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Political Communication and ELM Political Communication, the Mass Media and the Elaboration Likelihood Model: Match or Misamatch Stan Ketterer 2115 Hunter Lane Columbia, Mo. 65202 Phone: (314) 882-5740; (314) 474-3767 E-mail: [log in to unmask] [log in to unmask] Since the dawn of political communication research with Paul F. Lazarsfeld's Erie County study in 1940 (Lazarsfeld, Berelson & Gaudet, 1944), communication scholars have sought to explain voter behavior and the mass media's role in it. Specifically, researchers have concentrated on identifying how a voter acquires political knowledge and on pinpointing what factors affect a voter's decision to select a candidate or favor or oppose a ballot issue. Lazarsfeld's studies at Columbia University and subsequent psychological studies at the University of Michigan found that the mass media had "limited effects" on voting decisions (Chaffee & Hochheimer, 1985.) Instead, predetermined factors such as party identification, the party affiliation of parents and socioeconomic status were more important predictors of voter behavior (Lowery & De Fleur, 1988). Since Joseph T. Klapper's watershed book synthesizing the minimal effects model (Klapper, 1960), researchers have discovered that the mass media have more impact on political communication than was originally believed. In a 1985 article in in the Mass Communication Review Yearbook titled "The Beginnings of Political Communication Research in the United States," Steven H. Chaffee and John L. Hochheimer argue that the empirical support for the limited effects model was problematic because of the way the Columbia University studies were designed and conducted (Chaffee & Hochheimer, 1985). For instance, they point out that the studies were conducted in a racially homogenous, largely rural and conservative area of Ohio dominated by Republicans. News coverage, they say, also favored the R epublican Party. More than two-thirds of the respondents in the initial study mentioned newspapers and radio as a "helpful" source of political information while less than half mentioned any type of personal source, Chaffee and Hochheimer point out. Despite these findings, they note that the Columbia authors concluded that "more than anything else people can move people," which became the basis for the two-step flow model of personal influence (Katz & Lazarsfeld, 1955). Although Chaffee and Hochheimer note that a "new flowering" of research has explored the role of mass communication research in the political process by breaking out of the Lazarsfeld model in many ways, "most of the assumptions of the original studies continue to structure current research." They stress the need for new approaches for looking at political communication without the constraints of prior assumptions. Two years before Chaffee and Hochheimer formally issued their appeal, Yuko Miyo took such an approach in a study testing the knowledge gap hypothesis. The study, conducted at the University of Wisconsin-Madison as part of the 1980 presidential election campaign and political socialization project, used a three-way panel design to test how media use would affect political knowledge (Miyo, 1983). A year earlier, Chaffee and Miyo presented a paper based on a different aspect of the same project (Chaffee & Miyo, 1982). Panel members participated in telephone surveys that were conducted six months before the election, the month before the election and a year after the election. They were classified according to the type of media that they used and to their amount of media use. Their level of political knowledge was determined by a combined score of basic political knowledge questions and specific questions about the Democratic and the Republican positions on campaign issues. Their level of education was also determined. As hypothesized, Miyo found that the level of political knowledge for all panel members increased over the course of the campaign. She also found as expected that the knowledge gap between newspaper readers and television viewers decreased as the election approached and as television coverage of the races and the issues increased. As expected, the gap again widened a year after the election, although all panel members had a higher level of political knowledge than before the election. In addition, those panel members with the highest media use had the highest level of political knowledge, a hypothesized result. The level of political knowledge as expected also increased as the level of education increased. These results showed that media exposure can have an effect on the level of political knowledge over the course of an election campaign. They also indicated that the level of political knowledge varies with the level of education. Elaboration Likelihood Model A model persuasion that could help explain political communication and the media's role in it has received little attention in mass communication circles, except for in advertising research (Petty & Cacioppo, 1983; MacInnis and Jaworski, 1989; Schumann, Petty & Clemons, 1990; James and Hensel, 1991; MacInnis, Moorman and Jaworski, 1991; Petty, Cacioppo and Haugtvedt, 1992; Darley and Smith, 1993). Developed in 1981 at the University of Missouri-Columbia by psychologists Richard E. Petty and John T. Cacioppo, the Elaboration Likelihood Model essentially uses motivational and cognitive factors to explain attitude change (Petty & Cacioppo, 1981; Petty & Cacioppo, 1986). The Elaboration Likelihood Model, or ELM, assumes that people are motivated to have "correct" attitudes when presented with a persuasive message. A correct attitude is one that is correct for the person, i.e. an attitude that fits in with the person's beliefs and