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Election Involvement and Media Attention Voter's Election Involvement and Media Attention: Intention to Vote, Commitment to a Candidate, and Partisanship Soontae An Doctoral Student University of North Carolina at Chapel Hill E-Mail) [log in to unmask] Tel)919-967-3669 This paper is submitted to the Mass Communication and Society Division, Association for Education in Journalism and Mass Communication ABSTRACT This study examined the relationship between voters' election involvement and their media attention levels. Study used Carolina Poll survey data conducted in North Carolina of voters who were interviewed during the 1996 campaign year. The independent variable was election involvement measured by "intention to vote," "commitment to a candidate," and "partisanship." The dependent variable was the level of media attention for nine media sources; television news, newspaper stories, radio news, political advertising, radio/television talk shows, MTV, television debates, late night shows, and the Internet. Results showed that total media attention level was likely to increase with their election involvement. Television debates, newspaper stories, radio news, and radio/television talk shows were found to be the main media preferred by high involvement voters. Specifically, newspaper stories received similar amounts of attention by all groups except those who were the least involved, while radio/television talk shows were the medium significantly preferred only by those who were the most involved. INTRODUCTION Political campaigns use mass media as the primary means of communicating with voters during an election period. Campaigns for the most important offices in the U.S.- the House of Representatives, the Senate, governorships, and the presidency- are clearly driven by advertising and news coverage (Ansolabehere, 1988 p78). It is clear that the media now are the link between politicians and their constituents. Politicians speak to the media; the media then speak to the voters. The 1996 elections were historic in introducing a new type of political communication, the Internet. Already voters are surrounded by a wide variety of media sources, with daily opportunities to read newspapers, watch TV news and debates, listen to the radio, converse with talk-show hosts, and now to search the Internet. However, since each medium delivers messages with characteristics related to its own features as a medium, voters' attention to media may vary. For instance, news magazine tend to be read by the most politically sophisticated citizens (Campbell, Converse, Miller, & Stokes 1966; Chaffee & Tims 1982). Voters expose themselves selectively to some media outlets to seek out certain information relevant to their objectives. Assuming voters' selective exposure and selective attention to the media, several questions arise: Who primarily pays attention to the flow of campaign messages? What voter characteristics influence their selective attention to the media? Does voters' involvement with the election play a role in their selective attention to the messages? The purpose of this paper is to examine the relationship between voters' media attention and their election involvement. Audience's involvement is generally considered an important mediating variable in influencing its response to the message (McGuire, 1968; Petty & Cacioppo, 1981, 1986). In this study, voters' involvement with an election was used to predict their general media attention level and attention level for alternative media outlets. LITERATURE REVIEW Election involvement and media attention The concept of involvement has become one of the central constructs for research on the effects of mass communication. Involvement determines whether the audience is active or passive -- whether people select and process media content, or merely allow it to wash over them (Roser, 1990). Disagreement arises, however, over different definitions and operationalizations, some of which may tap different constructs while using the same name. Researchers strongly disagree on just what "involvement" is, when it happens, and whether it heightens or diminishes attitude change (Roser, 1990). Although strong disagreements exist over just what involvement is, it has generally been regarded as an important mediator of the effects of communication messages (Atkin 1980;Petty & Cacioppo 1979, 1981, 1986; Rothschild 1978). For instance, when audience's involvement with an issue is high, they tend to scrutinize message contents, and are likely to be influenced by message factors, such as strong arguments or weak arguments, rather than source factors, i.e., source credibility and attractiveness (Petty & Cacioppo, 1979, 1984, 1986; Petty, Cacioppo, & Goldman, 1981). Many studies on political communication constructed "election involvement" based on intention to vote, commitment to particular candidates, and party identification. Generally, intention to vote was found to be a significant predictor of voter's knowledge of the issues, along with other demographic variables such as education and income. In Chaffee, Zhao, and Leshner's study (1994), intention to vote turned out to be a statistically significant variable predicting voter knowledge. Drew and Weaver (1991) found that the more interested voters were in a campaign, the more issue knowledge they showed. Rothschild and Ray (1974) constructed a different concept of election involvement. They employed two basic criteria to classify election involvement. The first, participation, is characterized by the