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Mark J. Crosten 335 Elan Village Ln. Apt. 404 San Jose, CA 95134 CompuServe: 70733,14 A CONTENT ANALYSIS OF QUANTITATIVE GRAPHICS IN THREE U.S. NEWSPAPERS Presented to the Visual Communication Division of AEJMC at Kansas City, August 1993 KEYWORDS: Informational graphics, Newspaper graphics, Edward Tufte Data density, New York Times, Wall Street Journal USA Today, Graphics ABSTRACT: This content analysis studies an empirical test of the efficiency of quantitative graphics at displaying information in three national U.S. newspapers. The results were compared between and within the newspapers to determine trends in the content of quantitative graphics over the past decade. It was found that sampled graphics in the Wall Street Journal displayed the highest average amount of data while those in the New York Times and USA Today had significantly lower average data densities. CHAPTER ONE Introduction "To clarify, add detail" -- Edward R. Tufte In examining how to display data graphically the above statement by Edward R. Tufte, a professor of political science and statistics at Yale University, might seem contradictory at first glance. He contends, however, that "we thrive in information-rich worlds because of our immense human capacities to select, edit, focus, group, harmonize, condense, reduce, choose, categorize, merge, filter, abstract, skip, scan, idealize, isolate, check out, extrapolate, screen, sort, blend, average, lump, smooth, inspect, approximate, cluster, aggregate, summarize, dip into, flip through, browse, leaf through, search, skim, glean, winnow the wheat from the chaff, and separate the sheep from the goats."<1> Tufte says that "high information displays are not only an appropriate and proper match to these human capabilities, but such designs are often optimal. If the visual task is contrast, comparison, and choice--as so often it is--then the more relevant information within eyespan, the better."<2> This content analysis studies an empirical test of the efficiency of quantitative newspaper graphics at displaying information. Newspaper graphs and graphics, or "infographics," have increased in number, size, kind, color and importance, especially over the last decade. Editors and publishers, eager to position their papers to subscribers they say are time-starved and spoon-fed by television, have scrambled to add charts full of bars, hues, pies, cartoon-like characters, lines, pictures and tables to their pages. Many analysts have attributed this phenomenon to the arrival of two prominent products: USA Today in September of 1983 and the Apple Macintosh in February of 1984. The introduction of concise, colorful, graphically aware competition in the form of USA Today in many cities stirred hundreds of newspapers to take action, and the availability of the Macintosh computer made taking that action easy. According to Tufte however, a problem with the rapid rise in the use of newspaper infographics is one of content. He alleges that most newspaper infographics--most graphics for that matter--are superficial to the point of being useless. Tufte's advice to the creators of such graphics is "to show readers lots of information. Clutter and confusion are not defects of information, but of bad design. Don't blame the information for being cluttered or confused or overrich-- instead, you fix the design."<3> This study will discuss an experimental test of a theory of the efficiency of quantitative graphs at displaying information--content over style. Using this theory, Tufte proposes that data graphics should be based on large rather than small data matrices and have a high rather than low data density. In other words, presenting more information is better than presenting less information. Specifically, this study will use a sample of quantitative graphics from three national mass-circulation newspapers to test the data density ratio, a principle developed by Tufte. The numbers that go into a graphic can be organized into a data matrix of observations by variables. Taking into account the size of the graphic in relation to the amount of data displayed yields the data density: By using the data density ratio, Tufte has determined that a graphic containing .15 numbers per square inch "is thin indeed," a graphic containing 3.8 numbers per square inch is "lightweight," a graphic containing 181 numbers per square inch "does very well," and "the current record" is a map containing 9,000 numbers per square inch.<4> Quantitative graphics from three national newspapers, the Wall Street Journal, the New York Times and USA Today will be used to test the data-density ratio. The choice of these newspapers, a renowned, well-respected financial newspaper that has won many awards for its graphic displays; a comprehensive, internationally aware newspaper known for its writing as well as its respect for numbers; and a highly colorful, easily read and graphic newspaper acknowledged as a leader with respect to data displays and informational graphics, will provide an adequate cross-section of graphics to sample. The results of this study will offer a detailed analysis of the content of national newspaper quantitative graphics through the application of an empirical test. The conclusions will answer (1) the question of how graphics from the three newspapers compare with respect to Tufte's data density ratio; and the related questions of (2) where the graphics are located within each newspaper; (3) what kinds of statistical graphics are being used; (4) which graphics are related to a story; (5) which graphics include pictorial or decorative elements; (6) how the sizes of the graphics compare; and (7) the overall question of how the use and content of graphics in the three newspapers have changed over time. Hypothesis I 1.) The average data density ratio of all sampled graphics in the three newspapers will differ widely with (2.) graphics in the Wall Street Journal exhibiting the highest data density and those in USA Today exhibiting the lowest data density. The data density of graphics in the New York Times will fall just below those of the Wall Street Journal. Hypothesis II 1.) There will be an increase from the start to the end of the