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National Interest and Coverage of U.S.-China Relations: A Content Analysis of The New York Times & People's Daily 1987-1996
By
Xigen Li 917 A Cherry Lane East Lansing, MI 48823 Phone: 517-355-7980 Email: [log in to unmask]
A paper to be presented at the Association for Education in Journalism and Mass Communication Annual Convention New Orleans, August 1999
Xigen Li is a Graduate of the Mass Media Ph.D. Program in the College of Communication Arts and Sciences at Michigan State University
June 1999
ABSTRACT
This study tested the effect of national interest on the coverage of U.S.-China relations by The New York Times and People's Daily. It examined the relationship between extramedia variables and the news coverage, and the relationship between national interest emphasis in the news coverage and the references to trade and non-trade political issues. The findings support the proposition that national interest affects the coverage of U.S.-China relations both in The New York Times and People's Daily. However, neither extramedia variables nor intramedia variables were found to be strong predictors of the news content for both newspapers. In The New York Times, emphasis on national interest was associated only with reference to trade, while in People's Daily, emphasis on national interest was associated only with reference to non-trade political issues. There was not much difference between The New York Times and People's Daily that their coverage of U.S.-China relations was affected by national interest.
Research on international news examines who controls the news,[1] what factors influence news selection,[2] and the attributes which affect news content.[3] In the coverage of international news, although study shows that media speak for the nation,[4] it is not so clear to what degree that national interest affects news content. Few studies have investigated the influence of national interest on news content, whether demonstrated through political and economic environment and events as extramedia variables, or through reference to national interest in the news content as intramedia variables. This study examines national media coverage of U.S.-China relations in their respective elite newspapers of record, The New York Times and People's Daily for the 1987-1996 period. It explores the relationship between national interest demonstrated through political and economic events and emphasis on national interest in the news coverage, and the relationship between emphasis on national interest and references to trade and non-trade political issues in the news content.
Literature Review
The general theoretical framework for this study draws from the work of Shoemaker and Reese (1996). They observed that news content is influenced by several hierarchical factors. These factors range from the micro level (e.g. the individual media worker, media routine, and media organization) to the macro level (e.g. extramedia and ideology), graphically illustrated through concentric circles of influences. The hierarchical circles illustrate that news content is produced by individual media workers but it is influenced by the nature of the particular news organization and the national economic and ideological environment.[5]
Factors that influence news content Shoemaker and Reese note that because media have relative autonomy, the ruling powers cannot directly supervise this important cultural apparatus. Thus, ideology serves as a unifying force situated in the outermost circle in their model.[6] Gitlin (1980) defines hegemony as the "systematic engineering of mass consent to the established order." The media "certify the limits within which all competing definitions of reality will contend". They do this largely by accepting the frames imposed on events by officials and by marginalizing and delegitimating voices that fall outside the dominant elite circles. [7] In Raymond Williams'(1977) words, hegemony does not passively exist as a form of dominance. It has continually to be renewed, recreated, defended, and modified.[8] Existing cultural values are structured and interpreted to best serve the interests of the dominant groups. Galtung and Ruge (1970) suggest news is an ideological product in both Communist and free market countries.[9] The ideological perspective specifies the frame that the news media define themselves. The media serve as means of the ruling power to produce and maintain the dominant ideology by accepting the frames imposed by the powerful groups. News as an ideological product, reflects the interest of the powerful in both Western capitalist and Communist societies. Extramedia perspective suggests that factors external to the communicator and the media organization -- economic and cultural forces, social institutions and audience -- determine content.[10] Analyzing data from the American component of the UNESCO study, Ahern (1984) found that, among extrinsic variables, GNP, trade, and political relations exerted the most powerful influence on coverage. Trade was second in importance after GNP, followed closely by political relations.[11] Rosengren and Rikardsson (1984) found a relationship between trade and foreign news coverage in their study of Mideast news in Swedish press.[12] Wu (1997) discovered that trade played a key role in shaping foreign coverage in some countries, but was not a significant determinant in the U.S.[13] However, Lacy, Chang and Lau 's (1989) study of American newspaper content found no relationship between economic factors and the news content, and they argued that economic factors may not be strong predictors of coverage patterns.[14] Chang and Lee's (1990) survey suggested that economic factorsDoperationalized as U.S. trade relations and a country's level of economic developmentDwere of little importance in the editors' news selection decisions.[15] Cassara's (1992) study found that economic connections such as export relationships did not influence the character of international news content in the newspaper which serves that area.[16] The influence of trade on news content is found at odds in the above studies. The difference could be caused largely by the operational definition of dependent variables. One aspect that most studies missed is the time associated with the independent variable trade. Trade relations are changing with the bilateral and multilateral relations. A study will shed more light on the relationship between trade and international news coverage if it integrates the change of trade relationship across a period of time into the inquiry of the impact of trade. Government views are considered a strong extramedia factor influencing media content. Zeidenstein (1984) described the government's influence on the media succinctly: "The White House can influence - if not completely control - the content, timing, and methods of publicizing the news".[17] Graber (1993) found foreign news tends to emanate primarily from various beats in the executive branch, especially the White House, the State Department, and the Pentagon. The president's views tend to dominate whenever situations are controversial.