minimal act of voting or intending to vote. The other, volunteering, is characterized by commitment and willingness to actually work for and learn about a candidate. Based on these constructs, Rothschild and Ray classified three kinds of election involvement. First, no involvement implies that the person will not participate in the election at all and will not vote at all. Second, zero-order involvement indicates that the person will vote but will not seek information or take a position. The third type is higher-order involvement. It indicates not only the minimal commitment to vote but also the development of attitudes about the candidates. Involvement has been found to be a variable closely related to attentiveness to the message. In natural settings attention and involvement are likely to correlate highly (Batra & Ray, 1983). The learning hierarchy of effects (Ray et al., 1973) and most persuasion research based on message-learning theories (Hovland, Janis, & Kelly, 1953; McGuire, 1968, 1989) posit that persuasion is contingent upon attending to and learning the content of the persuasive appeal. A person's basic interest in politics leads him/her to read and watch news about a particular campaign; in turn this exposure arouses his/her interest which then produces more exposure behavior (Atkin, Galloway, & Nayman, 1976). Although there is little formal theory specific to media attention, pragmatic principles of applied mass communication (for example, advertising) stress the value of "attention-getting devices,' and attention is considered one of the key steps in the communication process (Chaffe & Schleuder, 1986). In Chaffee and Schleuder's (1986) study, media attention measures proved to be among the strongest predictors of knowledge. When compared with media exposure measures, i.e., how many times do you read newspapers per week?, attention measures i.e., how much attention do you pay to newspapers?, provide a better way of predicting the effects of news viewing and reading to predict voter's attitude or behaviors. Selective attention is the tendency for a person to pay attention to those parts of a message that are consonant with strongly held attitudes, beliefs, or behaviors. As Marshall McLuhan put it, "the medium is the message." Since each medium delivers different characteristics of messages related to its features, audiences' level of attention for each medium would be different according to their objectives or their motives. McLuhan (1984) distinguished between television as a "cool' medium and newspapers as "hot " media. He said : "Hot media are _low in participation, and cool media are high in participation or completion by the audience," because hot media "do not leave so much to be filled in or completed by the audience" (p.36). Graber (1984) also says that viewing television news may require more cognitive processing than reading newspaper news. Although there has been much research on medium-based involvement characteristics, the research literature generally emphasizes two-channel comparisons between television news and either newspaper or television advertising in the field of political communication. Radio news and news magazines get overlooked in most research (Chaffe, Zhao, and Leshner, 1994), along with other media such as radio/television talk shows, political debates, and the Internet. Voters' media attention or media exposures has been heavily studied, but, notably, many researches on political communication have focused on the consequences of media attention or media exposure rather than the cause or prevalent variables of them. Most studies have treated mass media use as an independent variable and voter's acquisition of certain attitudes or cognition as the dependent variables. In other words, media use and media attention were used to explain voter's acquisition of issue knowledge (Chaffee, Zhao, and Leshner 1994; Diamond 1978; Jamieson 1993; Drew and Weaver 1991; Zhao and Chaffee 1995), voting behavior (Simon 1996), intention to vote (Kennamer 1987), and time of decision (Chaffee & Choe 1980). Factors affecting media use Researchers have identified several factors affecting voters' media use. Political activity was found to be a good predictor of newspaper readership (Kebbel 1985). Kebbel's research indicated that more educated people tended to be more politically active, and older, more educated and more politically active people tended to be more frequent newspaper readers than younger, less educated and less politically active people. The analysis of the relative strengths of the variables showed political activity to be the best predictor, followed by age and education. Tan (1981) suggested political participation, diffuse support and perceptions of political efficacy as predictors of mass media use. He made an argument about the direction of causality between mass media use and acquisition of political affect and behaviors. He said that "the direction of causality may be the reverse of what is commonly postulated by current communication models. Rather than mass media use determining political affect and behaviors, it may be that a person's political attitudes and behaviors determine his/her use of the mass media." His path model found political participation to be the strongest predictor of media use. A study (Lowden, et al 1994) found the relationship between voter characteristics and media use. Issue-oriented voters relied mainly on newspapers, whereas image-oriented voters tended to seek relevant information from television. Voters' decision-making status was found to be related