sampling dates in the A.) overall average data density; B.) total number; and C.) overall average area (in square inches) of graphics in all three newspapers. Hypothesis III 1.) There will be an increase from the start to the end of the sampling dates in the number of graphics in all three newspapers that directly relate to stories. Hypothesis IV 1.) There will be a large increase in the use of pictorial or decorative elements in the graphics of USA Today during the sampling period. The use of pictorial or decorative elements will be negligible in graphics in the Wall Street Journal and only a minor component of graphics in the New York Times during the sampling period. CHAPTER TWO Literature Review The results of this study will provide an analysis of the content of quantitative graphics in three national newspapers. The conclusions will tell us how the graphics in the papers compare in their efficiency of displaying data in the last ten years and recognize any changes in the kind, placement, story relationship, use of pictorial or decorative elements and size. It would be a rather simple, though monumental, task to summarize for the readers of this study a complete history of statistical graphs and their relevance to the mass media. However, there exist (thankfully!) very adequate reviews of the history of statistical graphs in various books and journals which are noted in the bibliography. Similarly, numerous articles and studies have been written on the topic of how infographics infiltrated the mass media and what it all means to everyone from the president of a newspaper concern<5> to "120 student observers in two sophomore level classes taught at the School of Journalism at Indiana University in the Spring semester of 1987."<6> These have also been duly noted in the bibliography. What can and should be discussed here is the relevant literature concerning what is thought to be the proper status of statistical graphs or infographics in general, moving on to survey criticism of their use in the media, specifically newspapers, and finishing with an analysis of graphical theory. In the introduction to The Visual Display of Quantitative Information, Tufte summarizes the discipline of statistical graphs: Data graphics visually display measured quantities by means of the combined use of points, lines, a coordinate system, numbers, symbols, words, shading, and color. The use of abstract, non-representational pictures to show numbers is a surprisingly recent invention, perhaps because of the diversity of skills required--the visual-artistic, empirical-statistical, and mathematical. It was not until 1750-1800 that statistical graphics-- length and area to show quantity, time-series, scatterplots, and multivariate displays--were invented, long after such triumphs of mathematical ingenuity as logarithms, Cartesian coordinates, the calculus, and the basics of probability theory. The remarkable William Playfair (1759-1823) developed or improved upon nearly all the fundamental graphical designs, seeking to replace conventional tables of numbers with the systematic visual representations of his "linear arithmetic." Modern data graphics can do much more than simply substitute for small statistical tables. At their best, graphics are instruments for reasoning about quantitative information. Often the most effective way to describe, explore, and summarize a set of numbers--even a very large set--is to look at pictures of those numbers. Furthermore, of all methods for analyzing and communicating statistical information, well-designed data graphics are usually the simplest and at the same time the most powerful.<7> Tufte goes on to list a number of requirements for the attainment of excellence in statistical graphics. He says graphical displays should: - show the data - induce the viewer to think about the substance rather than about methodology, graphic design, the technology of graphic production, or something else - avoid distorting what the data have to say - present many numbers in a small space - make large data sets coherent - encourage the eye to compare different pieces of data - reveal the data at several levels of detail, from a broad overview to the fine structure - serve a reasonably clear purpose: description, exploration, tabulation, or decoration - be closely integrated with the statistical and verbal descriptions of a data set.<8> In a 1981 paper by Wainer and Thissen, the usefulness of any particular graphic display is determined by comparison with a list of desirable characteristics. These graphical characteristics were proposed by Gnanadesikan in 1980 and include their descriptive capacity, versatility, data orientation, potential for internal comparisons, aid in focusing attention, degree to which they are self critical of assumptions, and adaptability to large volumes of data.<9> In Schmid and Schmid's 1979 book on graphic presentation, a summary of the qualities and values of charts and graphs was presented. These values were summarized as follows: - In comparison with other types of presentation, well- designed \charts are more effective in creating interest and in \appealing to the attention of the reader. - Statistical charts represent a very important form of visual \communication. They provide a clear, economical, and precise medium for conveying a message. They are frequently superior to words or figures. Moreover, visual relationships, as portrayed by charts and graphs, are more clearly grasped and more easily remembered. - The use of charts and graphs saves time since the essential meaning of large masses of statistical data can be visualized at a glance. - Charts and graphs can provide a comprehensive picture of a problem that makes possible a complete and better-balanced understanding than could be derived from tabular or textual forms of presentation. - Charts and graphs can bring out hidden facts and relationships and can stimulate, as well as aid, analytical thinking and investigation.