[18] According to Parenti (1986), the government influences the media substantially by providing information and misinformation designed deliberately to present a specific point of view.[19] In her study of media coverage of Indochina from 1950 to 1956, Welch (1977) found that the press response mirrored administration perceptions of the struggle. She found the American media were incapable of perceiving the Indochina case any differently than did the administration because the media did not have an independent frame of reference.[20] While government was unanimously considered to be a strong factor influencing news coverage, to what degree that the major decision makers of a government such as the president of the United States can affect news coverage on specific issues in foreign relations remains a question largely unsolved. Altschull (1984) has proposed a framework for studying variations within owner control of the media. He starts with the assumption that media reflect the ideology of those that finance them, i.e., whoever pay the piper calls the tune.[21] Herman and Chomsky (1988) assume that media serve the dominant elite. They argue that this is just as true when the media are privately owned without formal censorship, as when they are directly controlled by the state.[22] In recommending media routine approach, Paul Hirsh (1977) says that the mass media may serve different functions, but they share many organizational similarities that outweigh many of the differences.[23] It is easy to perceive that the media speak for the group who finances them. Here the organizational perspective reveals some hidden fact: even though the media are not financed by the government, they are in many ways controlled by the state. On the national level, the private newspaper such as The New York Times serves the dominant elite and preserves the best long-term interest of the capitalist system.
National Interest and Coverage of U.S.-China Relations Allison (1971) proposed rational actor model for explaining and predicting a nation's foreign policy. This model essentially assumes that a nation is a rational, goal-seeking, and unitary decisionmaker. It assumes there is some shared goal or national interest for the decisionmaker to obtain. The rational actor will develop alternatives from which the most effective means will be selected to maximize the goal.[24] The rational actor can be defined here as those key politicians and bureaucrats in the executive branch, including the president, who, on the whole, are more likely to make a national view as they respond to the parochial concerns of either social groups or particular governmental institutions. Krasner (1978) maintained that because high-level decisionmakers perceive their roles as protecting and promoting national security interest, they act upon their autonomous set of preferences. [25] Tan observed that the United States would define U.S. China policies primarily according to shifting strategic balance of power while maximizing other foreign policy interests. Policymakers have certain parameters identifying policy objectives. In the conduct of national foreign policy, national survival and strategic interests, either military or economic, preempt other policy objectives. [26] Gregor observed, national interests of China are not often comparable with the national and foreign policy interests of the United States, and many of the interests China shares with the big powers are transient..[27] Zweig (1991) observed that for many years, the strategic imperative has protected Sino-American relations. The positive images of China after 1978 pushed human rights far down the list of issues in Sino-American relations.[28] Mower, Jr. (1987) also noted that Both Carter and Reagan subordinated human rights to national security and national interest.[29] The literature on national interest and U.S.-China relations asserts that both United States and China pursuit their respective national interest in the bilateral relationship, and national interest shifts as their strategic partnership changes. U.S.-China trade and human rights in China remain to be the major source of conflict in U.S.-China relations. While advocating human rights is the ultimate goal of the United States, American policy on human rights in China has been inconsistent, and has been altered either by the strategic imperative and the pulse of economic gain in trade with China. While there is an argument about whether media play an active role in foreign policy process, researchers tend to agree that in international news coverage, media focus more on the events and issues that represent the national interest,[30] especially the elite newspapers that are read by policy makers. Chang's survey of American newspaper editors suggested that their primary concerns centered on coverage of U.S. interests and involvements abroad and threats to world peace.[31] According to Herbert Gans (1979), foreign news in the U.S. media covers stories relevant to Americans and American interests. Gans found that international news concentrates on American activities in a foreign country, and foreign activities affecting Americans and American policy.[32] Paletz and Entman (1981) argued that international reporting tends to be monolithic and consistent with US foreign policy because they rely almost exclusively on sources sympathetic to representing the American interest. America's diplomatic aims are honorable: American corporate profits and investments must be protected when threatened. [33] Kern et al. (1983)[34] and Goodman (1996)[35] found that The New York Times is among the media that are most independent of government. When the government gave limited to great attention to specific China policy issues, the press did not follow suit. Lee and Yang (1995) used national interest as a predictor of coverage of the Chinese student movement by the U.S. and Japanese press from April to June in 1989. They argued that the vital interest of the United States was winning ideological victories in the Cold war, whereas Japan's paramount concern was economic gain. These distinctive national interests led to different treatments of the Chinese student movement in the Japanese and U.S. press coverage.[36] De Sola Pool (1952) points out that the elite press speaks for the interests of its own country, regardless of the nature of the political system. The "prestige paper" is always in some way tied to the government, the degree of intimacy being a function of the politization of the particular elite.[37] Although few studies looked at the effect of national interest on the coverage of international news, the scholars agreed upon that national interest is one of the factors that guides media in their news coverage, and the vital national interest may distinguish the media in their coverage of international events, which explains the phenomenon in international reporting: elite press speaks for the nation.