to media usage. McCombs (1972) said that "those who make their vote decisions_before the fall campaign gets underway_make greater use of the media than voters who enters the campaign period uncommitted or undecided." Partisanship is another factor playing a role in mediating media use and voter's decision-making (Chaffee and Choe 1980). A group of less partisan voters paid close attention to the flow of media information and voted on the basis of that information. RESEARCH QUESTIONS This study investigates voters' media attention in terms of their election involvement. The independent variable is election involvement measured by "intention to vote" and "commitment to a particular candidate," and "partisanship." The dependent variable is the level of media attention for nine media sources; television news, newspaper stories, radio news, political advertising, radios/television talk shows, MTV, television debates, late night shows, and the Internet. This study seeks to answer the following research questions: y How is a voter's election involvement related to her or his level of media attention? More specifically, how do intention to vote, commitment to a particular candidate, and partisanship affect a voter's media attention level? y How is the level of a voter's election involvement related to her or his media attention level for each medium? For instance, who pays more attention to political advertising than any other media? Are those who have high involvement with the election more likely to pay attention? MEASUREMENT This study used Carolina Poll survey data conducted in North Carolina of voters who were interviewed during the 1996 campaign year. 868 North Carolina residents 18 or older selected by random-digit dialing were interviewed. This study followed the operational definition of Rothschild and Ray (1974) regarding voter's election involvement. Three factors defining election involvement were intention to vote, commitment to a candidate, and partisanship. Three questions was used to measure voter's election involvement. One is regarding "intention to vote" asked by the question "On a scale from zero to ten, where ten means you absolutely will vote and zero means you definitely won't vote, how likely are you to vote in the November election for president and senator?" The highest score is 10 and the lowest is 0. The second question is about "commitment to a particular candidate" asked by the question "If the election for president were held today, would you vote for Bill Clinton, the Democrat, Bob Dole, the Republican, or Ross Perot, the Reform candidate?" Interviewees could choose among those three names, "someone else", and "don't know/uncertain." Another follow-up question was asked to those who responded "don't know/uncertain" to check their leaning toward certain candidates. The question was "Who are you leaning toward now, Clinton, Dole, or Perot?" The same five answers were possible. Three survey questions were compiled to measure voter partisanship. Voter partisanship could be 1) strong liberal 2) not strong liberal 3) moderate-liberal 4) moderate 5) moderate-conservative 6) not strong conservative 7) strong conservative 8) no preference 9) don't know/no answer. The first question was "In general, when it comes to politics, do you usually think of yourself as a liberal, a conservative, a moderate, or what?" Responses were coded as 1) liberal 2) moderate 3) conservative 4) never think of self 5) don't know 6) no answer 7) Respondent insists undecided. For those who responded "liberal" or "conservative," a subsequent question was asked: "Do you think of yourself as a strong liberal, or a not very strong liberal?" or " Do you think of yourself as a strong conservative, or a not very strong conservative?" Responses were coded into 1)strong conservative 2)not very strong conservative 3) don't know 4) no answer. Nine questions about each medium were used to measure the level of media attention. They concerned television news, newspaper stories, radio news, advertising, radio and television talk shows, MTV, television debates, late night shows, and the Internet. All questions had the same wording except the specific medium representation. The form of the question was "Here are some different ways of learning about the presidential candidates. For each, tell me if you have paid_ a lot of attention_some attention_a little attention_ not much attention_ no attention at all to (specific medium)" Based on these questions, the total amount of media attention was calculated. For each response, a lot of attention was given a score 5, some attention 4, a little attention 3, not much attention 2, no attention at all 1. The highest level of media attention was 45, which represents those who responded that they have paid a lot of attention to all nine media, while the lowest was 9, which represents those who paid no attention at all to any medium. RESULTS Multiple regression analysis was used to explore the collective and separate effects of three independent variables, intention to vote, commitment to a candidate, and partisanship, on a dependent variable, the level of media attention. Relation between total media attention and election involvement This study controlled for major correlates of media attention level. Table 1 shows the result of multiple regression analysis of media attention with demographic variables. Age, education, and income were the variables significantly related to voters' media attention. To exclude the influence of these variables on the dependent variable, they were entered as a block set into