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Subject: AEJ 95 LoomisK MCS Radio station demographics and the public interest
From: Elliott Parker <[log in to unmask]>
Reply-To:AEJMC Conference Papers <[log in to unmask]>
Date:Tue, 6 Feb 1996 11:53:25 EST
Content-Type:text/plain
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Parts/Attachments

text/plain (1960 lines)


RADIO STATION AGE DEMOGRAPHICS AND THE PUBLIC INTEREST
 
    In the current deregulated broadcasting environment the market
 
supposedly provides for the public interest through serving the
 
goals of advertisers seeking a vehicle to reach consumers.  It is
 
assumed that the public interest is identified by advertisers who,
 
seeking to accomodate the audiences' needs, finance appropriate
 
programming.
 
        This paper focuses on the relationship between age group
 
demographics and audience satisfaction.  Because advertisers have
 
found it profitable to perceive consumers as members of specific
 
age groups, commercial broadcasters have been compelled to
 
conceptualize audiences in the same manner.  One might assume - if
 
the marketplace serves the public interest - that a number of
 
different audience age groups are being pursued by advertisers and
 
broadcasters, and that individuals in the demographically more
 
"attractive" age groups are generally more satisfied with the
 
programming.
 
        This analysis explores the relationship of age groups to
 
advertisers' goals, radio broadcasters' programming decisions, and
 
listeners' satisfaction in one large size midwestern city.  The
 
objective is to provide empirical evidence - for this market - as
 
to the efficacy of the public interest being understood as a
 
function of the marketplace.
 
    In 1981 the Federal Communications Commission began
 
deregulating radio when it released its "Report and Order: In
 
the Matter of Deregulation of Radio." (1)  The doctrine
 
 
 
                                             Radio Age Demos pg 2
 
presented a thorough and convincing argument that the
 
marketplace was the best determinant of the public interest.
 
Regarding broadcast programming, it defined the public interest
 
as "the wants and needs of the public - what economists call
 
consumer satisfaction," and reiterated that these wants and
 
needs could best be satisfied by the competitive forces in the
 
marketplace, rather than by government regulation. (2)  It was
 
claimed that, through the marketplace, broadcasters and
 
advertisers would seek to serve specific, narrowly defined
 
audience groups - and that the combination of these specialized
 
audiences would represent the needs of the total public. (3)
 
    The result of this deregulatory strategy is that listeners are
 
perceived as members of consumer groups.  The terms "public
 
interest" and "marketplace" have therefore become interchangeable.
As the Report and Order itself stated,
 
    It is not the public interest standard that we proposed to
 
        eliminate. . . Rather, since marketplace solutions can be
 
    consistent with public interest concerns, we sought to             explore
 
          in the proceeding the question of whether or not in        the context
of
 
          radio the public interest can be met through        the working of
 
    marketplace forces rather than by current           Commission regulations.
 (4)
 
Thus, it seems rather straightforward that deregulation - and the
 
adoption of a marketplace strategy - perceives listeners as
 
consumers in a particular marketplace.
 
    There may be two problems with this approach.  First,
 
because the majority of advertising dollars is spent in the
 
pursuit of a theoretical, specifically defined group of people,
 
 
 
                                              Radio Age Demos pg 3
 
the public represented by the marketplace may actually be quite
 
narrow in its conception; (5) even though the model relies on the
 
assumption that every significant group in society, every
 
legitimate special interest, will be served by the business
 
instincts of advertisers.
 
    A second problem might stem from the fact that the audience
 
demographics constructed by advertising agencies are artificial
 
entities.  In a sense, these narrowly defined attractive
 
audiences exist only on paper.  They do not reflect the
 
individual natures of consumer sub-groups, nor how different people
use the media in different ways.  Just because a large number of
 
individuals of similar age, income, gender, and race can be
 
statistically grouped does not guarantee they have common tastes
 
and needs.  Research has indicated that radio audience groups of
 
the same age have radical differences in their programming
 
preferences. (6)  Eileen R. Meehan argued that ratings (the
 
application of age groups to station rankings) merely reflect the
 
wishful thinking of advertisers and broadcasters:
 
    Ratings are tools designed by firms to achieve economic
 
        success - control over ratings production.  Forms of
 
    measurement are selected on the basis of economic goals, not
 
    according to the rules of social science.  Not everybody is        wanted
 
          by advertisers, so a ratings firm must try to exclude       those
persons
 
          who are not in demand. (7)
 
Similarly, Dallas Smythe concluded, "The elements that make up
 
a market simply do not exist on the broadcaster-program-
 
audience axis.  We are left therefore with metaphors - figures
 
of speech, repeated by rote - that conceal the reality." (8)
 
Therefore it is likely that the concept of "audience" is more
                                              Radio Age Demos pg 4
 
complex than the conceptualization advertising agencies, and
 
therefore broadcasters, use to make programming decisions.
 
    Why then, do the ratings which some people believe
 
conceptualize the audience on shakey ground continue to be
 
faithfully utilized by the industry?  Perhaps it is because no
 
practical alternatives exist to the current system.  The
prevailing method of organizing individuals into specific
 
audience demographic groups - based primarily on age - if
 
nothing else, provides advertisers with something to look at.
 
No other methodology exists which provides information in a
 
quantifiable, concise form.
 
    James G. Webster said there are five benefits to audience
 
ratings data: (9)
 
        1. They're flexible.  Although he does not explain this
 
benefit in great detail, presumably he means that one can
 
manipulate numbers in any number of ways to elicit meaning.
 
        2.  Audience ratings are objective.  Quantitative
 
ratings methodologies are generally perceived as being unbiased.
 