Hypotheses
The literature review on factors that influence news content suggests that factors outside and inside media influence news content in a hierarchical order. The literature on national interest and U.S.-China relations reveals that the decision-makers act upon situations in international relations according to their perceived national interest. Despite that many studies found that government is one of the most powerful factors in influencing the coverage of international news, few studies have looked at how national interest perceived by the key players in international relations and represented through political and economic events affects news coverage. The purpose of this study is to investigate the influence of factors associated with national interest on the news content. We propose use real-time indictors of the national interest in U.S.-China relations, namely, U.S. investment in China, U.S.-China trade status, and related concerns raised by the U.S. president and China's government on U.S.-China economic trade and non-trade political issues, to test the notion that news content has been driven by national interest. National Interest is defined as the basis upon which a country makes its decision in international relations to minimize the cost and maximize the benefit. National Interest in the context of news coverage of U.S.-China relations refers to the verbal denotations of a concern or a stand regarding a nation's benefit or loss in its relationship with the other country. Reference to National Interest is categorized into Trade interest and Non-Trade interest. The selection of national interest as an indicator of news coverage of U.S.-China relations serves a second purpose: to test whether the priority national interest in trade related issues will transcend the interest contained in the dominant ideology as indicated in the literature of political science and Lee and Young's study. The underlying assumption would be: the national interest embedded in U.S.-China trade could surpass the dominant ideology in directing the news coverage of U.S.-China relations by The New York Times at the time when trade interest was dominant. In the case of People's Daily, it could also be true as what has already been observed in the process of China's economic development in recent years.[38] Based on the theoretical framework, two groups of hypotheses were derived. Each group containing several hypotheses which apply to both newspapers. The following hypotheses groups corresponding respectively to The New York Times and People's Daily were tested. HG1. Relationship between Extramedia Variables and News Content
The New York Times People's Daily Independent var Dependent var Independent var Dependent var 1) U.S. investment in China increases Emphasis on national trade interest increases 1) U.S. investment in China increases Emphasis on national trade interest increases 2) U.S. trade deficit with China increases Negative reference to trade increases 2) China trade surplus with U.S. increases Positive reference to trade increases 3) U.S.- China trade increases Reference to trade increases 3) U.S.-China trade increases Reference to trade increases 4) More U.S.-China trade issues in Presidential Papers More emphasis on national trade interest in coverage 4) More U.S.-China trade issues in Chinese government papers More emphasis on national trade interest in coverage 5) More non-trade political issue in Presidential Papers More reference to non-trade political issue 5) More non-trade political issue in government papers More reference to non-trade political issue
Hypothesis group 1 tests the relationship between the real life indicators of U.S. and China's national interests and the emphasis on national interest in the news coverage. They explore to what degree respective government concerns on U.S.-China relations were reflected in the coverage by the two newspapers. The hypotheses are based on the assumptions 1) that the elite press speaks for the interests of its own country, regardless of the nature of the political system; 2) U.S.-China trade is considered an important issue in U.S.-China relations, involving national interest of both countries. The common interest involved in U.S.-China trade is likely to generate similar patterns in dealing with the issues relating to trade in the coverage of U.S.-China relations by the two newspapers. HG2. Relationship between Intramedia Variables
The New York Times People's Daily Independent var Dependent var Independent var Dependent var 6) More emphasis on national interest More reference to trade 6) More emphasis on national interest More reference to trade 7) More reference to trade Fewer reference to non-trade political issue 7) More reference to trade Fewer reference to non-trade political issue 8) More U.S. trade interest emphasis Fewer reference to non-trade political issues 8) More China Trade Interest Emphasis More reference to non-trade political issues
Hypothesis group 2 examines the relationship between the issues involving national interest in the coverage of U.S.-China relations, including emphasis on national interest, reference to trade and non-trade political issues, and portrayal of U.S.-China relations. It is expected that emphasis on national interest is associated with references to trade and non-trade political issues. The issues relating to trade are entwined with non-trade political issues, and the degree to which that trade issues are involved in the news coverage is likely to affect the portrayal of U.S.-China relations.