the first equation in the following multiple regression analysis. Table 2 shows the incremental R2 of each independent variable entered individually. This hierarchical regression method allows us to examine additional amount of variance explained separately by three independent variables. --------------------------------- Table 1 & 2 about here --------------------------------- The control block explained about 4 % of the total variance (R2=.039). Voters who were more educated, younger, or had lower incomes tended to pay more attention to media, in general. Voting intent significantly increased the amount of explained variance (incremental R2 =.036). Adding commitment to a candidate into the equation also significantly enhanced the explained variance by about 1 %. However, partisanship did not turn out to be a significant variable to predict media attention (t=1.423, p= .155). The final regression model includes voting intent and commitment to a candidate as independent variables, which explained about 9 % of the total variance: When the voting intention was high, and voters made decisions to choose a particular candidate, they were more likely to pay attention to media as political information sources. Attention levels for nine different media Multivariate analysis of variance (MANOVA) was used to compare four groups' attention levels to nine alternative media. The four groups, adopted from the study of Rothschild and Ray (1974), were 1) those with no involvement, who will not vote, and do not have any preference for candidates, 2) those with zero-order involvement, who will vote but do not take any position about candidates, 3) those with non partisan higher order involvement, who will not only vote, but also will take positions about candidates without partisanship, and 4) those with party loyalty-higher order involvement, who will not only vote, but also have commitment to a candidate with partisanship. MANOVA is appropriate in that one set of response measures is to be compared simultaneously with another set of response measures. In this study, the response measures were attention levels for various media. Because these attention levels are interrelated, MANOVA allows simultaneous testing of all the components and considers all the interrelationships among them. In other words, MANOVA controls for Type 1 errors and provides a multivariate analysis of effects by taking into account the correlation between dependent measures. After running MANOVA, multiple univariate ANOVAs for each of the dependent variables were performed. The reasoning behind this approach is that if MANOVA yields significance, then it is considered acceptable to carry out multiple univariate ANOVAs without undue inflation of Type 1 error. The MANOVA indicated that there were group difference in terms of their media attention level (Wilks' lamda =.885, F(27, 2518) =3.975, p=.0001). (Table 3) Four media showed significantly different attention level among the four subject groups: television debates (F=14.011, p=.0001), radio news ( F=6.077, p=.0001), newspaper stories (F=15.509, p=.0001), and radio and television talk shows (F=5.348, p=.001). However, other five media, political advertising, late night shows, MTV, TV, and the Internet, did not yield significant differences among groups. (Table 4) --------------------------------- Table 3 & 4 about here --------------------------------- Subsequent univariate ANOVAs with Bonferroni Post Hoc tests involved multiple comparisons among groups. Voters with higher election involvement paid more attention to television debates, in general. However, significant differences were seen between group 1 and group 3 (p=.0001), group 1 and group 4 (p=.0001), and group 2 and group 4 (p=.041). The difference between group 2 and group 3 was not significant. Also the attention levels were not significantly different between group 1 and group 2, or between group 3 and group 4. This multiple comparison shows that adjacent group's attention levels were not significantly different. (Table 5) --------------------------------- Table 5 about here --------------------------------- However, with regard to newspaper attention level, group 1's news attention level was significantly lower than all other three groups(p=.0001). There was no difference between the other 3 groups. Group 4 had a significantly high attention level to radio/ television talk shows compared to other three groups (p=.020, p=.011, p=.028) However, there was no significant difference between group 1, group 2, and group 3. With regard to radio news, the only significant difference was between group 1 and group 4 (p=.0001). --------------------------------- Table 6, 7,& 8 about here --------------------------------- DISCUSSION This study examined the relationship between voters' election involvement and their media attention levels. Results showed that total media attention level, based on nine alternative media outlets, was likely to increase with their election involvement. Voting intention and commitment to a particular candidate were found to be significantly related to total media attention. As voters intention to vote increased and they developed candidate preferences, their media attention level increased. Partisanship did not turn out to be a significant variable in predicting media attention level. The goal of a political campaign is to influence people's opinion. Campaign messages are carried via a variety of media. Who, in general, pays attention to these messages? This study provides a possible answer: those with high election involvement. When