other attitudes. In order to form an attitude about a particular message, a person must use one of two routes: the central route or the peripheral route. To use the central route, the person must have the ability to understand the message, the motivation to read or view the message, and/or the opportunity to read or view the message. In a political campaign the message might be a candidate's position paper or fliers, newspaper or magazine articles, television or radio broadcasts, candidate speeches and television or radio commercials. Using the central route, the person will purposefully evaluate, or process, the message based on the quality of the arguments that are presented. During the evaluation, the person will generate thoughts about the message. If the arguments are strong, the person will generate positive thoughts about the message. The greater the number of positive thoughts that are generated, the greater the attitude change in favor of the message. If the arguments are weak, however, the person's attitude generally will not change. The person might even generate counterarguments against the message, which could result in a more negative attitude, the boomerang effect. In an era of information overload, ELM assumes that people are "cognitive misers" who hoard their cognitive resources (Petty & Cacioppo, 1983). Although motivated to hold correct attitudes, people do not have the time or cognitive energy to process all of the messages via the central route. If a person does not have the ability or motivation to process the message or has not been exposed to it, the peripheral route will be used. Because the person wants to hold a correct attitude but doesn't want to exert much energy to form it, the person will survey the setting and find one or more cues on which to base the attitude. The cues can be any piece of information, including the candidate's appearance, reputation, political party or what friends say about the candidate. Because a cue is being used, the person will not evaluate the candidate's arguments. Instead, the person's attitude will be based solely on the quality of the cues. People will not use central or peripheral processing exclusively. Petty and Cacioppo envision a continuum of elaboration likelihood. On one end of the continuum are people that are highly motivated, have a high ability to process the message and/or are presented with the opportunity to do so. There is a high likelihood that these people will elaborate on the message using the central route. On the opposite end of the continuum are people who have low motivation to process the message, low ability to understand it and/or have little exposure to the message. There is a low likelihood that these people will elaborate on the message. Instead, they will use peripheral processing. In the middle is a vast gray area where people will use varying amounts of both types of processing. Little research has been conducted in this area. Because people using the central route have expended more cognitive energy in evaluating the message, Petty and Cacioppo say their attitudes will be more enduring and more predictive of behavior (Petty & Cacioppo, 1983). On the other hand, because people using the peripheral route have invested little energy in their decision, their attitude change will be temporary and not very predictive of behavior. The major question that this study seeks to answer is whether the ELM can be used to predict the level of political knowledge and cue use of likely voters. If the ELM can be shown to make these predictions accurately, it could be a valuable tool in understanding how political knowledge is gained and how the mass media fits into the equation. Literature Review There have been two scholarly political articles published involving ELM: one by Petty and Cacioppo and another by Jeffery J. Mondak, a political scientist at Indiana University. The main purpose of Petty and Cacioppo's study was not to research voting behavior, but to "refine the contemporary conceptualization of need for cognition, to examine whether the effects of need for cognition on message processing and persuasion observed in previous research are attributable simply to intelligence, and to test a self-contained individual difference assumption in the elaboration likelihood model (Petty & Cacioppo, 1986)." Need for cognition is a motivational measure of a person's craving for cognitive activity, and Petty and Cacioppo have developed a Need for Cognition Scale to measure it. Their findings have shown that people high in need for cognition will use central route processing (Petty & Cacioppo, 1982). For this study, psychology students in introductory classes at the University of Iowa completed the scales along with other forms at the beginning of the semester. The scales were used to obtain subjects with both high and low need for cognition. In a telephone survey eight weeks before the 1994 presidential election, subjects were asked questions about political knowledge and voting intentions. After the elections, they were contacted again and asked about voting behavior. As predicted, Petty and Cacioppo found that subjects high in need for cognition had more political knowledge than those low in need for cognition. Also as predicted, they found that the pre-election attitudes of high need for cognition subjects were better predictors of voting behavior than the pre-election attitudes of those subjects low in need for cognition. In another part of the study, Petty and Cacioppo found that both need for cognition and intelligence, an ability variable, contributed to higher message processing. But intelligence accounted for more of the variance. Overall, Petty and Cacioppo concluded that the attitude-behavior consistency demonstrated