        3.  Ratings are familiar.  It is rare that a week passes
 
without publication of the TV ratings from the previous seven
 
day period.
 
        4.  Ratings are continual.  Reports appear at regular
 
intervals.
 
        5.  They're accessible.  Newspapers, magazines, and
 
journals containing ratings information are available to nearly
 
everyone.
 
                                              Radio Age Demos pg 5
 
    While Webster acknowledged that ratings are constructed for
 
the benefit of advertisers, he believes the advantages of the
 
system outweigh the shortcomings.  However, Donald Hurwitz
 
argued that who asks the questions, and for what purpose,
 
axiomatically determines the nature of a ratings system. (10)
 
    Hurwitz contended that ratings were devised, not for
 
conveying accurate audience information, but for achieving
 
industry needs: the ability to make money.  Hence, the
 
institutionalization of the ratings system precludes the
 
industry from having to actually know its audience because
 
financial success can be achieved by creative statistical
 
maneuvering of meaningless numbers, derived from fictional
 
demographic categories. (11)
 
    While it seems evident our current ratings system has flaws,
 
few concrete changes seem to be on the horizon.  Criticism of our
 
market driven media system is not new, its flaws having been
 
challenged from its inception in the 1920s. (12)  During this
 
earlier period many fought for greater government involvement in
 
broadcasting to counteract the natural shortcomings of the market.
However, FCC efforts to interject format diversity on the radio
 
medium have been virtually nonexistent, and without lasting effect.
And, the FCC's claim that empirical evidence countering the
 
marketplace philosophy does not exist, remains practically
 
unchallenged.
 
 
 
 
 
                                              Radio Age Demos pg 6
 
Method
 
        The larger project from which this analysis was gleaned
 
surveyed a cross section probability sample of a large Midwestern
 
market area, and asked respondents to judge how well the local
 
radio programming reflected the community.  If the FCC's
 
prediction was accurate - that a number of different interest
 
groups would be sought by advertisers - it is reasonable to assume
 
that this respondent group would rate the radio formats as
 
generally reflective of the diversity of people living in the
 
community.
 
    To facilitate this audience assessment, three phases of data
 
collection were implemented.  The first phase involved
 
identifying the different types of listeners that the local
 
radio stations identified as their target audiences.  This was
 
accomplished through personal interviews with each of the
 
market's radio station general managers, and with personal
 
interviews with executives and owners of five different local
 
advertising agencies.  Questions were asked as to how audience
 
groups are identified, and then targeted, through various
 
formats and programming features.  It was anticipated that, if
 
the FCC's expectations were realized, the advertisers and
 
programmers would identify different community target audiences,
 
and that these targets would roughly reflect the characteristics
 
of the local population.
 
    The radio station general managers and the advertising
 
agency executives were interviewed over the two-and-a-half week
 
                                              Radio Age Demos pg 7
 
period of October 7-26, 1993. (13)  During preliminary telephone
 
conversations with the radio managers, during which the
 
interview appointments were arranged, each manager was asked to
 
identify the advertising agencies in town that had the most
 
expertise in buying radio time.  From their recommendations,
 
five agencies emerged as generally being considered the most
 
active and proficient in purchasing radio.  Then, the local
 
owners or chief executives of each of these agencies were also
 
contacted for interviews.
 
    The study's second phase entailed surveying a probability
 
sample of 650 adult individuals from the local market area, to
 
determine how well these people felt local radio programming
 
reflected the community's diverse interests.  A mail questionnaire
 
was designed to measure respondents' attitudes toward the group of
 
radio formats in the market, and how well the respondents felt this
collection of formats reflected the needs of the different groups
 
people in the community.  In the survey, respondents were asked if,
ideally, the group of formats should be reflective of the
 
community.  Secondly, they were asked if the group of local
 
stations reflected the diversity of the community.  And finally,
 
they were asked if they were personally satisfied with the local
 
format choices.  Questions were also included that pertained to
 
topics such as race relations, gender equity, sexual preference,
 
as well as respondents' perceptions of advertisers, and of
 
"community." (14)
 
 
 
                                              Radio Age Demos pg 8
 
    On January 11, 1994 the first mailing was sent to the
 
randomly selected 650 area adults.  This mailing included the
 
survey booklet and a self-addressed, stamped return envelope, along
with a cover letter explaining the project.  One week later, on
 
January 18, 1994 a reminder letter was sent to each respondent,
 
encouraging them to complete the survey if they hadn't already done
so.  Three weeks following the second mailing, another letter,
 
survey, and stamped return envelope were sent to the individuals
 
who had not yet responded, providing them further encouragement to
 
take part in the study.
 
 
Results
 
        Before audience responses to the mail survey could be
 
contextualized, it was helpful to understand the methods and
 
practices of the local broadcasters and advertisers, and how these
 
individuals identified and defined their consumer targets.
 
 
The Advertisers' Conceptualization of Consumers
 
        During the conversations with the ad agency executives three
 
main questions were asked of each interviewee:
 
        1.  How do you determine which consumer groups will be
    the targets of your clients' products?
 
        2.  What are the different demographic categories that
    you consider when deciding what stations will be in                on
 
          the buy?
 
        3.  What demographic group is the most popular with your
    clients and why?  How would you describe the ideal
 
        consumer?
 
    From the executives' answers to these questions, it appeared
 
that each had a sincere desire to serve their agency's clients.
                                              Radio Age Demos pg 9
 
Most of the executives expressed taking a personal interest in
 
their clients' businesses, and even sensed sharing a partnership
 
with their clients.  Consequently, the executives felt an
 
obligation to wisely spend their clients' advertising budgets -
 
to ensure that the money was being spent to the greatest effect,
 
and that as much exposure as possible was gained from each
 
dollar spent.
 