Method
This study was conducted through a content analysis. A ten-year period (1987-1996) U.S.-China relations coverage by The New York Times and People's Daily was selected for analysis. The coverage of U.S.-China relations is defined as hard news and feature stories reporting the current events, institutional and personal experience relating to U.S.-China relations, such as government actions, business activities, and personal adventures. The study period was selected for the following reasons: U.S. and China went through both a relatively stable relationship and turbulent relationship in this period. On the U.S. side, 1) It covers three U.S. presidencies, and their concerns relating to U.S.-China relations varied; 2) Some major issues concerning U.S.-China relations arose during the period, such as Human Rights in China and annual renewal of Most Favorite Nation status. On the Chinese side, 1) Transition of government leaders led to the changes in China's U.S. policy; 2) The major events such as Tiananmen Incident and Taiwanese President's visit to U.S. drastically affected U.S.-China relations. The ten-year period also saw a steady increase in U.S. investment in China, U.S.-China trade and the trade deficit on the U.S. side. These are major influencing factors on U.S.-China relations. The New York Times was chosen because of its extensive coverage of foreign policy news, and its prominence and influence on decision making.[39] It is widely read by policy makers, journalists, and diplomatic community in and out of Washington.[40] People's Daily was chosen for its eminent status in China and its role as a spokesperson for China's foreign policies.[41] Edelstein (1982) noted that there is a world system of elite communication as expressed by an "elite" or "prestige" press that speaks for these nations and to elites in other nations.[42] The New York Times and People's Daily are outstanding members of the world system of elite communication. Presidential documents on U.S.-China relations during the ten-year period were used to measure U.S. government concerns on U.S.-China relations. The presidential documents included all the nonduplicate items listed in the Public Papers of the Presidents of the United States and the Weekly Compilation of Presidential Documents. These two sources cover all contemporary documents released by the White House, including announcements, public speeches, agreements, news conferences, messages to the Congress, and other materials. For Chinese government concerns on U.S.-China relations, Chinese government documents on U.S.-China relations during the ten-year period were used. The Chinese government documents selected include all the nonduplicate items listed in the Gazette of The State Council of The People's Republic of China. This source covers all contemporary documents on domestic and international issues released by the State Council of China, including issues regarding U.S.-China relations. The data regarding U.S. investment in China and U.S.-China trade during 1987-1996 ten-year period were obtained from Survey of Current Business published by the U.S. Bureau of Economic Analysis. The periodical carries the data on U.S. direct investment positions abroad and U.S. export, import and merchandise trade balance by country. To get a complete list of news stories on U.S.-China relations by The New York Times and People's Daily during 1987 to 1996, the following sources were consulted: Lexis-Nexis database, The New York Times Index, People's Daily Index and People's Daily on microfilm. All news items classified under the category "United States International Relations - China" In The New York Times Index, beginning January 1, 1987, ending December 31, 1996 are included. 427 stories were identified with a clear theme of U.S.-China relations. Using "U.S. within 5 words China" and "U.S.-China" as the key words, a total of 302 stories was identified through Lexis-Nexis search. Combining the two lists of stories, and eliminate those that appeared on both lists, we were left with 512 stories. All news items classified under the category "China - United States" In The People's Daily Index, beginning January 1, 1987, ending December 31, 1996 are included. About 900 items were identified from People's Daily under the category "China-United States" during the ten-year period. The search result from People's Daily was double checked against People's Daily on the microfilm to determine whether the news items matched the study purpose. A complete list of the coverage of U.S.