<10> A 1984 study by Wainer which looked at the ways graphical data could be displayed badly stated that "the aim of good data graphics was to display data accurately and clearly." He categorized methods of data display into three parts: showing data, showing data accurately, and showing data clearly. Under the heading of showing data, Wainer refers directly to Tufte's theory of data density by calling it "surprisingly informative." He states that a range of .1 to 362 numbers per square inch was found in a sample of popular and technical media. Wainer said that "although arguments can be made that high data density does not imply that a graphic will be good, nor one with low density bad, it does reflect on the efficiency of information. Obviously, if we hold clarity and accuracy constant, more information is better than less."<11> In Bertin's 1981 book, he states that graphic communication involves transcribing and telling others what you have discovered. The aim of graphic communication, he says, is rapid perception and, potentially, memorization of the overall information. The imperative is simplicity. He says this simplicity of forms authorizes the superimposition of images. Graphic communication poses problems on the level of simplification and selectivity.<12> Bertin said in his 1983 book that there are three functions of graphic representation: recording information, communicating information and processing information. He defines the recording information function as the creation of a storage mechanism--a graphic--which avoids the effort of memorization. This would most likely be a comprehensive graphic which could be non-memorable in its totality. In communicating information, Bertin said the graphic should create a memorable image which will increase the information in the viewer's mind. A simple graphic is ideal in this situation. The processing function of a graphic provides a simplification and its justification. Bertin said the graphic should be memorable (for comparisons) and comprehensive (for choices).<13> In 1985, Cleveland said that graphs are an exceptionally powerful tool for data analysis. He went on to say that graphical methods tend to show data sets as a whole, allowing summarization of the general behavior and to study detail. Cleveland said that information can be retained in the data because a large amount of quantitative information can be displayed and absorbed.<14> Ehrenberg said in his 1975 book that data need to be summarized in analysis. He said the criteria for a good summary are that it be succinct, complete (i.e., that the original data could be reconstructed within the stated or implied limits of approximation), and usable (i.e., that the results can readily be used when analyzing further data).<15> A number of studies and articles criticizing the use of graphics by the mass media and specifically, newspapers, have appeared parallel to their increased use and perceived importance. In a 1987 study by Kenney and Lacy examining the economic forces behind newspapers' increasing use of color and graphics, it was said that the success of USA Today attracted reader interest and debate within the journalistic community concerning the merits, costs and standards of publishing more color and graphics. Kenney and Lacy said that quality color and graphics in newspapers is needed and wanted by advertisers and readers. They state that although many factors enter into the decision to use color and graphics, the usefulness of these devices to differentiate a newspaper and attract readers mean visual communication will continue to increase in competitive markets.<16> Shapiro, in a 1982 report on the increasing use of charts and maps in newspapers, found that this growth can be attributed to the fact that editors and reporters are coming to recognize that trends in American life are often newsworthy. These stories, he said, are sometimes culled from statistics and sometimes merely enhanced by them and are more visible than ever. Shapiro attributed the move to brighter maps and charts in the press to graphics editors who were willing to explore and the new technology that can help them. He quoted Roger Fidler, corporate design consultant for Knight-Ridder newspapers, as saying "the use of statistics in stories and in graphics all revolves around trying to communicate effectively. We've become much more aware of being a visual medium as well as a word medium. We are initiating efforts to find new ways to hold readers."<17> In a 1988 study by Smith and Hajash describing the use of informational graphics in 30 daily U.S. newspapers, it was found that informational graphics are an important aspect of how newspapers communicate information. However, the use of graphics on the level of USA Today was not supported. It was also found that a large proportion of the sampled graphics were found in business sections. This was attributed to the statistical and data based origins of the genre. Maps, followed by bar charts, were the most-used types of graphic forms. Little incidence of embellishment was found in the graphics, leading Smith and Hajash to conclude that they are being used as basic communication tools and not as creative devices.<18> In a 1979 article by Wainer, four reasons were given for the wide adoption of statistical graphs by the news media: - they can often display complex data simply - they can provide an evocative image which is readily remembered - they lend seemingly scientific confirmatory evidence to the contentions of a story; and - they are often "eye-catching," enlivening the layout of the page and enticing the viewer to finish the story. Wainer says, however, that the last reason seems to be the primary motivator for the New York Times, but that this purpose is often at odds with that of effective and accurate communication in that by making a statistical graph "flashy," the artist often obscures or, worse, distorts the data which generated the graph. He goes on to say that the use of statistical graphs can be a very powerful tool for journalistic communication, they can misinform either by design or by poor design. Wainer notes sadly that graphs in current usage are at least as often misused as used correctly in the popular media.