    The executives generally expressed valuing qualitative
 
information about consumers - what the target consumers' lives
 
were like, what their interests were, and how these individuals
 
could be motivated to purchase a particular product.  However,
 
they also admitted to depending primarily on quantitative
 
ratings data for most of their final decisions.  All the
 
advertising executives agreed that the age demographic of
 
25-54 is the one most often used to conceptualize the target
 
audience.  These responses represent the tone of all the ad exec's
 
opinions:
 
    Twenty-five to fifty-four is what everybody in the world           will
 tell you they want to target because that's really the        only way
 
         they can take a good look at it in the broadest           sense . . .
25-54
 works pretty good.  It is the biggest            number of people out
 
        there too.
 
    Literally . . . 75% of your retailers and your service
 
        businesses are targeting a demographic between the ages of
 
    twenty-five and fifty-four.  It's where the money is.  It's        where
 
          the active people are.
 
Consequently, there does not appear to be a wide range of audiences
targeted by the advertisers in this market.
 
 
 
 
                                             Radio Age Demos pg 10
 
        By viewing Table #1 one will notice that the target group used
most often by these agencies is within the broader 25-54 Arbitron
 
demographic.  One will also notice that the "ideal consumer" of
 
each of these agency executives is narrowed down even further so
 
that a picture emerges of a college educated individual, preferably
a woman in her thirties, living in a two-income family, with two
 
children.
 
        The advertising executives were generally uncomfortable in
 
precisely defining target audiences for radio, but preferred to
 
speak in terms of the broad age demographics of the Arbitron
 
ratings company.  They regarded their task as marketing a product
 
to a mass audience.  However, when they were pressed to
 
specifically define the "ideal consumer," they all essentially
 
described the same individual - someone between the ages of
 
twenty-seven and forty, educated, white collar, in a two income
 
family with children - as shown in Table 1.  There does not appear
 
to be a broad range of consumer-types being pursued by the
 
advertisers.  Again, the ad agency personnel appeared sincere in
 
finding out as much as they could about their clients and the
 
potential market for their products.  Nevertheless, they felt
 
bound by the constraints of doing business in a competitive
 
industry where mass audiences are defined by a limited number of
 
ratings categories.  Consequently, advertisers defined the
 
potential markets for various products in very similar - if not
 
exactly the same - terms.
 
 
 
                                             Radio Age Demos pg 11
 
        It should be again noted that generally the agency executives
 
were not comfortable with narrowing down their target consumers so
 
specifically.  Their daily business decisions were based on the
 
more broadly conceived targets of the 25-54 Arbitron demographic.
Yet, when pressed to conceptualize the ideal consumer of most of
 
their clients, their answers were strikingly similar.
 
    What, then, caused these different individuals, working for
 
different advertising agencies, and different clients, to
 
conceptualize the ideal consumer in such a homogenous manner?  The
 
answer appears to lie with the realities of age-based ratings
 
demographics.  Even though advertising agencies value
 
individualized, qualitative information about potential consumers,
 
they ultimately conceptualize their target consumers through the
 
age demographics of Arbitron ratings.  By negotiating the purchase
 
of airtime based on ratings, the executives are able to
 
substantiate their decisions to themselves and to their clients.
 
Additionally, the pursuit of young adult consumers, who are
 
establishing their lifestyles, has historically proven profitable
 
to advertisers.  The fact that individuals in other age groups also
purchase products, and the fact that the people within this one
 
attractive, young adult age group have diverse interests, is beside
the point to most individuals in advertising agencies.  While they
 
are sensitive to these realities, their job is to move product.
 
One executive summarized it this way:
 
    Manufacturers, or advertisers, whoever they are, they got a
 
        business to run.  They've got products to sell this quarter.
They've
 
          got needs to get done, they've got backorders to get       out.  The
daily
 
          business requires action.  So we can't sit
                 Radio Age Demos pg 12
    here and theorize . . .
 
    When the Federal Communications Commission deregulated radio
 
broadcasting in 1981, it did so partly with the belief that the
 
marketplace would seek to serve diverse audience interests.  The
 
report stated that as the deregulated marketplace encouraged new
 
broadcasters to enter the industry, each radio station would
 
seek to serve "specialized audiences." (15)  These audiences
 
would have unique demands and interests that the different
 
stations would seek to serve.  However, based on the interviews
 
with these ad executives, and regardless of the efforts agencies
 
expend on personally understanding their clients, it appears
 
advertisers in this market are compelled not to picture their
 
target consumers as being "specialized," but rather as being part
 
of one profitable, easily identified, consumer-type.  The influence
that this conceptualization has had on the programming of radio
 
formats became obvious in the interviews that followed with the
 
area's radio station managers.
 
 
The Broadcasters' Conceptualization of Audiences
 
    The general managers of each local radio station were
 
interviewed to ascertain how they conceptualize the audiences of
 
their stations.  The general manager is usually the highest
 
ranking individual at a station.  He or she oversees all of the
 
station's operations such as sales, programming, promotions,
 
accounting, and engineering, and is ultimately responsible for
 
the station's financial performance.
 
