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Subject: AEJ 95 DixonD INTL Political ramifications of the Internet in Africa
From: Elliott Parker <[log in to unmask]>
Reply-To:AEJMC Conference Papers <[log in to unmask]>
Date:Sun, 4 Feb 1996 16:51:09 EST
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Insurgent Technology:
The Political Ramifications
of the Internet in Africa
 
 
A Paper Submitted to the International Communication Group,
Association for Education in Journalism and Mass Communication
 
August 1995
 
 
David N. Dixon
Ph.D. student
Indiana University
Bloomington, Indiana
 
910 Ransom Lane
Bloomington, IN 47403
(812) 336-8840
[log in to unmask]
 
 
 
Insurgent Technology:
The Political Ramifications
of the Internet in Africa
 
 
A Paper Submitted to the
International Communication Group,
Association for Education in Journalism
and Mass Communication
 
August 1995
 
 
 
 
David N. Dixon
Ph.D. student
Indiana University
Bloomington, Indiana
 
 
 
 
910 Ransom Lane
Bloomington, IN 47403
(812) 336-8840
[log in to unmask]
 
 
 
 
Insurgent Technology:
The Political Ramifications
of the Internet in Africa
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
        According to recent estimates, about 20 million people use the Internet.
 
          But then again, who can keep track? Thousands more join every month.1
Most
 
          users live in the United States or western Europe, where the Internet
is
 
          steadily introducing a radical new structure of relationships and even
 
        language. New words like cyberspace and e-mail have been invented, and
 
        traditional rhetorical methods have been altered with computer-based
 
      organizing techniques, such as hypertext. The Internet has made the
 
     information revolution a reality in much of the western world.
        Nor has the Internet gone unnoticed by the rest of the world. Countries in
 Asia and South America are gradually tying in, and eastern Europe is
 
       scrambling to overcome cold war fears of its computer connectivity. As in
 
          so many other measures of development, however, Africa lags behind. In
 
        1991, for instance, FidoNet (an amateur network system) had thousands of
 
          nodes in the United States. There were just six nodes in subsaharan
 
     Africa--three in Botswana and three in Zimbabwe.2 There were no Internet
 
          connections.
        Africa's isolation from the Net will not last forever. Already several
 
         South African universities and commercial services are connected. LDDS
 
        Metromedia Communications, a Mississippi-based telephone company, now
 
       offers a phone card called the "Mandela PhonePass" because the South
 
      African president's picture appears on the card. This card offers access
 
          not only to an array of conventional telephone services such as
voicemail,
 
          but also to the Internet.3 Universities and nongovernmental
organizations
 
          (NGOs) across the rest of Africa are also looking for ways to link up.
        As with the introduction of any new technology, the Internet has not come
 
          without controversy. But to this point the problems described have
been
 
         largely technical. Some, arguing in favor of the Internet, have begun
to
 
          outline the benefits of the Net in terms of national development,
 
   particularly in an economic framework. Few, however, have looked in depth
 
          at the political ramifications of the Net in Africa. These political
 
      factors may justify or undermine the Internet from its earliest stages.
The Internet and National Development
        Before considering the political impact, several general questions about
 
          the Internet must be answered. Most significantly, how does the
Internet
 
          fit into current models of national development? Is this simply
another
 
         inappropriate technology being transferred to the Third World,
resulting in
 yet another cycle of dependency? Will this new technology benefit the
 
        truly needy, or will it result in further polarization of elite and
masses?
 If general benefits are presumed, what form will they take? The answers to
 these questions will influence the political outcomes to be considered
 
         later.
        Early national development schemes emphasized a top-down, one-way flow of
 
          information and technology from the western nations to the Third
World.
 