-China relations by People's Daily consists of 528 news stories. Forty percent of articles were selected for analysis annually from the sampling frame, using systematic stratified sampling procedures. With the adjustment to include at least ten stories for each year, 225 stories were picked from The New York Times, and 230 stories were chosen from People's Daily for content analysis. The coding of news content was conducted according to the prescribed procedures by Daniel Riffe et al (1998). [43] Three bilingual Chinese coders participated in the coding. Scott's Pi was used to test the intercoder reliability for nominal variables; Pearson's correlation coefficient was selected for ratio variables. An intercoder reliability test result greater than .75 was deemed satisfactory. For a 95 percent level of probability and an assumed 90 percent agreement between the coders, 90 stories were selected for intercoder reliability testing.[44] Each coder in the two groups was assigned respectively a portion of The New York Times and People's Daily items of the remaining news stories after satisfactory intercoder reliability was established. [45]
Findings
HG1. Relationship with Extramedia Variables
The New York Times H1. The hypothesis that as U.S. investment in China increases, emphasis on national trade interest increases is not supported. The correlation coefficient between the extramedia variable U.S. investment growth in China and the emphasis on national interest (trade) in The New York Times is .12. After controlling for the variable U.S. trade with China, the partial correlation is reduced to .11. Table 1 Relationship between the Extramedia Variables and The New York Times' coverage of U.S.-China Relations (1987-1996) (N=225)
Variables U.S. Investment in China U.S. Trade with China U.S. Trade Deficit U.S. Pres Trade Concern U.S. Prest Non-Trade Concerns
U.S. Nat'l Interest .14* .08 .08 .12 -.02 U.S. Trade Interest .12 .05 .05 .05 -.03 U.S. Non-Trade Intr .07 .06 .06 .12 .01 Ref to Trade .21** .22** .24** .25** -.15* Ref to Trade Neg .14* .16* .17** .22** -.11 Ref to Trade Pos .21** .20** .22** .15* -.13 Ref to Non-Trade .21** .32** .32** .09 -.13 Ref to Non-Trade Neg .12 .27** .28** .04 -.10 Ref Non- Trade Pos .27** .21** .22** .16* -.10
** = p< 0.01 (2-tailed). * = p< 0.05 (2-tailed).
H2. The hypothesis that as U.S. trade deficit with China increases, negative reference to trade increases is not supported. The correlation coefficient between the extramedia variable U.S. deficit in trade with China and negative reference to trade in The New York Times is .17, which is statistically significant. However, when controlling for U.S. investment growth in China, the partial correlation is reduced to .12, which is statistically insignificant. H3. The hypothesis that as U.S.-China trade increase, reference to trade increases is partly supported. The correlation coefficient between U.S. trade with China and references to trade is .22. When controlling for the variable U.S. investment in China, the partial correlation is .14, which is statistically significant. H4. The hypothesis that more U.S.-China trade issues in presidential papers, more emphasis on national trade interest in the coverage of U.S.-China relations in The New York Times is not supported. The correlation coefficient between the extramedia variable U.S. presidential concern on U.S.-China trade and emphasis on national trade interest is .05, which is statistically insignificant. H5. The hypothesis that more non-trade political issues in presidential papers, more reference to non-trade political issues in the coverage of U.S.-China relations in The New York Times is not supported. The correlation coefficient between the extramedia variable U.S. presidential concern on non-trade political issues and references to non-trade political issues is -.13, which is statistically insignificant.
People's Daily H1. The hypothesis that as U.S. investment in China increases, emphasis on national trade interest increases is not supported. The correlation coefficient between the extramedia variable U.S. investment growth in China and the emphasis on national trade interest in People's Daily is .09, which is statistically insignificant.
Table 2 Relationship between the Extramedia Variables and People's Daily's Coverage of U.S.-China Relations (1987-1996) (N =230)
Variables U.S. Investment in China U.S. Trade with China China Trade Surplus China Govnmt Trade China Govnmt NonTrade
China Nat'l Intre -.10 .14* .13* .04 .16* China Trade Intre -.09 .06 .06 .22** .02 China Non Trade Intre -.16* .11 .10 -.09 .16* Reference to Trade .12 .02 .02 .25** .07 Ref to Trade Neg .01 -.01 -.01 .21* .08 Ref to Trade Pos .15* .03 .03 .18** .04 Ref to Non-Trade -.05 .02 .01 -.12 .19** Ref to Non-Trade Neg -.19** -.15* -.15* -.15 .09 Ref to Non-Trade Pos .14* .19** .20** -.01 .19**
