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Elliott Parker ==================================================================== Party affiliation, political ad perceptions and political involvement: Evidence from the 2004 Presidential campaign Sangki Lee Doctoral Student Fuyuan Shen Assistant Professor College of Communications The Penn State University Address correspondence to the first author at 115 Carnegie Building University Park, PA 16802-5101 814.574.1703 [log in to unmask] Paper submitted to the Mass Communication and Society Division, the Association for Education in Journalism and Mass Communication Annual Meeting, San Antonio, Texas, 2005. 0 Party affiliation, political ad perceptions and political involvement Party affiliation, political ad perceptions and political involvement: Evidence from the 2004 Presidential campaign (Abstract) This research used a data from a survey during the 2004 presidential campaigns found that party affiliation was a significant factor in how individuals perceived the negativity and truthfulness of political ads. Specifically we found that people respond to negative political ads in accordance with their partisanship. Furthermore, it was found that party affiliation has significant effects on how negative perceptions of ads influence political involvement. Theoretical and practical implications of these findings will be addressed. Party affiliation, political ad perceptions and political participation: Evidence from the 2004 Presidential campaign Negative political ads and their effects on elections and candidates has been a subject of research and public debate almost since its inception. Over the years, there has been a substantial body of evidence showing that under various conditions, negative political ads can have serious and damaging effects on the targeted candidate . Several studies have focused on how political attack ads influence voters' intention to vote for the target candidate, with a majority of the results indicating that negative ads might lower voting intentions . Negative political advertising might also lead to backlash causing decreased liking and voting intent for the candidate sponsoring the negative ads . More recently, scholars have probed the unintended effect of negative advertising asserting that negative political ads could drive people away from polls and engendered distrust in government and the democratic processes . Although a substantial body of studies found negative consequences of attacks ads on voters, overall finings regarding influences of negative political ads have generated somewhat inconsistent results. In contrast of Ansolabehere and Iyengar's (1995) findings, some studies, which analyzed NES voting data, indicated that exposure to negative political ads did not produce any demobilized effects on voters . This inconsistency might be emerged because one of important variables which significantly moderates the effect of negative political advertising. One of the variables might be voter's party affiliation . Past studies found that party-bias effects substantially moderate voters' evaluation of competing candidates. By reinforcing support for affiliated candidates and reducing support for opponent candidates, voters' party identification leads their preference toward candidates more polarized . In the similar vein, Chang suggested that voters' party affiliation decide how they respond to political ads which sponsored by competing candidates. He found that respondents showed consistent patterns of perceptions pertaining to evaluations of political ads in accordance with their party orientation. In particular, voters indicated that they favored the negative ads which sponsored by their affiliated party than the ads which sponsored by opponent party . Based on the reviewed evidence regarding party-bias effects on voters, this study attempts to explore how voters' party affiliation moderate their perceptions of negative political ads as well as the relative influence of negative perceptions of political ads on political involvement. In particular, this study predicts that party affiliation facilitates people's selective information processing and facilitated biased information processing makes people respond to negative political ads in selective way. Furthermore, it is also predicted that reinforced attitude through selective information processing consequently influences people's level of political involvement. To examine these propositions, we analyzed a data from a survey during the 2004 presidential campaigns. By taking major advantages of survey method, we hope that we can test ongoing conflicting results regarding the influence of negative political advertising in real campaign environments and we can provide a clearer picture of the consequence of negative political advertising through examining a moderating role of party affiliation in political campaign. Party identification and negative perceptions of political advertising Bartels indicated that party identification has strong effects on perceptions of the political world. According to him, party affiliation is "a pervasive dynamic force shaping citizens' perceptions of, and reactions to, the political world. Partisan bias in political perceptions plays a crucial role in perpetuating and reinforcing sharp differences in opinion between Democrats and Republicans." (Bartels, 2002, p. 138). Regarding the influence of partisanship in perceptions of political information, Campbell, Converse, Miller, and Stokes argued that party identification facilitate a perceptual screen through which the individual tends to see is favorable to his party orientation. In the similar vein, Zaller claimed that individual has a tendency to accept information which is congenial to their partisan values and to reject information which