 
                                             Radio Age Demos pg 13
 
    This local community is served by a variety of radio
 
formats that appear to target a number of different audience
 
interests.  The list of formats is much the same as other medium
 
to large markets.  During the time this study was conducted, the
 
format mix included three News/Talk type stations, two Classic
 
Rock stations (oldies with a little "harder" edge mainly from
 
the 70s and early 80s,) one Oldies station (popular hits from
 
the 50s and 60s,) one Middle of the Road station playing Frank
 
Sinatra - Tony Bennett - and Johnny Mathis type music, one
 
Alternative Rock station (new music with its recent roots in the
 
angry lyrics and tone of the British Punk bands of the early 80s,)
 
one Eclectic Rock station (a mixture of more obscure new music and
 
album cuts mainly from the 80s,) one Lite Rock station playing
 
softer hits from the past twenty years, two Country, one Adult
 
Contemporary (consisting mainly of pop songs from the last ten
 
years,) one Contemporary Hit Radio playing current hits that
 
teenagers enjoy (previously known as Top 40,) and two Public
 
Broadcasting stations.  The list seems quite diverse, and
 
representative of most of the different formats in existence
 
elsewhere.
 
    The questions asked of the general managers were very
 
similar to the ones posed to the advertising executives, with
 
the main purpose being to determine how many different types of
 
people are being targeted by the group of radio stations in the
 
market.  Here are the five basic questions that were asked of
 
the GMs:
 
                                             Radio Age Demos pg 14
 
        1.  Demographically, how would you describe your target
    audience?  Do you have an ideal listener-type?
 
        2.  Why do you target this audience?
 
        3.  What does your audience want and need from your
            station?
 
        4.  How do you determine your audience's wants and
    needs?
 
        5.  What is the audience demographic that most stations
    would like to serve?
 
    As expected, the general managers' answers were very similar
 
to the advertising agency executives' responses.  Because all
 
radio stations - other than the public broadcasting operations
 
- support themselves solely by providing advertising, it is
 
understandable that the radio managers might conceptualize their
 
target audiences the same way that advertisers perceive their
 
target consumers.  So it was in this study.
 
    Table 2 summarizes the managers' responses.  Because each
 
manager was guaranteed confidentiality, the stations are identified
by letter.  In answering the first question, the public radio
 
stations and a few commercial AM stations identified their target
 
audiences as being adults over the age of thirty-five.  However,
 
the remainder of the stations generally described their targets
 
according to the broad demographics of the Arbitron company; as did
the advertisers.  It is also meaningful to compare the similarities
in the characteristics the managers used to describe their target
 
audiences, with the characteristics the advertisers used to
 
describe their ideal consumers in Table 1.  The manager of
 
Station H said, "We shoot for an upscale audience, an active
 
                                             Radio Age Demos pg 15
 
audience."  He described the people who attended one of his
 
station's promotional events as his ideal listener.
 
    A thousand of em women, and all (station) fanatics.  And if        you
 
          come to that thing you see that ideal listener that            you're
 
       talking about a thousand times over.  And she's             typically low
 
          to mid 30s, working person leaning more to the       professional as
 
      opposed to the clerical. . .
    We want to get so many ratings points among 25-54 because
 
        that's what the client wants - that's his target
    audience. . . the fact is most advertising buys are placed
 
        25-54.  And that's why most of the stations in town are
 
    targeting 25-54, or some cell within that range.
 
Similarly, here are comments from two other managers explaining the
similarity of target groups.
 
    You have people from their late twenties to late thirties          who
 
          are consumed with raising their family, buying a home,         maybe a
 
        second home, two cars and all the things that go           with that.
 
        Those people are a great consumer group to be          reaching.  Maybe
 
         they don't have as much discretionary
    income, but their income is going to a lot of big dollar
 
        items and frequent purchases. (Station F manager)
 
    The bulk of the advertising dollars are 25-54, and you've
 
        gotta perform well there in order to survive. (Station M
manager)
 
 
    When asked why listeners are not conceptualized in ways
 
outside of this singular audience-type, specifically those
 
individuals older than their mid forties, the responses again
 
correspond to those of the advertisers for the same question.
 
Station J's GM answered, "I think to challenge in that demo you
 
have to provide features that are going to be expensive to get,
 
aka a big news department."  Station B's manager was slightly
 
more colorful in his response, "Broadcasting is the last area of
 
legal discrimination.  They (advertisers) think that if you're
 
past fifty-five, you're dead.  We would probably go broke (if
 
they had to focus on an older demographic)."
                                             Radio Age Demos pg 16
 
        The FCC anticipated that specialized audiences would be
 
different from each other.  However, according to these interviews,
this apparently has not happened.  To the contrary, most of the
 
broadcasters seemed to be competing for the same individuals.  The
 
broadcasters and advertisers did describe specific
 
audience/consumer types; but each description was the same.  This
 
does not seem to be the diversity anticipated in 1981.  And this
 
lack of diversity is not lost on at least one of the general
 
managers.
 
    The (local) market is becoming more like a lot of the other
 
        large markets. . . with the haves and the have-nots, you           know.
 
          It's a very difficult market if you're not in the top       three or
four
 
          radio stations, particularly in this 25-54.          And of course
 
    everybody wants to program 35-44. . . The            unfortunate part about
 it is. . . there's not enough money         there for all of us.  There's
 
          going to have to be some             people break out of the mold.
 
     (Station N manager)
 
Broadcasters' concerns about profitability aside, the answer to the
question of how well the local public interest is served through
 
the conceptualization of audiences as a function of age groups,
 
became clearer with analysis of listener responses to the mail
 
survey.
 
 
                        Mail Survey
 
        Of the original 650 names selected for the survey, only 625
 
were legitimate potential respondents.  Three-hundred-sixty-two
 
usable surveys were returned for a response rate of 58%.
 