** = p< 0.01 (2-tailed). * = p< 0.05 (2-tailed).
H2. The hypothesis that as China surplus in trade with U.S. increases, positive reference to trade increases is not supported. The correlation coefficient between the extramedia variable China surplus in trade with U.S. and positive reference to trade in People's Daily is .03, which is statistically significant. H3. The hypothesis that as U.S.-China trade increases, reference to trade increases is not supported. The correlation between U.S.-China trade and reference to trade in People's Daily is .02, which is statistically insignificant. H4. The hypothesis that more U.S.-China trade issues in China's government document, more emphasis on national trade interest in the coverage of U.S.-China relations in People's Daily is partly supported. The correlation coefficient between the extramedia variable China's government concern on U.S.-China trade and emphasis on national trade interest is .22. Controlling for the variable China's government non-trade concern, the partial correlation is .22, which is statistically significant. H5. The hypothesis that more non-trade political issues in China's government document, more reference to non-trade political issues in the coverage of U.S.-China relations in People's Daily is partly supported. The correlation coefficient between the extramedia variable China's government concern on non-trade political issues and references to non-trade political issues is.19. Controlling for the variable China's government concern on trade, the partial correlation is .23, which is statistically significant.
HG2. Relationship between Intramedia Variables
The New York Times H6. The hypothesis that the more emphasis on national interest in the news coverage, the more reference to trade is supported. The correlation between emphasis on national interest and reference to trade is .40. H7. The hypothesis that the more reference to trade, fewer references to non-trade political issues is not supported. The correlation between reference to trade and reference to non-trade political issues is .13, which statistically insignificant. H8. The hypothesis that the more emphasis on U.S. trade interest, the fewer references to non-trade political issues is not supported. The correlation between emphasis on U.S. trade interest and reference to non-trade political issues is -.03, which is statistically insignificant.
Table 3 Relationship between the Intramedia Variables (Issues) in The New York Times' coverage of U.S.-China Relations (1987-1996) (N=225)
Variables Reference to Trade Reference to Non-Trade U.S. National Interest U.S. Interest Trade U.S. Interest Non-Trade
U.S. Nat'l Interest .40** .08 1.00 .80** .60** U.S. Intre Trade .43** -.03 .80** 1.00 .00 U.S. Intre Non-Trade .08 .17* .60** .00 1.00 Reference to Trade 1.00 .13 .40** .43** .08 Ref to Trade Neg .89** .08 .28** .33** .03 Ref to Trade Pos .69** .15 .39** .38** .14* Ref to Non-Trade .13 1.00 .08 -.03 .17* Ref to non-trade Neg .12 .92** .03 -.06 .15* Ref to non-trade Pos .07 .58** .12 .06 .11
** = p< 0.01 (2-tailed). * = p< 0.05 (2-tailed).
People's Daily H6. The hypothesis that the more emphasis on national interest in the news coverage, the more reference to trade is not supported. The correlation between emphasis on national interest and reference to trade is .02, which is statistically insignificant. However, relationship is found between emphasis on national interest and reference to non-trade political issues. The correlation between China national interest and reference to non-trade political issues is .25 with negative reference to non-trade political issues contributing more to the relationship. H7. The hypothesis that the more reference to trade, fewer references to non-trade political issues is weakly supported. The correlation between reference to trade and reference to non-trade political issues is -.15, which is statistically significant. H8. The hypothesis that the more emphasis on China trade interest, the fewer references to non-trade political issues is not supported. The correlation between emphasis on China trade interest and reference to non-trade political issues is .01.
Table 4 Relationship between the Intramedia Variables (Issues) in People's Daily's Coverage of U.S.-China Relations (1987-1996) (N=230)
Variables Reference to Trade Reference to Non-Trade China. National Interest China. Interest Trade China Interest Non-Trade
China Nat'l Intre .02 .25** 1.00 .44** .85** China Intre Trade .23** .00 .44** 1.00 -.09 China Intre Non-Trade -.12 .27** .85** -.09 1.00 Reference to Trade 1.00 -.15* .02 .23** -.12 Ref to Trade Neg .61** -.08 .12 .22** .01 Ref to Trade Pos .87** -.14* -.05 .16* -.15* Ref to Non-Trade -.15* 1.00 .25** .01 .27** Ref to non-trade Neg -.19** .77** .24** -.03 .29** Ref to non-trade Pos -.02 .66** .11 .05 .09
** = p< 0.01 (2-tailed). * = p< 0.05 (2-tailed).
The data analysis also reveals some important distinguished characteristics of the two newspapers in their coverage of U.S.-China relations being affected by national interest. The New York Times emphasize U.S. trade interest more than China trade interest. The mean of emphasis on U.S. trade interest is 6.0, while the mean of emphasis on China trade interest is 1.10. The t value of the comparison of the means is -2.58, which is statistically significant at the 99% level. People's Daily emphasizes China non-trade interest more than U.S. non-trade interest. The mean of reference to U.S. non-trade interest is 4.10, while the mean of reference to China non-trade interest is 16.10. The t value of the comparison of the means is 5.56, which is statistically significant at the 99% level. No difference is found in the emphasis on U.S. national interest and China national interest as a whole in The New York Times, while People's Daily emphasizes more China national interest than U.S. national interest as a whole. The mean of reference to U.S. national interest is 10.10, while the mean of reference to China national interest is 22.20. The t value of the comparison of the means is 4.55, which is statistically significant at the 99% level.