is not. The effects of partisanship also have been explored under political advertising framework. Some studies regarding the role of partisanship in political advertising indicated that voter's party identification has strong influences on voter's candidate preference . Regardless of using positive or negative political ads, voter's evaluation or preference of competing candidates is to be polarized. This phenomena might be attained through strengthening support for affiliated candidate and reducing support for opposed candidates . Ansolabehere & Iyengar argued that individual's vote-preference was reinforced in the line with their party identification after they were exposed to political ads. After exposure to campaign ads, participants showed reinforced vote-preference toward their supporting candidate. Similarly, Faber, Tims, and Schmitt (1990) found that participants showed their voting support for competing candidates was polarized in accordance with their party orientation. Party identification also moderated the way people to evaluate political advertising messages. Ansolabehere & Iyengar suggested that voters' party orientation has been reported to influence how they process political campaign information including political ads. According to Chang , the tendency to accept pro-attitudinal information and avoid counter-attitudinal information induce biased information processing of political advertising message, and this biased processing can be explained by the notion of selective-processing. Basically, this notion argued that processing bias is a function of perceiver's existing attitude . Empirical studies on biased information search in decision making have been predominantly carried out within the framework of dissonance theory . Festinger (1957) suggested that people have a tendency to avoid or evade threatening messages for averting cognitive dissonance. This premise has been supported by several studies which found that people actively attempt to seek out complementary information and avoid dissonance-producing information . This type of biased information processing helps people to reinforce their readily established attitude or preference as well as to be comfortable without cognitive dissonance. To achieve this status under exposure to political advertising, it has been predicted that people may pay more attention to evaluative consistent information and avoid evaluative inconsistent information . Regarding the party bias effects on perception of political ads, in particular, Chang found that when participants were exposed to political adverting, they liked the ads were sponsored by a supporting candidate more than the ads sponsored by a competing candidate. Participants also perceived that the ads sponsored by their affiliated party were more persuasive than the ads sponsored by their competing party. In line with Chang's specific findings and general evidence of selective-processing literature, the current study predicts that respondents are more likely perceive that political ads which are critical of a supporting candidate are more negative and less truthful than the ads which are critical of a competing candidate. Driven by existing preference and attitude, people are likely to bias their perceptions of political ads in the line with their political affiliation. As the research evidence indicated, when people have preexisting positive attitude toward their supporting candidate, they are less likely to accept the negative messages about their supporting candidate and may perceive the attack messages as more negative because this negative messages are evaluative inconsistent information and produce cognitively dissonant information. Similarly, this biased response to political ads may influence participants' evaluation of message truthfulness. That is, it is plausible to predict that voters are likely to perceive the attack ads against their supporting candidate are less truthful than the ads against a competing candidate. Based on these predictions, this study proposes the following hypotheses: H1: Respondents are likely to perceive that the ads attacking a candidate nominated by their supporting party are more negative than the ads against a candidate nominated by competing party. H2: Respondents are likely to perceive that the ads attacking a candidate nominated by their supporting party are less truthful than the ads against a candidate nominated by competing party. Negative perceptions of political advertising and political involvement Past studies indicated that negative advertising might be more remembered than positive advertising (Faber et al., 1993). One plausible explanation of this phenomenon might be found from Gestalt principles. Lau suggested that negative information may be inconsistent to what people are accustomed to and expect from advertising messages. As a result, negative information may stand out disproportionately. Furthermore, negative information is more likely to be weighted heavily than positive information in forming evaluations . Therefore, the information in negative political advertising may play an important role in candidate preference decision. Although negative ads were expected to have stronger effects on voter's preference decisions than were positive ads, it is premature to confirm this idea. In general, voters do not like to be exposed to negative political ads , and "a backlash effect may result if voters disapprove of a candidate using negative appeals." (Faber et al., 1993, p. 68). If it is so, what factor needs to be considered to explain this potentially bidirectional effects of negative ads? Political involvement may be one moderating variable to do it. Although there are disagreements over how we define involvement , it has been generally regarded as an important mediator of the effects of