05, ** p <.01, *** p <.001 Television and political alienation 3 Appendix A. Simple and partial correlation coefficients between each program and political inefficacy, cynicism, and apathy scale scores Upper row = simple r Lower row = 7th order partial r Evening news Inefficacy Cynicism Apathy News 7 (NHK) 40.2% -.050 -.045 -.061 .022 -.020 -.012 News Plus One (NTV) 21.8% .007 .017 .062 .009 .019 .062 News Woods (TBS) 23.6% -.009 -.035 .025 -.007 -.030 .015 Super News (Fuji TV) 22.8% .066 -.008 .046 .045 -.017 .045 Nightly news News 10 (NHK) 24.7% -.139** -.102* -.098* -.092* -.098* -.071† Today's Events (NTV) 26.2% .060 .056 -.007 .061 .063 -.003 News 23 (TBS) 37.6% -.118** -.067† -.125** -.075† -.042 -.052 News Station (TV Asahi) 54.9% -.007 -.007 -.078† .032 .008 -.026 Weekly information programs The Sunday (NTV) 21.3% .022 -.014 -.014 .044 -.005 .008 Sunday Morning (TBS) 36.7% -.037 -.001 -.030 -.018 -.005 .008 Report 2001 (Fuji TV) 20.4% -.088* -.111** -.058 -.048 -.094* -.014 Sunday Project (TV Asahi) 28.1% -.135** -.082* -.210*** -.028 -.051 -.069† Broadcaster (TBS) 38.0% -.009 -.059 -.042 -.024 -.044 -.016 Takeshi's TV Tackle (TV Asahi) 31.8% -.028 -.028 -.071† .002 -.017 -.030 Note: Percentages represent regular viewers of each program. Only programs that were watched regularly (at least once a week for daily programs and at least once a month for weekly programs) by more than 20% of respondents were analyzed. Regular viewers were coded 1 and non-regular viewers were coded 0. Seventh-order partial correlations control for gender, age, education, political orientation, interest in politics, TV evaluation, and Internet use. †p <.10, * p <.05, ** p <.01, *** p <.001