         Daniel Lerner and Wilbur Schramm were among the first to propose
 
  theoretical models for development, and they focused on development at the
 
          macrosocial and infrastructural level. Following this model,
large-scale
 
          projects including roads, dams and industrial plants were built.
Although
 
          many of these projects benefitted only a few initially, the effects
were
 
          expected to trickle down to the entire population.
        In the 1970s, however, the failure of the top-down plan to lead to
 
     broad-based development became increasingly obvious. Following the lead of
 
          Paulo Freire, theoretical models began to emphasize development at the
 
        grassroots level, characterized by high levels of conscientization and
 
        participation.4 Development was now to be driven by empowering local
people
 to critique their own societies and respond to their own needs. As Melkote
 has pointed out, however, the model of bottom-up, participatory
 
  development has been difficult to operationalize.5
        The case of the Internet's introduction to Africa sheds light on the
 
       problem. On the one hand, the Internet is technology intensive, requiring
 
          significant amounts of capital as well as technical skills. For the
most
 
          part, it relies on an infrastructure of telephones and electricity.
Almost
 
          none of the equipment needed is currently manufactured in Africa, and
both
 
          software and training come from overseas. From this perspective, the
 
      Internet is yet another example of the one-way flow of goods and
 
  information from the core to the periphery. Third world countries are kept
 
          economically subservient by their need for western equipment and
expertise.
 Unable to produce manufactured goods for sale in the west, they must sell
 
          lower-value raw materials in exchange for value-added products from
the
 
         core countries.
        This view of computers has led to concerns such as those voiced by Ali
 
         Mazrui:
We must first redefine development in the Third World to mean modernization
 minus dependency. Some of the gaps between the West and Africa have indeed
 to be narrowed--but this narrowing must include the gap in sheer power. To
 narrow the gap in, say, per capita income in a manner that widens the gap
 
               in power is to pursue affluence at the expense of autonomy. To
narrow the
 
               gap in the utilization of computers while increasing western
technological
 
               control over the Third World is to prefer gadgetry to
independence.6
 
        On the other hand, as it has developed in the West, the Internet functions
 in a highly participatory manner. Electronic mail, listservers and other
 
          forums invite all comers, allowing discussion among disparate group
 
     members. Bellman and Tindimubona have already observed some of the benefits
 of the Internet's participatory function in Africa. In their experience,
 
          the anonymity of the medium promotes critical discussion, while the
 
     connectivity fosters a friendly attitude toward others engaged in the
 
       discussion.7
        Furthermore, computer technology need not doom Third World countries to
 
          dependence forever. One of its primary strengths is its flexibility.
Doris
 
          Schoenhoff, discussing how computers can be adapted to reflect
non-western
 
          knowledge patterns points out:
The computer is a unique tool because its purpose is constantly being
 
            reinvented by its users. Its power consists in the fact that it is a
symbol
 machine, and its symbols and their interpretation can be altered.8
While the computer carries with it western values and the portent of
 
      economic dependency, it retains the potential to be used for new purposes
 
          reflecting African values and realities. Clearly an important first
step
 
          would be to begin developing software for Africa by Africans.
        On balance, then, the Internet can be seen as an ambiguous technology,
 
         raising concerns about economic and cultural domination, while
promising
 
          new possibilities to achieve the kind of dialog theorists suggest is
 
      necessary for real development. Indeed, its effects in the West have been
 
          ambiguous as well, promoting academic, scientific and social
communication
 
          while providing yet another medium for the spread of pornography.
French
 
          sociologist Jacques Ellul has pointed out this duality inherent in all
 
        technology, and noted that technology promises more than it can deliver
and
 costs more in human terms than just economic terms.9
        In today's global society, the countries of Africa will have difficulty
 
          keeping out the Internet even if they want to. The challenge, then, is
to
 
          understand the potential of the technology and to drive it toward
positive
 
          development ends.
 