Discussion
Overall, the three major extramedia variables, U.S. investment growth in China, U.S.-China trade, and U.S. and China's government concerns on trade and non-trade issues are weak predictors of news content, but each variable has its specific influence under certain circumstances.
HG1. Relationship with Extramedia Variables
The New York Times. The rejection of H1 indicates that U.S. investment growth is not a good predictor of emphasis on national interest in the news coverage. U.S. investment in China continued to grow during 1987 to 1996 at a relatively stable rate, around 35% average a year. The emphasis on national interest varied according to the news events covered. Except in those years with big issues regarding U.S.-China relations going on, verbal emphasis on national interest is not a regular occurrence in the news coverage. The rejection of H2 is consistent with the result of H1. As U.S.-China trade continued to growth, U.S. deficit continued to increase too. U.S. trade deficit might have an overall negative impact on U.S.-China relations when it was an issue on the table, but it may not have a clear negative impact on reference to trade in the coverage of U.S.-China relations. The weak support of H3 indicates that U.S.-China trade has some impact on the news coverage and the finding supports the notion that real life indicator of national interest such as U.S.-China trade could affect the news content. The weak relationship is also close to the findings in the previous studies: The New York Time set its own agenda in reporting U.S.-China relations, and it did not follow what the government considered important in its coverage of U.S.-China relations, such as issues regarding human rights in China.[46] The rejection of H4 and H5 cast some doubt on the impact of presidential concerns on the emphasis on national interest in the news coverage. It also partly confirms the findings of Goodman[47] and Li and St. Cyr on presidential agenda vs. The New York Times' agenda.[48] The presidential concerns of national interest may not be the focus of The New York Time in reporting events involving national interest.
People's Daily The rejection of H1 indicates that U.S. investment growth in China is not a good indicator of emphasis on national interest in People's Daily. Although national interest is involved as China attracted more investment from the U.S., when comparing to the investment from other parts of the world, investment from the U.S. weighted less. [49] The rejection of H2 is consistent with the result of H1. U.S. trade deficit was a problem in U.S.-China relations. Unless People's Daily neglects the negative impact that trade surplus issues would bring to China, it is reasonable that People's Daily avoid negative effect when covering U.S.-China trade, and choose not to deal with U.S.-China trade issues corresponding to its trade surplus. People Daily basically chose to cover the topic at its own pace, not corresponding to U.S.-China trade. The finding of H3 suggests that as U.S.-China trade continued to grow during the ten-years, People's Daily covered trade issues only when trade became an issue in U.S.-China relations, and only when it needed to advance China's national interest through news content. The partly support of H4 (.22) and H5 (.19) is consistent with what we know as the organizational goal of People's Daily. The results confirm the notion that People's Daily performs as the government organ, and it follows what the government identified as important in U.S.-China relations concerning trade and non-trade political issues. It also shows that China's government concerns on trade and non-trade issues are fairly good indicators of news coverage of important issues in U.S.-China relations involving national interest in People Daily. The findings of both The New York Times and People's Daily confirm shoemaker and Reese's model of news content influenced by extramedia factors. The extramedia variables affect news content together with variables on all other levels. The relatively weak influence of extramedia variables on the news content may be explained by the proportional space that extramedia level accounted in the hierarchical circle. The findings of the impact of three extramedia variables from both The New York Times and People's Daily support Ahern and Rosengren and Rikardsson's findings that trade exerted influence on coverage of international news, although this study indicates that the impact, whenever found, is less strong as what was indicated in Ahern's study. The difference could be due to the different dependent variables that each study looked at and the way that the independent variables were operationlized.
HG2. Relationship between Intramedia Variables
It is found that for both The New York Times and People's Daily emphasis on national interest are weak indicators of reference to trade and non-trade political issues in the news coverage. The findings show that the issues relating to trade are to some degree entwined with non-trade political issues.