    The survey was used to test three models; each comparing the
 
relationships between the group of radio formats in the market,
 
and the respondents' perceptions of what those formats were
 
                                             Radio Age Demos pg 17
 
accomplishing.  The first model is the Normative Preferences Model,
which measured opinions of how target audiences should be
 
programmed to by radio stations.  Questions were asked such as "Do
 
you feel that the group of radio formats should reflect the ethnic
 
diversity of a community?" and "Do you feel the group of radio
 
formats should reflect the age diversity of a community?"
 
Similar questions covered the areas of religiosity, gender
 
interests, and sexual preference interests.  The goal of the
 
Normative Model was to determine the degree the respondents
 
felt different community groups were entitled to representation
 
in the mix of formats.
 
    The second model - the Performance Model - where the
 
listeners rated the extent that the current mix of formats did
 
indeed represent, or reflect, the specific characteristics of
 
the community, consisted of the question, "Generally speaking, do
 
you feel the collection of local radio formats reflects the
 
different groups of people living in the community?"  So, while the
Normative Preferences Model rated the extent to which the
 
respondents felt radio formats should reflect the community, the
 
Performance Model measured how well the listeners believed the
 
formats were, in actuality, reflecting the types of people living
 
in the area.
 
    The third model is the Personal Satisfaction Model, and
 
consisted of the single question, "Generally speaking, how well
 
does the group of radio formats in (town) satisfy your personal
 
needs and expectations?"  This question was designed to measure
 
                                             Radio Age Demos pg 18
 
the respondents' personal satisfaction with the format
 
selection, regardless of how they perceived the services to
 
other groups of people.
 
   These three models - Normative Preferences, Performance, and
 
Personal Satisfaction - served as the study's primary dependent
 
variables.  Numerous independent variables were tested against the
 
dependent variable models, including age groups, community
 
attachment, attitudes on diversity, and perceptions of advertisers.
 
Dependent Variable Index Construction
 
The Normative Model
 
    Of the three dependent variable models, the Normative Model
 
involved the creation of indices from more than one question.  The
 
Performance and Personal Satisfaction models each were measured by
 
one item.
 
    Table 3 shows the results from the Factor Analysis and
 
Reliability tests for the six Normative Model items.  Each of
 
the items measured the extent the respondents believed different
 
community groups should be represented in the format mix.  One
 
question asked for their opinions in a general sense; the others
 
dealt with specific community groups.  The factor analysis
 
indicated that one factor was being measured by all six items.
 
The Standardized Item Alpha of .88 (on a scale from 0 to 1.0)
 
denotes a strong relationship in the combination of these items
 
for measuring the normative preferences of the respondents.
 
 
 
 
                                             Radio Age Demos pg 19
 
The Baseline Model
 
    Table 4 displays the baseline model used to evaluate the
 
correlations between the three dependent variable models and
 
numerous other independent variables.  This chart shows the zero
 
order regression coefficients for the different variables.
 
Generally, Table 4 shows that age, education, and income
 
had limited influence on the respondents' evaluations.  It is
 
particularly relevant that age played no part in the critiques
 
- especially the Personal Satisfaction Model - because the local
 
general managers and advertisers were age-oriented in their
 
audience conceptualizations.
 
    From looking at Table 4 one also can readily see that items
 
described as Diversity factors are significant in predicting each
 
of the three dependent variable models at the .01 significance
 
level, and seem to be the most consistent and powerful predictors
 
of any index, or single variable, in the survey.
 
        Essentially, the diversity factors were derived from a series
 
of questions designed to measure attitudes toward individuals
 
perceived as being different from oneself.  The responses tended to
cluster into three groups:  Comfort - the degree to which one is at
ease around different types of people, Decision Making - the extent
one believes different types of people should be included in
 
decision-making processes, and Friends - the willingness to develop
personal relationships with different kinds of people.  At least
 
one element of Diversity is a strong predictor for each of the
 
Normative, Performance, and Personal Satisfaction models.
 
                                             Radio Age Demos pg 20
 
    Regarding the other less consistent predictor variables,
 
Race had an influence in evaluating how well the formats reflect
 
local diversity, but was surprisingly insignificant in
 
predicting personal satisfaction.  Gender was significant in
 
predicting normative responses (the -.26 indicates a female
 
orientation), with women having higher expectations than men.
 
    Of the factors that measured the respondents' sense of
 
community, feeling "a part of" the area was an important element
 
in determining the extent that one is personally satisfied with
 
the format choices.  But, individuals who regularly converse
 
with others about current events ("Connecting"), tended to have
 
higher Normative Preferences of what the medium should be
 
providing for the community.
 
    Religiosity, as measured by church attendance, played a
 
significant role in predicting Personal Satisfaction.  This
 
item asked respondents if they attend religious services.  (The
 
table also shows that "frequency of attendance" at these
 
services was not a significant factor.)  The -.17 value under
 
Church Attendance indicates that attendees generally express
 
less personal satisfaction than people who do not attend
 
religious services.  Perhaps religious messages referring to
 
society's moral dilemma resonate with how one might interpret
 
various elements of radio programming.  However, this is only
 
conjecture and is not measured by data in this study.
 
    Finally, the amount of time spent watching television is a
 
contributing factor in predicting responses to personal
 
                                             Radio Age Demos pg 21
 
satisfaction criteria.  According to the data, the more time one
 
spends watching television the more one is likely to be
 
personally satisfied with the radio format mix.
 