The Internet and the Politics of Development
        Paulo Freire's concept of conscientization was self-consciously
 
  political--the problems of the peasants as rooted in the power structures
 
          of society. Therefore, when the people became aware of their
subordination,
 they would respond with political force.
        In contrast, David Goldsworthy suggests that many development plans
 
      initiated by western donor countries have failed to adequately consider
 
         political factors.10 These factors sometimes override the good
intentions
 
          of the donors, so they should be carefully considered in the planning
of
 
          any development scheme. He proposes three dimensions for evaluating
the
 
         impact of politics on development projects: values, interests and
power. In
 his model, values represent the beliefs and moral attitudes that are
 
       prevalent in a given society, and interests are the material resources
 
        available. The application of values to interests leads to questions of
 
         power--whose interests are at stake or are benefitting, who determines
how
 
          values are applied, and so on.
        The introduction of the Internet to Africa will have political
 
 implications on several levels, affecting the political structure of
 
      African countries both internally and externally. It will influence
culture
 and drive political change for better or worse. Goldsworthy's model can be
 used to evaluate the benefits and potential pitfalls of the Internet in
 
          Africa.
Values
        Technologies by their nature reflect the values of the cultures that
 
       created them. They are responses to the felt needs, thought patterns,
even
 
          worldviews of those particular cultures. At the same time, they
transform
 
          cultures, even the ones that gave them birth. Following are a few
value
 
         ranges that might be important to consider when determining the
political
 
          impact of the Internet in Africa. This list is not comprehensive, but
 
       suggests some starting points for uncovering the underlying values of the
 
          technology and how those may conflict with existing cultural values.
        A commonly recognized distinction between the West and Africa is the
 
       emphasis on individualism versus community. Not surprisingly, the
computer
 
          tends to promote individualism. Each machine can be custom configured
and
 
          is used by one person at a time. As a stand-alone machine, the
computer is
 
          inherently individualistic. The Internet, however, links individuals
 
      together into an electronic community. Though the interface of the
computer
 monitor is impersonal, the communication link creates a personal effect t
 
          hat can override the inherent impersonality.
        The political implications are evident: if African cultures stress
 
     community over individualism, the Internet may drive the introduction of
 
          computers. In the United States, on the other hand, computer sales
were
 
         already strong when on-line services became available. Organizations
 
      seeking to promote the Internet in Africa, then, should emphasize the
 
       community-building aspect of the technology rather than pointing out the
 
          files and information available, which is the typical American
approach.
        Similar to individualism versus community, a second value range runs from
 
          reductionist to holistic. In her book on computerized expert systems,
 
       Schoenhoff points out that Western science tends heavily toward
 
 reductionism rather than holism.11 This is reflected in computer
 
  technology. Databases, for instance, divide information into fields and
 
         records, and printers use dot matrices. Many African cultures, in
contrast,
 take a more holistic approach to the world, and see systems more
 
   organically. In this case, the multifunctioning of computers might be
 
       cultivated. The computer would not be limited to just word processing or
 
          number crunching. Instead, the value of computers in a wide range of
 
      activities would be emphasized. This would help to counteract the
 
   reductionist tendencies of the technology.
        Another key value range runs from the primacy of local culture versus
 
        global culture. As the world continues to shrink, cultural impacts
become
 
          all the more significant. Peter Judge, reporter for The Guardian,
notes:
There is a price to be paid by newcomers to the Net: they have to adopt
 
              American technology and the English language. For the majority of
the
 
            world, even the alphabet on the keyboard is foreign. But most
countries are
 ready to pay this price, for without telecommunications, they will be
 
             excluded from business in the 21st century.12
 
Still, most countries are concerned about protecting as much local culture
 
          as possible. Paradoxically, Schoenhoff points out that "the computer
is a
 
          unique tool because its purpose is constantly being reinvented by its
 
       users. Its power consists in the fact that it is a symbol machine, and
its
 
          symbols and their interpretation can be altered."13 In other words,
both
 
          local and global culture could potentially exist simultaneously in the
 
        computer.
        Politically, then, the pressure to produce software in the Third World is
 
          not just economic, to prevent spending foreign exchange. Impetus also
comes
 from the desire to protect local culture by producing software that
 
      displays in local languages and organizes in locally recognized
categories.
 The Internet will probably remain English-based, because of the need for a
 global trade language. But local networks and programs need not be
 
     restricted to using a foreign language. Already computer operating systems
 
          run in several European languages, Arabic and Japanese.
Multilingualism
 
         should become more common as software develops.
        Finally, a value range that receives little academic attention runs from
 