political advertising . Faber et al. argued that political involvement is positively related with the degree of impact which negative advertising exerts. They found people who are more involved and interested are most influenced by negative ads. However, some studies in which involvement was conceptualized as a characteristic of voters, indicated conflicting evidence regarding the effects of involvement under the realm of political advertising. For example, while Hofstetter, Zukin, and Buss argued that voters who less involved learn more from political ads, others indicated that highly involved voters recall political ads more . To attempt to examine mechanisms of this inconsistency, this paper considered party-bias effects again. As mentioned before, voter's party affiliation plays a role as a perceptual screen. By using this perceptual filter, voters tend to accept information which is congenial to their partisan values and to reject information which is not . Based on this rational, it is plausible to expect that voters might pay attention to, and involve in processing negative political information differently in accordance of their party affiliation. In particular, voters are likely to involve in processing information within negative ads against affiliated candidates than the information in the ads against opponent candidates because the former information is much more critical of their partisan values than is the later information. More specifically, it is expected that the perceived negativity of ads attacking affiliated candidates increase voters' political involveemnt. However, in the case of perceived truthfulness of ads against affiliated candidates, this paper expect a reverse relationship because truthful information which describe voters' affiliated candidate negatively is counter to what they want to see from political ads and their favored partisan values. Due to tendency to reject or avoid information which is not congenial to their partisan values, perceived truthfulness of ads against affiliated candidates may reduce voter's involvement. In contrast, because overall information about opponent candidate is relatively not important to their partisan values, the effects of negative perceptions of ads attacking opponent candidates may not be strong on involvement. To explore these predictions, this study proposes the following hypotheses. H3: Perceived negativity of political ads will be significantly related with involvement in accordance with party affiliation. Specifically, the perceived negativity of ads against affiliated candidates will be positively related with involvement, while the perceived negativity of ads attacking competing candidates will not have strong influence on involvement. H4: Perceived truthfulness of political ads will be significantly related with involvement in accordance with party affiliation. Specifically, the perceived truthfulness of ads against affiliated candidates will be negatively related with involvement, while the perceived truthfulness of ads attacking competing candidates will not have strong influence on involvement. Method A telephone survey was conducted in State College in Pennsylvania. A systematic random sample was drawn to increase the likelihood of representative sampling. The survey was completed within 3 days, from Nov. 23 to Nov. 25, before the Presidential Election Day in 2004. On campus phone numbers and business numbers were eliminated from the sample in this community. The sample drawn (after elimination of nonassigned numbers) comprised 1,166 numbers, 394 interviews were completed, and resulting completion rate was 33.80 %. Measurements The questionnaire was designed to include questions on perceptions of negative political advertising including perceived frequency, negativity, and truthfulness of the ads, political cynicism, party affiliation, and demographics. Negative advertising perceptions. Three variables including perceived frequency, negativity, and truthfulness were measured to gauge respondents' perceptions of attack advertising. To estimate how a party identification influences on the way respondents evaluate or interpret attack advertising that were critical of John Kerry or George W. Bush, respondents were asked to indicate their perceived frequency, negativity, and truthfulness of attack ads, which were critical of the both candidates. Perceived frequency of negative ads was measured by asking respondents the following question: "How often would you say that you've seen attack ads that are critical of John Kerry (or George W. Bush)?" This question employed 4 points scale such as 3 (Frequently), 2 (Sometimes), 1 (Rarely), and 0 (Never). To assess the perceived negativity and truthfulness of negative ads, they were asked to answer to the questions, such as "How positive or negative do you feel about these ads that are critical of Kerry (or Bush)?" and "In your opinion, how truthful or untruthful is the information contained in these ads that are critical of Kerry (or Bush)?" Both of these questions employed scales ranging from 4 (Very negative) to 1 (Very positive) and from 4 (Very truthful) to 1 (Very untruthful). Party affiliation. Respondents were asked to indicate the party with which they identified. Four options were listed to choose respondents' party orientation including Democrats, Republicans, Independents, and Other. Among 374 respondents who identified themselves with one of categories, 169 respondents (45.2%) answered they were Democrats, 156 respondents (41.7%) were Republicans. Only 33 respondents (8.8%) identified themselves as Independents and 16 respondents (4.3%) chose other. Involvement. According to Zaichkowsky , involvement can be understood as three different types: physical, enduring, and situational involvements. In the studies of political