The New York Times The support of H6 provides the evidence that emphasis on national interest in the news coverage is connected with trade related issues and confirms the notion that emphasis on national interest is associated with reference to trade (.40). The finding also indicates that the coverage of trade related issue were presented as the area involving more national interest than the coverage of non-trade political issues in The New York Times. The rejection of H7 implies that in the news coverage of The New York Times, the increase of reference to trade does not have the effect to suppress reference to non-trade political issues. The finding fails to support the notion that the national interest embedded in trade related issues will override the concern on non-trade political issues in the news coverage. In the news coverage of U.S.-China relations by The New York Times, trade related issues were often found linked to non-trade political issues. The rejection of H8 answers the question related to H7 more clearly. When national trade interest is emphasized in the coverage of U.S.-China relations, it does not lead to fewer references to non-trade political issues. The New York Times failed to meet the expectation that it will put less attention to non-trade political issues when it perceived that national interest was involved.
People's Daily The rejection of H6 fails to support the notion that emphasis on national interest is associated with reference to trade (.02). Whenever People's Daily considered that national interest was at stake, it did not refer more to trade issues. Instead, it did refer to non-trade political issues (.25). To People's Daily, emphasis on national interest in the news coverage was implemented only when non-trade political issues were referred. The weak support of H7 provides some directional indication of the relationship between reference to trade and reference to non-trade political issues in the news coverage (-.15). However, with the weak correlation between reference to trade and non-trade political issues in People's Daily, the findings provide little confidence to support the notion that the more concerns on trade related issues will restrain the concerns on non-trade political issues in the coverage of U.S.-China relations by People's Daily. The rejection of H8 is a complement to the result of H6. It is found that emphasis on national interest was related to reference to non-trade political issues (.25). Only national interest on non-trade political issues was found associated with reference to non-trade political issues (.27), which indicates that relationship found between emphasis on national interest and reference to non-trade political issues exclude the effect from emphasis on national trade interest. For The New York Times, Emphasis on national interest is associated only with reference to trade, while in People's Daily, emphasis on national interest is associated only with reference to non-trade political issues. Although the associations went to the different directions in the two newspapers, it does show that emphasis on national interest is connected with the reference to trade or non-trade political issues in the news coverage. The different focus of national interest in the two newspapers suggests that the effect of emphasis on national interest on news content depends on which area that the newspaper identifies to have the highest national interest at stake. For The New York Times, trade related issues implied more national interest, while for People's Daily, non-trade political issues involved utmost national interest. Despite the use of real life indicators of national interest, this study only employ figures on U.S.-China trade compiled by U.S. institution, U.S. presidential document and China's State Council's document. It did not examine the effect of other aspects of the national interest on news content. So the significance of the findings is limited within the range that the selected real life indicators cover. This study looked at two elite newspapers of the U.S. and China. The findings provide some understanding of how these two newspapers were affected by national interest. The generability of the findings on the effect of national interest on international news is limited without looking at a broader range of media in the U.S. and China and without a more comprehensive comparison on how news media in the two countries are affected by national interest. To assess the effect of national interest, a broader scope of national interest than what this study looked at might be considered as extramedia variables in the future studies. Other research questions regarding effect of national interest on coverage of international news may include: what are the common issues and aspects of the coverage of international news that are most likely to be identified by the media as the key components of national interest? If the real life indicators of national interest were found to have effect on the news content, does such effect remain active across the time, or is it for a specific time frame? To what extend does shift of national interest influence the emphasis on national interest in the news content?
Conclusion
National interest is tested in this study as a construct to evaluate how newspaper content of international news was affected by extramedia and intramedia variables. Its usefulness in studying the effect of news content is reconfirmed by this study. As extramedia variables, the effect of national interest was found present and its impact is not negligibly trivial. As intramedia variables, the indicators of national interest served both as references that demonstrated the effect of extramedia variables as well as the factors that affected other issues and aspects of the coverage of international news. The findings of this study provide some support to the Shoemaker and Reese's model of influences on news content. The notion that newspaper speaks for the nation is supported by the findings. Overall, the three major extramedia variables, U.S. investment growth in China, U.S.-China trade, and government concerns on trade and non-trade issues are weak predictors of news content. The distinction is clear in the relationship between emphasis on national interest and reference to trade and non-trade political issues in The New York Times and People's Daily. For The New York Times, Emphasis on national interest is associated only with reference to trade, while in People's Daily, emphasis on national interest is associated only with reference to non-trade political issues. There is not much difference between The New York Times and People's Daily that their coverage of U.S.-China relations being affected by national interest.
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