          secular to spiritual. Western society tends to be highly secular,
while
 
         much of Africa is religious, whether that religion is indigenous,
 
   Christianity, or Islam. Bernard Woods, Director of Communications
 
   Technologies for Development Ltd., describes African spiritualistic
 
     thinking as an expansion of holistic thinking, and part of "`the reality of
 Africa' which few westerners comprehend."14
        The computer, then, may have spiritual significance in Africa that it does
 not have in the West. For instance, few Christians in the United States
 
          see the computer as threatening to their religious beliefs. Even here,
 
        though, the Internet does present a challenge to religion and its moral
 
         values. One widely publicized example is the use of the Net as a
vehicle
 
          for pornography.
        Questions of morality are compounded by issues of authority. In the Middle
 East, the availability of the Qu'ran and hadith on compact disc has
 
      allowed nonprofessional theologians to mount religious arguments over
 
       cultural issues.15 Politically speaking, then, the power of some
religious
 
          clerics may be threatened by the introduction of new technology that
 
      imports new ideas and new rhetorical weapons.
 
Interests
        A second dimension of politics that Goldsworthy recognizes surrounds
 
       material interests. Who stands to gain or lose from the introduction of a
 
          new technology? How is technology harnessed to economically benefit
those
 
          in power? The Internet presents a struggle over the control of
technology,
 
          the opportunity to generate revenue, and social stratification.
        One reason computer networks have not spread into Africa and other Third
 
          World countries is the lack of infrastructure. In Harare, Zimbabwe,
for
 
         instance, the Posts and Telecommunication Corporation has a backlog of
 
        nearly 100,000 applications for connections, according to 1992
estimates.16
 In other countries and cities, phone service may be unreliable or
 
    nonexistent. Superficially this appears to be a mere technical problem. In
 
          fact, it has a strong political dimension. Regardless of the potential
 
        long-term benefits of Internet connection, the system requires a
sizeable
 
          initial capital investment. While economists may argue that e-mail is
less
 
          expensive than fax service, African governments are understandably
hesitant
 to spend scarce foreign currency on projects that lack tangible economic r
 
          eturns. This sets up several political confrontations.
        One conflict develops between business and the government. Much of the
 
         impetus for developing networks comes from companies that need
connection,
 
          often outside the country. In West Africa, for example,
packet-switched
 
         networks have developed largely because foreign oil companies need to
link
 
          their remote operations with home offices outside the country.17 In
some
 
          cases, the government views these business needs as an opportunity to
 
       generate revenue, and attempts to impose licensing fees on services such
as
 electronic bulletin board services (BBSes).18
        This policy approach is antithetical to current World Bank goals for
 
       development, which place high importance on telecommunications.19 The
 
       second political conflict, then, comes between development agencies and
 
         national governments. Rather than dampening the growth of computer
networks
 in Africa, development agencies and businesses both suggest that
 
   governments should actively promote Internet connections. They point to
 
         benefits such as increased investment by companies that use computer
 
      networks and to the possibility of computer-related jobs being created in
 
          countries where labor is cheaper.20 These arguments, however, seem
 
    remarkably similar to ones used to introduce the large-scale,
          capital-intensive projects of the past, which failed to have the
promised
 
          trickle-down effect to the poorest segments of society.
        Clearly the political struggle here is between elites. Whether national
 
          governments tap computer-based communication as a source of revenue or
 
        provide it as a basic infrastructure for business, it seems unlikely
that
 
          the common people will soon benefit directly. Experimentally,
          computer-based communication is already being put to use even in rural
 
        sites, using packet radio, satellites and solar power. But until the
 
      benefit of a widespread computer infrastructure can be demonstrated in
 
        concrete economic terms, it will probably remain the domain of business
and
 government.
        If computers are controlled primarily by the elite, the technology will
 
          have introduced yet another cause of social stratification. This is
not a
 
          new phenomenon: in the past, capital-intensive development projects
 
     benefited the elite more than the common people. Rather than initiating a
 
          trickle-down effect, such projects actually increased the gap between
the
 
          rich and the poor.21 Computer networks are clearly a capital-intensive
 
        technology. Woods, for instance, estimates that cordless computer
terminals
 could eventually cost less than $1,000.22 It is difficult to see how
 
       computers will spread to the common people in the countries of Africa,
 
        where the annual per capita income is usually far less than $1,000.
 