by high need for cognition subjects showed that cognitive elaboration was at work. As a result, they said the study supported the ELM. In the second article, Mondak conducted three experiments to determine the role of source credibility regarding the public's reaction to U.S. Supreme Court decisions (Mondak, 1990). In the first experiment, Mondak manipulated the credibility of the source by varying the use of three well-known Supreme Court cases as supporting information to back up three messages involving hypothetical cases. Forty-eight students in introductory political science classes at Indiana University filled out surveys among many forms at the beginning of the semester. Under this low elaboration likelihood condition with few arguments available, Mondak found that subjects relied on source credibility as a cue. In the second experiment, Mondak manipulated source credibility and argument strength. As predicted, he found that the perceived legitimacy of a policy increased when arguments were strong and decreased when they were weak. Source credibility was found to be important under low and high elaboration likelihood conditions. (Petty and Cacioppo argue that under certain conditions, a variable can serve multiple roles. Here credibility serves as a cue and an argument.) In the third experiment, personal relevance, a motivational variable, was added. For two of the three questions, policy legitimacy increased under high relevance conditions. Mondak concluded that source credibility can: provide a cue for receivers who do not process a persuasive message; prompt an ambivalent receiver to examine a persuasive appeal; and be evidence considered during a cognitive assessment of a political message. Hypotheses Both of these studies tested college students, and neither of them was conceived primarily as a test of the ELM regarding political communication. Neither of them mentioned the mass media. To test the ELM's ability to explain political communication, it was applied in a heated campaign for a ballot issue in 1994. Amendment 7, a statewide Missouri ballot initiative commonly known as Hancock II, provided a unique opportunity to test the ELM. Formulated by Republican U.S. Rep. Mel Hancock, author of the Hancock I Amendment to the Missouri Constitution, Hancock II would have required voter approval of tax increases at all levels of government. The initiative was very complicated, and the ballot language was difficult to understand. The stakes in the election were very high, causing University of Missouri system President George Russell to declare a hiring freeze and to estimate that the jobs of as many as 1,000 university faculty and staff members could be eliminated if the measure were approved (Meyer, 1994). Legal wrangling contributed to the difficulty in understanding Hancock II. Four lawsuits were filed concerning the initiative (Godmer, 1994). The primary lawsuit was one questioning the accuracy of a fiscal note that was approved by the state legislature and appeared on the ballot. The complexity of the issue made it ideal for a study of the ELM. Unlike a companion ballot measure authorizing riverboat gambling, some people would have the ability, motivation and/or opportunity to process messages about Hancock II and others would not. Therefore, we should be able to test whether subjects were using central route or peripheral route processing. Using the ELM, the following four hypotheses were formulated regarding political communication and Hancock II: Hypothesis 1: Likely voters who have a low level of elaboration likelihood will rely on cues while likely voters with a high level of elaboration likelihood will not. Hypothesis 2: Likely voters with a low level of elaboration likelihood will rely on friends, a cue, for information while likely voters who have a high level of elaboration likelihood will rely on the mass media, which will provide information for central processing. Hypothesis 3: Likely voters with a high level of elaboration likelihood will use the media more than likely voters with a low level of elaboration likelihood. Hypothesis 4: Likely voters with a high external motivation will have a high level of elaboration likelihood. Method The Center for Advanced Social Research at the University of Missouri-Columbia, the Columbia Missourian, KOMU-TV/Channel 8 and KBIA/91.3 FM conducted a statewide telephone poll from Oct. 22, 1994, to Oct. 26, 1994, of 527 voters who said they were "very likely" to vote in the Nov. 8 general election. These respondents also said they had voted in the last presidential election. Fifty questions, including some specifically generated for this study, were formulated based on input from various faculty members at the School of Journalism. The questions were mainly about Hancock II, although some questions about the another ballot measure allowing games of chance on riverboats were also included. The responses to three factual questions about Hancock II were used for a combined measure of political knowledge, the dependent variable. Unlike Miyo's general political knowledge questions, these questions were very specific. Educational level was based upon a demographic question and was used as a measure of ability. Motivation was measured by the combined values of two questions about intrinsic motivation. Questions about how much attention subjects were paying to newspaper, radio and television news stories and advertisements about Hancock II were used as a measure of opportunity. More types of media were included in this study than in Miyo's study, which only included television and newspapers. A hierarchical regression was performed to obtain a measure of elaboration likelihood. All of the relevant demographic variables except for education level were