 
The Age Component
 
    Perhaps the most ironic finding of the study regards the
 
function of age groups, because advertising agencies and radio
 
station management conceptualized audiences primarily according to
 
age considerations.  This system, even with its acknowledged
 
limitations, appears to be the most familiar and workable to the
 
marketplace and industry.  With the current system of
 
conceptualizing audiences, advertisers are able to identify
 
their target consumers according to age guidelines that have
 
historically proven to be profitable.  Station management, while
 
occasionally cursing the ratings based system used to rank
 
stations, nevertheless continues to conceptualize its audiences
 
according to these same age-based guidelines, so as to present
 
a case for their stations as strong advertising vehicles.
 
    With all of the emphasis on age as a prime component in
 
understanding audiences, one might presume some aspect of age
 
would help predict the answers to the survey questions.  In
 
reality, just the opposite proved to be the case.  Regardless of
 
how age groups were delineated in the data analysis, they proved
to have no significance and very small coefficient values in all
 
tests.  In other words, when asking the questions posed in the
 
Normative Preferences, Performance, and Personal Satisfaction
 
models, age was never a factor in determining the answers.  Even
                                             Radio Age Demos pg 22
 
in the Personal Satisfaction model, where individuals rated
 
their own personal happiness with the format selection, age was
 
not a factor.
 
    Table 5 displays the results of the zero-order correlations
 
of four different configurations of age demographics, on the
 
three dependent variable models.  The first configuration is a
 
straight test of age as a variable, without organizing it into
 
specific demographic groups.  However, the other three
 
configurations arrange age according to the popular demographic
 
groupings described by advertisers and radio management during
 
the personal interviews.
 
    For example, the second configuration - Ideal - is based on
 
a description of the "ideal" consumer/listener as being an
 
individual between the ages of twenty-seven and forty.  The age
 
cells in this configuration, both younger and older, were formed
 
proportionally around this primary twenty-seven to forty year
 
old group.
 
    The demographic description of audiences offered most often
 
in the interviews was individuals aged twenty-five to
 
fifty-four.  This is the large group of people targeted en masse
 
by almost every radio station and advertiser.  Therefore, this
 
age range formed the central demographic group of the third
 
configuration.
 
    The fourth configuration also resulted from descriptions of
 
the target audience offered in the interviews.  When asked to
 
describe a demographic more specific than 25-54, the programmers
 
                                             Radio Age Demos pg 23
 
acknowledged that 35-44 was really the age group, conceptualized
 
by Arbitron, within which most stations would like to rate well.
    So, to summarize how the age demographics for this analysis
 
were arrived at, configurations three and four were based on the
 
most popular Arbitron demographic conceptualizations, and the
 
second configuration was determined by what the advertisers and
 
managers described in the personal interviews as the "ideal"
 
consumer/listener.
 
    In looking at Table 5, the coefficients for each of the
 
correlations of the dependent variables are insignificant, most
 
of them not even close to significance.  Therefore, from these
 
data, one might conclude that age - regardless of how it is
 
demographically organized - was not a factor in determining how
 
individuals evaluated the performance of the local radio
 
stations.  Tables 6 - 8 provide more detail into the lack of
 
age significance, by highlighting the "sameness" of answers for
 
each age group.
 
    Table 6 displays the frequencies and statistics for each of
 
the three dependent variables according to the demographics
 
determined by the "ideal" listener-type of twenty-seven to forty
 
year olds.  One will notice that the answers to each question
 
were very similar, regardless of age group. (The Normative and
 
Personal Satisfaction models were constructed on a scale from
 
one to ten, ten being high.)
 
    Table 7 tabulated the answers to the same questions, for
 
the age groups resulting from the popular Arbitron 25-54 age
 
                                             Radio Age Demos pg 24
 
break-out.  Table 8 did likewise for the age groups based on
 
the Arbitron category of 35-44 year olds.  In each case, the
 
answers to the questions were essentially the same, regardless
 
of how the age groups were organized.  Therefore, the practice
 
of conceptualizing audiences by age group is limiting, in this
 
market, in terms of identifying how one evaluates and uses radio.
Most listeners - regardless of age - were basically personally
 
satisfied with the format choices, but believed the local formats
 
were not reflective of the types of people who live in the
 
community.
 
        So, while advertisers and radio station programmers
 
essentially identified target audiences by age demographics, this
 
conceptualization may be virtually meaningless in predicting how
 
listeners regard the medium, and rate their personal satisfaction
 
with it.  In general, results from the mail survey indicated that
 
standard demographic conceptualizations of audiences have
 
limited application in predicting how listeners evaluate radio
 
formats, or how they rate personal satisfaction with
 
programming.  Age groups were virtually meaningless as
 
predictors.  Rather, other audience characteristics such as
 
gender, race, sense of community, and attitudes about diversity
 
were more reliable in influencing how respondents evaluated the
 
format mix.
 
Discussion
 
        It has been suggested that one of the reasons the academy has
 
been slow to respond to deregulatory/marketplace shortcomings is
 
                                             Radio Age Demos pg 25
the lack of an easily understood frame from which to explain and
 
communicate. (16)  Information such as that provided in this study
 
may serve as a starting point for such a frame.
 