they are determined to vote and support a candidate, they are more likely to pay attention to campaign messages to seek out political information sources. This study found that television debates, newspaper stories, radio news, and radio/TV talk shows are the main media preferred by high involvement voters. Those who not only decided to vote, but also support a candidate with partisanship tended to pay more attention to these media for gathering political information. However, political advertising, TV, MTV, late night shows, and the Internet were not media outlets differentiated according to voters' election involvement. More interestingly, these four media showed distinctive characteristics as information sources. In particular, newspaper stories and radio/television talk shows represented contrasting features. Newspaper stories received similar amounts of attention by all groups except group 1, who were the least involved in the political process. However, radio/television talk shows were the medium significantly preferred only by group 4 who were the most involved. These results indicate that newspaper stories generally receive attention by all voters except those with no election involvement, while the primary audience of radio/television talk shows are those with very high election involvement. Television debates and radio news showed significant differences only between those with very high involvement and those with very low involvement. The more involved were people with the election, the more they paid attention to these media. These findings can provide message creators useful insights. As audiences' issue involvement increases, they tend to scrutinize message content (Petty & Cacioppo, 1979). Highly involved audiences are more likely to focus on the content of message and how it is organized rather than peripheral cues such as background music, source expertise, and source attractiveness. This study found that television debates, radio/television talk shows, newspaper stories, and radio news are more likely to receive attention from highly involved voters who tend to focus on message contents. This implies that message creators have to be very cautious in composing persuasion messages especially for these media because messages would be scrutinized by these highly involved voters. In addition, considering these highly involved voters are the ones who already have made up their minds about particular candidates, to provide reinforcing information based on relevant studies and statistics would seem to be most effective in these campaign media. This study attempted to find the relationship between voters' election involvement and their media attention level. By analyzing survey data, this study simply showed whether there is a relationship between election involvement and media attention level. However, this study did not examine why certain media outlets received attention, or what was the impact. In addition, further research can study other external variables affecting voters media attention level such as timing in a campaign and the degree of issue competition. Table 1 Media Attention Related to Demographic Variables Dependent variable Independent variables Media attention Age -.786* Education .670* Gender -.218 Income -.182* Race .364 R2 total equation .042 Note: Entries are beta weights from multiple regression. * p<.05 Table 2 Media Attention Related to Level of Election Involvement Dependent variable Independent variables Media attention Age -.899* Education .577* Income -.191 R2 due to controls .037* Voting intention .481* Incremental R2 due to voting intention .036* Commitment to a candidate x* Incremental R2 due to commitment to a candidate .01* Partisanship .233 R2 total equation .088* Note: Entries are beta weights from multiple regression. * p<.05 "x" indicates dummy coding for a categorical variable. Table 3 Multivariate Test Wilks' Lamda Degrees of freedom. F-statistics Significance of F Four groups .885 27 3.975 .000 Table 4 Univariate ANOVAs Dependent variables (attention level) Degrees of freedom F-statistics Significance of F Political advertising 3 1.842 .138 Television debates 3 14.011 .000 Late night shows 3 2.467 .061 MTV 3 .706 .548 Newspaper stories 3 15.509 .000 Radio news 3 6.077 .000 Radio/television talk shows 3 5.348 .001 Television news 3 .986 .398 Internet 3 .190 .903 Table 5 Television Debates - Bonferroni Post Hoc Tests (I) group (J) group Mean difference (I-J) Sig. 1 2 3 4 -.3943 -.7838* -.8756* .268 .000 .000 2 1 3 4 .3943 .-3895 -.4813* .268 .188 .041 3 1 2 4 .7838* .3895 -0.0918 .000 .188 1.000 4 1 2 3 .8756* .4813* 0.0917 .000 .041 1.000 Table 6 Newspaper stories - Bonferroni Post Hoc Tests (I) group (J) group Mean difference (I-J) Sig. 1 2 3 4 -.7886* -.6473* -.8794* .000 .000 .000 2 1 3 4 .7386* 0.0912 -.1409 .000 1.000 1.000 3 1 2 4 .6473* -0.0912 -.2321 .000 1.000 .221 4 1 2 3 .8794* .1409 .2321 .000 1.000 .221 Table 7 Radio/television talk shows - Bonferroni Post Hoc Tests (I) group (J) group Mean difference (I-J) Sig. 1 2 3 4 .1213 -0.075 -.4136* 1.000 1.000 .020 2 1 3 4 -.1213 -.1965 -.5349* 1.000 1.000 .011 3 1 2 4 0.075 .1965 -.3385* 1.000 1.000 .028 4 1 2 3 .4136* .5349* .3385* .020 .011 .028 Table 8 Radio news - Bonferroni Post Hoc Tests (I) group (J) group Mean difference (I-J) Sig. 1 2 3 4 -.1776 -.3390 -.5626* 1.000 .098 .000 2 1 3 4 .1776 -.1614 -.3850 1.000 1.000 .133 3 1 2 4 .3390 .1614 -.2236 .098 1.000 .336 4 1 2 3 .5626* .3850 .2236 .000 .133 .336 REFERENCES Ansolabehere, S., Behr, R., & Iyengar, S. 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