     Furthermore, this price represents a pre-tax estimate. Governments are
 
        likely to impose customs and sales taxes on computers, pushing the price
of
 a computer even farther out of reach for the common person.
        In response, network developers usually suggest that the Internet would be
 less expensive to develop as a public utility than traditional
 
 communication systems such as telephones and especially faxes. The computer
 could not be expected to replace those media, but could supplement them
 
          and be installed first, as a precursor to more adequate systems.23
Such a
 
          system would probably be based in local post offices, much as telex
 
     equipment is now. It would offer better reliability and connectivity than
 
          those systems, however.
        Woods conceives of a more comprehensive, school-based network system. As
 
          for the economic base, he argues:
One's first reaction may well be that the technology's costs and
 
       sophistication will exclude the poor and further benefit the better off.
In
 fact, the outcome may be very different. An electronic delivery system
 
              can, for the first time in history, make the same information,
knowledge,
 
               advice and high quality instructional materials available to rich
and poor
 
               alike and can tailor information and instructional materials to
the needs
 
               and perceptions of the poor and the uneducated. . . . The
technology has
 
               the capacity to help people--all people! It permits mass
personalization of
 information regardless of location, level of education, social background
 
               or economic status.24
 
        The informational possibilities Woods cites as reducing the effects of
 
         stratification still do not address the financial costs of the systems.
 
         Instead, they raise another possible axis of stratification along the
line
 
          of education and literacy. Woods argues that the medium is not
inherently
 
          text-based--that icons and multimedia presentations make the computer
 
       accessible even to illiterate people. In any event, Albert Langer points
 
          out, "literacy is relatively widespread in developing countries
compared
 
          with the overall level of development, and especially compared with
 
     telephone penetration."25
        A third stratification that may develop is age-based. In the United
 
      States, computers have become associated with young people, who learn to
 
          use them in school. The older generations often find themselves trying
to
 
          catch up on technology already familiar to younger people. If computer
 
        networks were introduced in Africa through the educational system, as
they
 
          have been here, an age-based stratification could be created. It seems
 
        unlikely, however, that the young people of Africa will have priority in
 
          getting computers. Most African cultures are elder-oriented rather
than
 
         youth-oriented, as American culture is. Thus innovations tend to be
adopted
 by adults and spread downward, rather than being adopted by children and
 
          spreading upward. For example, both radios and televisions were first
 
       adopted by older males before spreading to younger people and women.
        If computer networks are to become tools of ordinary people, significant
 
          economic and educational problems must be overcome. Clearly, technical
 
        optimists such as Woods and Langer believe these difficulties can be
 
      addressed successfully. In the short run, however, it seems likely that
 
         computerization will create yet another source of friction between the
 
        haves and the have-nots.
 
Power
        The third dimension of politics that Goldsworthy describes is perhaps the
 
          most recognized--power. Issues of control are directly related to
defining
 
          community values and to allocating economic resources. But power also
 
       exists as a political end in itself. Governments, whether democratically
 
          elected bodies or strongman dictatorships, seek to wield power not
just for
 personal economic ends but also for prestige and the egotistical human
 
         drive for power.
        In modern democracy, controlling information is the primary means of
 
       controlling people. It is not surprising, then, that the 1982 coup
attempt
 
          in Kenya nearly succeeded because the rebels controlled just one
particular
 building in the country--the national radio station. It also explains the
 
          pervasive censorship of the press throughout much of Africa.
        The introduction of the Internet could upend the current patterns of
 