entered first. Then education level, the opportunity measure and the intrinsic motivation measure, all variables associated with the ELM, were entered last. Political knowledge was the dependent variable. The intercept and the betas significant at the 0.05 level along with the values of their associated variables were then used to form a equation for elaboration likelihood. An elaboration likelihood score was calculated for each subject. Based on the scores, the subjects were divided into nearly equal categories of high, medium and low elaboration likelihood. Chi-square tests were then performed to test association. The first test included the elaboration likelihood categories and an attention question regarding friends, which were used as cues. The second test used the elaboration likelihood categories and a question about the main sources of information about Hancock II. The categories were mass media as the primary source of information and friends and other sources. The third test involved questions about weekly media use. The final test concerned a measure of external motivation. The categories were employed by a government agency, a category in which subjects were assumed to be highly motivated because their jobs were at stake, and other job statuses. All of the questions are included in the appendix. Results As indicated by Table 1, the regression equation yielded four variables with significant betas: age, sex, news (the opportunity variable), and education level. Their betas and values were used to form the following equation: ELM = -0.362862 + 0.0005790 (age) + 0.171925 (sex) + 0.119137 (edlevel) + 0.058561 (news). The standardized regression coefficients showed news to be the most important variable. Its coefficient of 0.28181466 was more than twice as large as its nearest rival, education level, at 0.1310849. Age and sex had nearly identical coefficients at 0.09610546 and 0.09021624 respectively. Hypothesis 1 suggested that likely voters low in elaboration likelihood would be associated with cue use. As indicated in Table 2, the chi-square test yields a value of 38.944 at a P-value of 0.000. Hypothesis 2 suggested that voters low in elaboration likelihood would be associated with cue use and those voters high in elaboration likelihood would be associated with mass media use. The chi-square test gives a value of 14.334 and a P-value of 0.001. Hypothesis 3 suggested that elaboration likelihood would be associated with the frequency of media use. The more frequent a subject used the media, the more that subject would be associated with central-route processing. The chi-square test for newspaper use had a value of 34.750 and a P-value of 0.002 while the test for network television news use had a value of 41.056 and a P-value of 0.000. The chi-square test for local television news use yielded a value of 30.039 and a P-value of 0.008. Hypothesis 4 suggested high external motivation would be associated with high elaboration likelihood. The chi-square test had a value of 24.342 and a P-value of 0.007. Interestingly, a chi-square test of elaboration likelihood and a question about the perceived difficulty of understanding Hancock II yielded a value of 16.523 and a P-Value of 0.011, what the ELM would predict. Discussion The results of the regression analysis show that opportunity, i.e. attention to the mass media, and education level were important factors in determining the level of political knowledge. All of the demographic factors combined except education level explained only 0.0196 percent of the variance in political knowledge, as Table 2 indicates. The addition of education level nearly doubled than amount to 0.0361 percent, a finding that shows the impact of ability. But putting opportunity into the equation boosted the total to 0.1177, an increase of more than 8 percent of the explained variance. This finding is evidence that the mass media can play an important role in the formation of political knowledge. Under high elaboration conditions, this knowledge will be used to process the message and apparently to help make voting decisions. The addition of the intrinsic motivation variable only accounted for less than 1 percent of the explained variance and did not have a significant beta. In this case, intrinsic motivation alone might not have been sufficient to induce subjects to process the difficult message via the central route. The results of the chi-square tests add more support for the role of media. The tests showed that mass media are associated with high levels of elaboration likelihood, and high levels of media use are associated with high levels of elaboration likelihood. Both results are consistent with the ELM. Conversely, the chi-square tests indicated that cue use is associated with low elaboration likelihood and that the use of friends and other nonmedia sources of information are also associated with low elaboration likelihood. Again, these findings are consistent with the ELM. Finally, a chi-square test showed that high extrinsic motivation is associated with high elaboration likelihood, another finding that is consistent with the ELM. Future Research This study has applied the ELM to an area in which it had not been applied before, i.e. mass media use and political communication. It has also applied a different research technique, multiple regression, to develop a measure to identify central and peripheral processors. And it then used the resulting model to test the use of ELM in several areas. In future studies, the use of this model should be expanded. If a survey technique is used, the questions should be designed to test the ELM exclusively and more questions about other possible cues and information sources should be included. The studies could also have a panel