        Because advertisers want to reach as many people as they can
 
within a demographic description, radio stations tailor programming
to attract that particular target.  However, as has been shown,
 
advertisers are not targeting diverse audience groups, but rather
 
tend to focus on similar age demographics.  And, the few
 
demographics that are being used are ineffective in predicting
 
audience satisfaction.  In other words, empirical evidence may be
 
emerging that indicates - in the current scheme - audience the
 
marketplace claims to serve most effectively may be misunderstood.
        According to the data, regardless of how age is categorized in
the industry, grouping the respondents in these ways is virtually
 
meaningless for gaining understanding into how audiences perceive
 
radio programming.  These findings seem to support those already
 
presented by individuals such as Dallas Smythe, who argued that the
mass media audience is not a true "market" in the economic sense
 
(18), and Donald Hurwitz, who stated that ratings systems serve the
agendas of those who design them. (19)  Ien Ang described the
 
current age-based ratings descriptions as, "abstracted, amplified
 
fictions." (20)  Perhaps this study adds a chapter to those
 
conclusions by showing that there is quantitative evidence that in
 
one representative market the conceptualization of audiences as a
 
function of age-based demographics may not have adequately served
 
the public interest.
 
 
NOTES
 
       1.   Federal Communications Commission, "Report and Order In the
 
         Matter of Deregulation of Radio," 49 FCC 2d (1981).
 
       2.   Ibid., 1023.
 
       3.   Ibid., 1024.
 
       4.   Ibid., 974.
 
       5.   David Robinson, "A Buyer's Eye View of Rehashed Radio,"
 
     Mediaweek (Sept. 9, 1991): 30, recalled how it was noticed that five
 
      Baltimore radio stations were playing the same song at the exact same
time.
  The song hadn't been on the charts for years.
 
       6.   Harvey C. Jassem and Roger J. Desmond, "Pluralistic Programming
 and Radio Diversity: a Review and a Proposal," Policy
Sciences 14 (1982): 355.
 
       7.   Eileen R. Meehan, "Why We Don't Count,"  in Logics of
Television, ed. Patricia Mellencamp (Bloomington: Indiana University Press,
 1990), 127.
 
       8.   Dallas W. Smythe, "Radio: Deregulation and the Relation of the
 
          Private and Public Sectors," Journal of
Communication (Winter 1982): 197.
 
       9.   James G. Webster, "The Role of Audience Ratings in
          Communications Policy," Communications and the Law (June 1990): 59.
 
       10.  Donald Hurwitz, "Broadcast Ratings: The Missing Dimension,"
 
         Critical Studies in Mass Communication (June 1984): 207.
 
       11.  Ibid., 208.
 
       12.  Robert W. McChesney, Telecommunications, Mass Media,
and Democracy: The Battle for the Control of U.S. Broadcasting, 1928-1935
 
          (New York: Oxford University Press, 1993).
 
       13.  Two of the radio station managers were not interviewed in this
 
          time period because they had been personally interviewed a year
earlier in
 
          a pilot project for this study.  It was felt that because their
stations'
 
          formats were unchanged, and they had provided the needed information
in the
 previous interview, further contact was not necessary at this time.
 
 
 
 
 
 
       14.  Keith Stamm, Newspaper Use and Community Ties (Norwood, New
 
         Jersey: Ablex Publishing Corporation, 1985) and Jack M. McLeod et. al.,
 
         Community Integration, Local Media Use and
Democratic Processes, Paper presented at the annual meeting of the
 
    Association for Education in Journalism and Mass Communication, Atlanta,
 
          Georgia, August, 1994.  Both of these studies provided explications of
 
        community identification that were used in this project.
 
       15.  Ibid. at 3.
 
       16.  Duncan H. Brown, "The Academy's Response to the Call for a
 
        Marketplace Approach to Broadcast Regulation," Critical
Studies in Mass Communication 11 (1994): 257-273.
 
       17.  Ibid. at 1, 1033.
 
       18.  Ibid. at 8.
 
       19.  Ibid. at 10.
 
       20.  Ien Ang, Desperately Seeking the Audience (London: Routledge,
 
          1991), 160.
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
Table 1. - - Advertising Agency Target Group and
                 Ideal Consumer Typologies
 
 
Agency           Target Group              Ideal Consumer
 
 
                                       37 year old female,
  A                                    college degree, two
                                       cars, two kids,
                                       suburbanite
 
 
 
  B                25-45               35-44 years old,
                                       sophisticated, eager,
                                       bright, not contented
 
 
 
  C                30-44               "elite", value-
                                       conscious, family
                                       person
 
 
 
  D                30-45               white collar, one or
                                       two children
 
 
  E                25-49               female, two children
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
Table 2. - - Radio Station Target Audiences and
                 Ideal Listener Typologies
 
 
Station    Format     Target Audience      Ideal Listener
 
 
   A       News &          35+              40 year old,
           Infor.                           male, upper
                                            income
 
   B       Classic        25-40             Family person
           Rock
 
   C       MOR             35+
 
   D       Alternative    18-34             Female, late 20s
           Rock                             professional
 
   E       Lite Rock      25-49             Female
 
   F       Country         18+
 
   G       News/Talk      25-54             Male
 
   H       Adult          25-54             Female,
           Contemporary                     early 30s,
                                            professional
 
   I       Classic
           Rock           25-54             Male, mid 30s,
                                            professional
 
   J       Eclectic       25-34             Male, 32 years
                                            old, upscale,
                                            married,
                                            no children,
                                            two-incomes
 
   K       Country        25-44             Female, 27 years
                                            old, upscale,
                                            has children
 
   L       News/Talk      25-54             Male, 40 years
                                            old
 
 
 
 
 
 
Table 2. - - Radio Station Target Audiences and
             Ideal Listener Typology (cont.)
 
 
 
Station    Format     Target Audience      Ideal Listener
 
 
   M     Contemporary     18-39             Female, 27 years
         Hit Radio                          old, educated,
                                            two-income
                                            household,
                                            children
 
   N     Oldies           35-44             Two-income
                                            family, busy
                                            lifestyles,
                                            involved in the
                                            community
 
   O
         Public           30+               educated, child-
   P                      educated          centered,
                                            involved in the
                                            community, low
                                            to medium income
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
Table 3. - - Factor Loadings and Corrected Item-Total
 
            Correlations of Normative Preferences Index
 
 
First-order factors   Standardized  Corrected  Mean    S.D.
and items             Item Alpha    Item-tot.
                                      Corr.
 