       information flow. In the process, the power of certain groups and
 
   individuals will be threatened, perhaps even undermined. Thus computers
 
         present not only a commercial revolution, but the possibility of a
 
    political revolution as well. Analyzing the power structures that stand to
 
          gain or lose power because of computer-based communication allows the
lines
 of potential struggle to emerge. For example, Gladys Ganley has described
 
          how the Internet was used by Chinese students during and after the
 
    Tiananmen Square crisis of June 1989.26 Students were able to conduct
 
       fund-raising and to lobby for United States government protection. They
 
         also pressured the Chinese government by posting lists of the children
of
 
          officials studying in the U.S., carrying an implied threat.
        National political power can be described according to two basic
 
   domains--the control of the government over internal affairs and the
 
      influence of the nation in international affairs. A national government,
 
          then, has to control the information circulating within a country, as
well
 
          as information crossing its borders.
        Internal information control has a long history in Africa in the form of
 
          press censorship. The press, for its part, has not been docile and has
 
        continued to push for increased freedom. Progress is slow. In Kenya, for
 
          instance, journalist David Makali recently spent four months in jail,
where
 he was beaten for charging that President Daniel arap Moi had interfered
 
          in a court ruling. Even after Makali was released, however, he refused
to
 
          rescind his claims. The fact that he was not immediately rearrested
was
 
         taken as a sign that press freedom was expanding, if only by fits and
 
       starts.27
        Some governments' distrust of the press has carried over to BBS operators,
 whose systems provide a precursor to full Internet connection. The
 
     operator of one African BBS expressed the difficulty of getting a system
 
          running: "If the government found out what we were doing, it would
shut us
 
          down."28 The key, for now, is that the government does not know, and
this
 
          provides one important reason why computer-based communication
presents
 
         such a politically potent force.
        The strength of the Internet is its decentralization. Even a system as
 
         simple as a BBS, which serves as a basic network, is relatively
difficult
 
          to monitor and control. Central offices and heavy equipment are not
 
     required. Unlike newspapers and magazines, electronic publishers do not
 
         rely on imported paper, a resource commonly denied to recalcitrant
 
    opposition papers in many African countries. By contrast, in Kenya for
 
        example, there are an estimated 10,000 computers,29 almost any of which
 
         could potentially be used for dial-up services, and all of which could
be
 
          used to generate and store information the government might find
 
  threatening. The Internet, then, could allow effective opposition to the
 
          ruling powers.
        Computer-based communication is not merely destructive of the reigning
 
         order, however: it also provides constructive possibilities for new
orders.
 In the United States, for instance, some journalists have found that the
 
          Internet provides greater access to government officials, who take
part in
 
          on-line discussions of issues.30 If computer networks became
widespread in
 
          Africa, a similar phenomenon might be expected. The computer would
thus
 
         open channels of discourse between government officials and local
people.
        Such dialog can also break down divisions within countries, such as tribal
 animosities. Bellman and Tindimubona, for instance, noted that
 
 computer-mediated discussions fostered friendly attitudes toward other
 
        participants.31 Others suggest even more extensive effects. Financier
 
       George Soros, for instance, has supported the spread of the Internet into
 
          eastern Europe. He believes "the Internet is the prototype of an open
 
       society,"32 which will break down internal divisions like the ones that
 
         have resulted the war in Bosnia. Ken Spicer, chair of the Canadian
 
    Radio-television and Telecommunications Commission, says the Internet
 
       provides a forum in which the marketplace of ideas can become a reality.
In
 his view, the presence of alternate views would prevent any one source,
 
          such as the government, from dominating by virtue of exclusion.33
Since the
 Internet will lessen the power of the government, though, it is likely
 
         that most African governments will allow connection only after
prodding,
 
          either from within or from outside.
        Computer networks promise new possibilities in internal communication, but
 their connection to the outside holds opportunities for involvement in
 
         world affairs. Networks operate through diverse and diffuse
          connections--via telephone lines, packet radio or satellite links, for
 
        instance--that make it difficult to control by centralized government
 
       agencies. Computer-based communications can handle virtually unlimited
 
        amounts of information and diversity of news, opening the door to highly
 
          specialized audiences spread over vast geographic areas. These
features of
 
          the Net have profound implications for journalism and international
 
     politics.
        The Internet, for example, is currently being used to electronically
 
       publish China News Digest, a compilation of news briefs and articles on
 
         China from around the world. A staff of 40 volunteers produces the
Digest,
 
          which is distributed to 30,000 subscribers daily.34 The Internet
provides
 
          an economical means to reach a large, specific audience.
        A similar project is being undertaken by the Pan African News Agency
 