design similar to Miyo's study in order to build on Petty and Cacioppo's research into the predictive power of the ELM regarding actual voting. Such studies should also track changes in central and peripheral processing during and after the campaign. Follow-up interviews should also be conducted with respondents in an attempt to pinpoint what information sources and cues had the most impact on their decisions in the polling booth. Bibliography Chaffee, Steven H., and Hochheimer, John L. (1985). "The Beginning of Political Communication Research in the United States. Mass Communication Review Yearbook, 75-104. Chaffee, Steven H. and Miyo, Yuko (1982). "Selective Exposure and the Reinforcement Hypothesis in the 1980 Presidential Campaign: An Intergenerational Study." Paper presented to the Association for Education in Journalism, Athens, OH. Darley, W.K., Smith, R.E. (October 1993). "Advertising Claim Objectivity _ Antecedents and Effects." Journal of Marketing. 57, 100-113. Godmer, Adam (1994, October 20). Amendment 7 Creates Twisted Legal Labyrinth. Columbia Missourian, p. 1. James, Karen E., and Hensel, Paul J. (June 1991). Negative Advertising: The Malicious Strain of Comparative Advertising." Journal of Advertising, 20, 53-69. Katz, Elihu, and Lazarsfeld, Paul F. (1955). Personal Influence. New York: Free Press. Klapper, Joseph T. (1960). The Effects of Mass Communication. New York: Free Press. Lazarfeld, Paul F., Berelson, Bernard, and Gaudet, Hazel (1944). The People's Choice: How the Voter Makes Up His Mind in an Election Campaign. New York: Duell, Sloan and Pearce. Lowery, Shearon A. and DeFleur, Melvin L. (1988). Milestones in Mass Communication Research. New York: Longman. MacInnis, D.J., and Jaworski, B.J. (1989, October). "Information Processing from Advertisements: Toward an Integrative Framework." Journal of Marketing, 53, 1-23. MacInnis, D.J., Moorman, C., and Jaworski, B.J. (1991) "Enhancing and Measuring Consumers' Motivation, Opportunity, and Ability to Process Brand Information from Ads." Journal of Marketing, 55, 32-53. Meyer, Amy M. (1994, October 4). Russell Predicts U.M. Layoffs. Columbia Missourian, p. 1. Miyo, Yuko (1983). "The Knowledge Gap Hypothesis and Media Dependency." Communication Yearbook #7. 625-650. Mondak, Jeffery J. "Perceived Legitimacy of Supreme Court Decisions: Three Functions of Source Credibility." Political Behavior. 12: 363-384. Petty, Richard E., and Cacioppo, John T. (1981). Attitudes and Persuasion: Classic and Contemporary Approaches. Dubuque, IA: Brown. Petty, Richard E., and Cacioppo, John T. (1983). "Central and Peripheral Routes to Advertising Effectiveness: The Moderating Role of Involvement." Journal of Consumer Research. 10, 135-146. Petty, Richard E., and Cacioppo, John T. (1986) Communication and Persuasion: Central and Peripheral Routes to Attitude Change. New York: Springer. Petty, Richard E., Cacioppo, John T., Kao, Chuan Feng, and Rodriguez, Regina (November 1986. "Central Peripheral Routes to Persuasion: An Individual Difference Perspective." Journal of Personality and Social Psychology. 51 132-1043. Petty, Richard E., Schumann, David W., and Clemons, D. Scott (1990). "Predicting the Effectiveness of Different Strategies of Advertising Variation: A Test of the Repetition-Variation Hypothesis." Journal of Consumer Research. 17, 192-202. Petty, Richard E., Cacioppo, John T. and Haugtvedt, Curtis P. (1992). "Need for Cognition and Advertising: Understanding the Role of Personality Variables in Consumer Behavior." Journal of Consumer Psychology. 1, 239-260. Political Communication and ELM Appendix POLL QUESTIONS Knowledge Hancock Two would require voter approval of any tax increase. Hancock Two would prohibit large state tax increases from one year to the next whether approved by the voters or not. Hancock Two sets a limit on how high state revenue can go up each year without a vote of the people. Internal Motivation Introduction: Different people like the news for different reasons. I'm going to read a list of some reasons for paying attention to the news. As I do, please tell me whether you strongly agree, agree, disagree, strongly disagree or have no opinion about each reason. To keep up with the latest news. To figure out what is important. Cue (Attention Measure) On a scale of 1 to 5 where 1 in not at all and 5 is a lot, how much attention are you paying to what your family, friends and colleagues are saying about Hancock Two? Opportunity On a scale of 1 to 5 where 1 is not at all and 5 is a lot how much attention are you paying to newspaper coverage of Hancock Two? On a scale of 1 to 5 where 1 is not at all and 5 is a lot, how much attention are you paying to TV news coverage of Hancock Two? On a scale of 1 to 5 where 1 is not at all and 5 is a lot, how much attention are you paying to radio news and talk shows about Hancock Two? On a scale of 1 to 5 where 1 is not at all and 5 is a lot, how much attention are you paying to television commercials about Hancock Two? Mass Media/ Not Mass Media If you had to choose ONE source to help you understand complex local or state issues, would you pick . . . Word-of-mouth, Or some other source? (not mass media); television commercials, television news, radio, newspapers (mass media). Use of Mass Media On average, how many days in a week do your read a newspaper? On average, how many days in a week do you watch the national network news on TV? On average, how many days in a week do you watch the local news on TV? Extrinsic Motivation (potential lost job) Is the primary wage earner in your family ... Employed by a government agency, self-employed, employed by a private company, employed by a government agency, unemployed, retired or something else.
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