 
                          .88
 
Generally speaking,
do you feel that the
collection of radio
formats in a town
should be representative
of the different groups
of people who live there?             .74      7.42    2.11
 
 
 
More specifically, do
you feel that the
group of radio formats
should reflect the:
 
 
ethnic diversity of
a community?                          .79      6.99    2.26
 
age diversity of
a community?                          .77      7.45    2.12
 
gender diversity of
a community?                          .66      6.42    2.51
 
religious diversity of
a community?                          .60      5.70    2.50
 
sexual preference
diversity of a community?             .57      4.92    2.85
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
Table 4. - - Zero-order Associations with the Dependent
                         Variable Models
 
 
   Dependent Variables
Independent
Variables         Norm.       Perf.      Personal
                                          Satis.
                                                                Diversity
 
            Factors
 
   Comfort         .18**      .01         .21**
 
   Decision-
   Making          .28**     -.14**       .09
 
   Friends         .19**     -.14**       .04
 
Gender            -.26**      .02         .01
 
Community:
 
  "a part of"      .10        .00         .23**
 
   Connecting      .12*      -.08         .09
 
Public Radio       .11*       .09        -.16**
 
Religiosity:
 
   attends church  .08        .00        -.17**
 
   frequency of
   attendance     -.02       -.12        -.03
 
Race               .01        .13*       -.02
 
Use of other media:
 
   Time spent
   watching TV     .00        .06         .11*
 
   Time spent
   reading
   newspapers      .02        .03         .00
 
Education          .10       -.05        -.04
 
Income            -.09       -.05         .09
 
Age               -.06        .06         .07                      * p <
 
            .05        ** p < .01
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
Table 5. - - Zero-order Correlations by Age Groups
 
 
Age Group        Normative       Perf.        Pers.
Demographics       Prefs.                     Sat.
 
Age (continuous)   -.06          .06          .07
 
 
Ideal    lo-26
(27-40)  27-40     -.04          .03          .05
         41-55
         56-hi
 
 
Target   lo-24
(25-54)  25-54     -.09          .02          .04
         55-hi
 
 
Target   lo-24
(35-44)  25-34     -.04          .05          .08
         35-44
         45-54
         55-hi
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
Table 6. - - Dependent Variable Models by Ideal Listener
                          Demographic
 
 
                     Frequency              Percent
26 & under              29                     8
 
27-40 (target)         144                    40
 
41-55                  137                    38
 
56 & older              41                    11
 
missing                 11                     3
 
 
Normative Model - "Should formats be representative?"
 
                       Mean
26 & under             7.87
 
27-40 (target)         7.39
 
41-55                  7.56
 
56 & older             7.12
 
 
Performance Model - "Does (local) Radio Reflect Groups?"
 
             Under reflects   Reflects   Over reflects  D.K.
26 & under        45%           35%                     21%
 
27-40 (target)    38%           39%          2%         19%
 
41-55             41%           29%          2%         27%
 
56 & older        39%           37%          5%         20%
 
 
Personal Satisfaction Model - "Are you personally
                    satisfied?"
                       Mean
26 & under             7.03
 
27-40 (target)         7.26
 
41-55                  7.57
 
56 & older             7.30
 
 
 
 
Table 7. - - Dependent Variable Models by 25-54 Arbitron
                            Demographic
 
 
                     Frequency              Percent
24 & under              15                    4.1
 
25-54 (target)         286                   79.0
 
55 & older              50                   13.8
 
missing                 11                    3.0
 
 
Normative Model - "Should formats be representative?"
 
                       Mean
24 & under             8.27
 
25-54 (target)         7.50
 
55 & older             7.00
 
 
Performance Model - "Does (local) Radio Reflect Groups?"
 
             Under reflects   Reflects   Over reflects  D.K.
24 & under       53.3%         26.7%                   20.0%
 
25-54 (target)   39.7%         35.5%         1.8%      23.0%
 
55 & older       40.0%         34.0%         4.0%      22.0%
 
 
Personal Satisfaction Model - "Are you personally
                    satisfied?"
                       Mean
24 & under             6.53
 
25-54 (target)         7.41
 
55 & older             7.37
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
Table 8. - - Dependent Variable Models by 35-44 Arbitron
                            Demographic
 
 
          Frequency              Percent
24 & under              15                    4.1
 
25-34                   76                   21.0
 
35-44 (target)         129                   35.6
 
45-54                   81                   22.4
 
55 & older              50                   13.8
 
missing                 11                    3.0
 
Normative Model - "Should formats be representative?"
                       Mean
24 & under             8.27
 
25-34                  7.39
 
35-44 (target)         7.34
 
45-54                  7.87
 
55 & older             7.00
 
Performance Model - "Does (local) Radio Reflect Groups?"
             Under reflects   Reflects   Over reflects  D.K.
24 & under        53%           27%                     20%
 
25-34             44%           33%          1%         21%
 
35-44 (target)    38%           38%          2%         21%
 
45-54             38%           33%          1%         28%
 
55 & older        40%           34%          4%         22%
 
Personal Sat. Model - "Are you personally satisfied?"
         Mean
24 & under             6.53
 
25-34                  7.33
 
35-44 (target)         7.20
 
45-54                  7.83
 
55 & older             7.37

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