advertising, physical involvement may reflect the level of election race . While enduring involvement refer to a relatively long-term, inherent interest in a message, situational involvement reflect a temporary relevance of a specific object or concern with a short-term outcome . When discussing political elections, enduring involvement might refer to a voter's general interest in politics while situational involvement would reflect concern about the outcome of specific election . In this study, the following two items were used to measure the concept of involvement: (1) "How interested have you been in the political campaigns so far this year?"; (2) " How important is the outcome of the presidential election to you?" Four-point scales were used to measure responses to aforementioned two questions. The both items were combined into a single involvement index. The Cronbach's alpha for involvement index was .65, indicating that two scores form a reliable index. Results Hypothesis 1 and 2 predicted that perceived ads negativity and truthfulness would vary as a function of people's party identification. To explore these hypotheses, separate ANOVA tests were run with party affiliation as a fixed factor and the perceived negativity and truthfulness of the ads attacking either Bush or Kerry as the dependent variables. Results showed that that people who identified themselves as Democrats perceived that the ads attacking Kerry were more negative, M = 2.11, than did people who identified themselves as Republican, M = 1.39, F(1, 233) = 47.72, p < .001. Similarly, Republicans perceived that the ads were critical of Bush were more negative, M = 2.32, than did Democrats, M = 1.67, F(1, 233) = 29.85, p < .001. Furthermore, it was found that Democrats perceived the ads attacking Kerry as less truthful, M = 1.89, than did Republicans, M = 2.82, F(1, 233) = 79.68, p < .001. Similarly, Republican evaluated the ads attacking Bush were less truthful, M = 2.24, than did Democrat, M = 2.84, F(1, 233) = 28.61, p < .001. In light these findings, we therefore conclude that both Hypothesis 1 and Hypothesis 2 were fully supported. The means and standard deviations of above analyses were summarized in Table 1. ___________________________ Table 1 about here ___________________________ To test the relative influence of ad perceptions on respondents' political involvement, we ran two separate multiple regressions with political involvement as a dependent variable. To test Hypothesis 3, the perceived negativity against Kerry and Bush ads was entered as independent variables, and for testing Hypothesis 4, the perceived truthfulness of ads against Kerry and Bush was used as independent variables. In addition, we used a block of control variables that included the perceived frequency of ads against both candidates. The control variables were entered in the first, and it was followed by the predictor variable. To explore the effects of partisanship on relationships between ads perceptions and involvement, this study analyzed the relationships based on their party identification. For respondents who identified themselves as Democrats, Hierarchical Multiple Regression revealed that the full regression equation with control variables and perceived campaign negativity was significant on political involvement, F(4, 127) = 5.40, p < .001, R2 = .15. The results also indicated that the same regression model with two variables of perceived truthfulness of ads as independent variables was significant on the involvement, F(4, 132) = 2.80, p < .05, R2 = .08. There was no significant control variable identified. As predicted, respondents' negative ads perceptions are significantly related with involvement. The results indicated that negativity of ads against Kerry was positively related with involvement, while truthfulness of ads against Kerry was negatively related with involvement. Negativity and truthfulness of ads against Bush were not significantly related with involvement. The results of all above analysis were displayed in Table 2. ___________________________ Table 2 about here ___________________________ For respondents who identified themselves as Republican, Hierarchical Multiple Regression showed similar patterns of results which we found above. The full regression equation with control variables and perceived campaign negativity was significant on political involvement, F(4, 122) = 5.46, p < .001, R2 = .15. The results also indicated that the same regression model with two perceived truthfulness of ads as independent variables was significant on the involvement, F(4, 116) = 5.72, p < .001, R2 = .17. The results indicated that two control variables, perceived frequencies of ads against Kerry and against Bush, as significant predictors of Republican's involvement. However, frequency of attacks ads against Kerry was negatively related with involvement, while frequency of attacks ads against Bush was negatively related with it. As predicted, Republicans' negative perceptions of political ads are significantly related with involvement. The results indicated that negativity of ads against Bush was positively related with involvement, while truthfulness of ads against Bush was negatively related with it. Negativity and truthfulness of ads against Kerry were not significantly related with involvement. The results of all above analysis were displayed in Table 3. Therefore, Hypothesis 3 and 4 were fully supported. ___________________________ Table 3 about here ___________________________ Discussion This paper set out to examine how party affiliation affects audience evaluations of political ads by political candidates. Using data from a survey during the 2004 presidential election, we found that voter's party affiliation moderated their perceptions of negative political ads. When responses of participants who