       (PANA). The agency, founded to counterbalance the perceived dominance of
 
          western new sources, has found the Internet to be a more reliable
means of
 
          distributing its stories. Connected to the Net by satellite link, PANA
has
 
          direct access to newspapers around the world without relying on the
local
 
          infrastructure in Dakar, Senegal.35 Not only is the system less prone
to
 
          failure than traditional media such as fax and telephone, but the
direct
 
          outside access reduces the possibility of local government pressure.
        Spicer suggests that such outside access should result in a freer press
 
          and a reduction of human rights violations. Connection to the Internet
 
        would provide a reliable, decentralized link to international government
 
          and press agencies. If a national government tried to censor the local
 
        press, then, the outside world could be notified and pressure could be
 
        brought to bear in favor of freedom. Likewise, human rights abuses could
 
          also be reported to the outside world more efficiently and
immediately,
 
         again allowing outside intervention.36
        Two unanswered questions remain, of course. First, given the capital
 
       consideration of Internet connection, does the West care enough to help
 
         financially? And second, even if the system were eventually put in
place,
 
          would the outside world care enough to listen? Spicer admits that
financial
 backing will be difficult to obtain, since toleration and human rights do
 
          not have an obvious economic return. And even if the Third World does
gain
 
          access to the Net, Schoenhoff doubts the West would really be
influenced
 
          significantly. "The aspirations of the Third World community for power
and
 
          equality in the international arena of money and politics are largely
 
       futile . . . since the nations of the West have never intended power to
be
 
          transferred with their technology."37
 
Prospects for the Internet in Africa
        The ultimate conclusion, then, must be that the Internet will grow only
 
          slowly in Africa. Despite the promises of greater freedom and access
to the
 global economy, and despite the backing of the academic and scientific
 
         communities, powerful political forces are threatened. Neither western
nor
 
          Third World governments have significant stakes in implementing a
worldwide
 network, and in fact both stand to lose some degree of influence. Thus
 
         both are likely to oppose the development of such a project.
Furthermore,
 
          United Nations and World Bank efforts to promote the Internet will
probably
 be only marginally effective, since the UN is only as influential as
 
       member nations allow it to be. It has no authority to impose values such
as
 freedom of information through computer networks.
        The Net will continue to grow in Africa, however, primarily because of
 
         business needs. Companies with large interests already in place will
have
 
          the incentive to invest in the Internet, even without the support of
local
 
          governments. Those governments will find it difficult to resist
corporate
 
          aims for fear of losing much-needed foreign investment, but at the
same
 
         time, governments will probably not invest much in the Net themselves.
 
        Local business, especially the local press, will be effectively blocked
out
 of the Internet world.
        African universities will be another driving force for the Net just as
 
         they have been in the United States, but unlike here they will take a
back
 
          seat to business. Professors see the value of the Net to academic
pursuits,
 but governments hold the purse strings. Many governments are automatically
 suspicious of universities as breeding grounds of dissent, so they are
 
         unlikely to move quickly to attach the schools to the Internet. But
linkage
 will eventually exist if only by the sheer willpower of the academic
 
       community.
        Finally, the Internet will probably not spread quickly to rural areas or
 
          to the masses of common people. Neither African governments nor
business
 
          have much incentive to make the Internet available inexpensively to
the
 
         public. The best hope for this kind of development is through the
 
   universities and NGOs committed to grassroots development. As these
 
     organizations gradually tie into the Net, the power of computer-based
 
       communication will become available beyond the offices of government
 
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