identified with either Democrats or Republicans were analyzed separately, interesting and consistent results emerged. The results indicated that party affiliation was a significant factor in how individuals perceived the negativity and truthfulness of political ads. Specifically we found that Democrats rated attack ads by the Bush campaigns significantly more negative and less truthful than Republicans. Similarly, Republicans evaluated ads by Kerry as more negative and less truthful. It is important to note that these results confirm the idea that voters evaluate or perceive negative political ads in selective way and this selective information processing might reinforce their preexisting attitude. These results further support Zaller 's idea that party affiliation plays a role as a perceptual screen which people tend to evaluate information in favorable way to their party orientation. In addition, these results were consistent with Chang (2003)' findings that voters' preexisting attitude or preference toward candidates who they support and who they don't influences how they response to political ads. This paper also explored how party affiliation affects the relationship between negative perceptions of ads and the level of political involvement. The results indicated that party affiliation is a significant factor to moderate how negative political advertising influence voters' political involvement. As expected, when we analyzed responses separately by their party affiliation, consistent patters of results emerged. Specifically perceived negativity of ads attacking affiliated candidates increased voters' political involvement and perceived truthfulness of ads against affiliated candidates reduced voter's involvement, while both perceived negativity and truthfulness of ads against opponent candidates did not have significant effects on involvement. This evidence also support the role of party orientation as "a perceptual screen", and the idea that party affiliation make people process information in selective way . It is important to note that when responses of all subjects without considering their party affiliation, were analyzed, perceived negativity and perceived truthfulness of attack ads did not exert significant influences on political involvement. Only when the responses were analyzed separately by their party identification, significant effects which were consistent were emerged. Therefore, if party affiliation was not considered in analyses, this study might not found any significant effects of negative political advertising on political involvement. Taken together, these findings mean that the nature or tone of political ads variable as people's political affiliations differ. This indicates negativity or truthfulness is a relative concept. As this study found, subjectivity emerged from individual party affiliation, substantially moderated voters' responses to negative advertising and the influence of negative advertising on involvement under the realm of political campaign. Therefore, these finings recommend that future research attempting to explore the consequence of political ads may need to take into account various moderating variables including party affiliation to explain variance of the effects of political ads on voters. We hope that theses results may contribute to explain inconsistent findings regarding how political ads affect voter's decisions. Although the findings from the present research are important, there are several limitations we need address. First, we used self-reported exposure. Although we controlled perceived frequency of exposure to negative ads in all analyses we did, the self-reported score was likely to be exaggerated. Because negative information is more likely to be weighted heavily than positive information in forming evaluations and people tend to more actively accept information which is critical of their partisan value , depending on how strongly people identify themselves with their affiliated party, their self-reported score might be elevated substantially. Therefore, this elevated score might affect our findings. In the similar vein, findings that were related with all negative ads perceptions variables including frequency, negativity, and truthfulness should be carefully interpreted. Second, although we controlled for two variables of perceived frequency in the regression models, other factors could account for variance of involvement we have observed. In light of these findings, we suggest that future research replicate these findings in different campaigns or explore other factors that might be significant mediators of political involvement. References Table 1. Negativity and truthfulness of Ads against Kerry or Bush Ads against Kerry Ads against Bush Negativity Truthfulness Negativity Truthfulness Democrat M 2.11 1.89 1.67 2.84 SD .07 .07 .08 .07 Republican M 1.39 2.82 2.32 2.24 SD .07 .07 .08 .08 Table 2. Regression equations predicting influence of negative perception on Democrat's involvement Equation 1 Equation 2 Equation 3 Control variables Frequency of attacks ads against Kerry .15 .13 .13 Frequency of attacks ads against Bush -.02 .01 -.01 Predictor Variable Negativity of Kerry ads .34*** Negativity of Bush ads -.18 Truthfulness of Kerry ads -.23** Truthfulness of Bush ads .09 R2 .02 .15 .08 Note: *p <.05, **p <.01, or *** p < .001. N = 131 Table 3. Regression equations predicting influence of negative perception on Republican's involvement Equation 1 Equation 2 Equation 3 Control variables Frequency of attacks ads against Kerry -.27** -.21* -.26** Frequency of attacks ads against Bush .24** .19* .18 Predictor Variable Negativity of Kerry ads -.12 Negativity of Bush ads .28** Truthfulness of Kerry ads .11 Truthfulness of Bush ads -.25** R2 .08 .15 .17 Note: *p <.05, **p <.01, or *** p < .001. N = 131