<19> Tankard, in a 1987 study, identified 10 pitfalls to avoid in the use of informational graphics by newspapers. Among the problems Tankard found were graphics that were misleading, unclear, inaccurate, or unnecessary. He also addressed some recommendations by graphics experts such as Tufte, Bertin and Wainer by saying that their rather stringent procedures would eliminate or drastically alter about 90% of the graphs now appearing in newspapers. Tankard spoke to Tufte's criticism that graphics should never be adorned with "chartjunk" or decorative elements by saying that his recommendations may be too severe for newspaper graphics. Tankard said that the use of quantitative graphics in newspapers requires striking the proper balance--a balance between being accurate and clear, and being attention-getting and entertaining.<20> In a study by Pasternack and Utt in 1990, an attempt was made to understand when newspaper readers read graphics in relation to headlines and text, and whether readers read graphic devices for appearance or content reasons. The results of the study found that readers turned to graphs and charts for both content and appearance- based reasons. A call for more emphasis on the "info" in infographics is given by Pasternack and Utt. They said that based on their data readers expect charts and graphs to fulfill an information gathering need, perhaps assuming color and attractiveness as a given. The first burden for editors and graphic artists, they said, was to make graphs understandable since for many readers, infographics are either intimidating or fall into the category of something that should "be seen but not heard."<21> The effects of three-dimensional and cartoon-like informational graphics--called "chartoons" by Tankard in a 1989 study--were discussed with regard to reader interest and information gain. Tankard found general support for the hypotheses that chartoons and three-dimensional graphs are perceived as more appealing than plain graphs and little support for the contention that chartoons and three- dimensional graphs will lead to less retention of information than plain graphs. Tankard said that Tufte's concept that chartoons and three-dimensional graphs contain unnecessary decorative elements--"chartjunk"--may not make any real difference to the average newspaper reader.<22> In 1989, Kelly tested Tufte's concept that graphs should draw the viewer's attention to the sense and substance of the data, not to something else. Tufte's data-ink ratio, which holds that a large share of the ink on a graphic should present data-information, was used to answer the question of whether graphics which contain a large amount of "non-data ink" affected a reader's accuracy of recall of quantitative display. Kelly's results were inconclusive as to whether Tufte's theory holds true partly because of the small number (ten) of graphics used as stimuli and the observers were forewarned of the stimuli's subject which increased their attention to detail.<23> An article by Moen in 1989 reprimanded editors of informational graphics for not giving the same scrutiny to informational graphics that they give to stories or headlines. Moen said that to many editors, any information graphic is a good graphic but too many are "misinformation" graphics. He urged editors to exercise quality control by spot checking graphics against a number of standards. Moen said graphics should be created like good writing, simple and direct. He said improper format as well as artwork can obscure the message a graphic is trying to communicate.<24> In an 1991 interview, Tufte described his general experience and opinions with regard to newspapers and their use of quantitative graphics. He said that he is quite impressed by what is being done at the New York Times in answer to a question asking him to identify publications that consistently produce good information graphics. He said "their business graphics are terrific, their temperature chart at the end of the year is very good--they show inflation-adjusted dollars, instead of just skyrocketing inflation." Tufte also said the Wall Street Journal is "good- -their tables are well designed." When asked to identify what unsuccessful publications are doing wrong when producing information graphics, Tufte had this to say, "The visual problem is that data are a lot more interesting than the designers think. Their readers have come to this paper, they have selected themselves to this story, to this topic. And in most cases, the readers--believe it or not--know more about the topic, and care more about the topic, than the graphics illustrator who has just come to this particular topic for half an hour. The graphics illustrator should design upwards, rather than dummy things down. My advice is to show readers lots of information."<25> A 1992 article in the New York Times said that "some practicing graphic designers see Tufte's standards as overly academic and rigorous. Time's Nigel Holmes, a creator of graphics Tufte has criticized in his books, was understandably irked. Holmes admits his work has sometimes been exaggerated, but feels Tufte, in his insistence on absolute mathematical fidelity, remains trapped in 'the world of academia' and insensitive to 'the world of commerce,' with its need to grab an audience. But even Holmes admires and admits to having been inspired by Tufte's books." Opinion about how graphics should be used and presented is abundant and easily found; however, reasoned theories concerning the same topics are more difficult to locate. An article by Cleveland and McGill in 1984 stated the problem clearly: Today graphs are a vital part of statistical data analysis and a vital part of communication in science and technology, business, education, and the mass media. Still, graph design for data analysis and presentation is largely unscientific. This is why Cox argued "there is a major need for a theory of graphical methods," and why Kruskal stated "in choosing, constructing, and comparing graphical methods we have little to go on but intuition, rule of thumb, and a kind of master-to-apprentice passing along of information....there is neither theory nor systematic body of experiment as a guide." Cleveland and McGill attempted to apply some theory to graphical perception with their study which examined the relative accuracy with which various graphical forms conveyed quantitative information. Their results showed that when graphics are "read," position judgments about certain graphic elements such as bars in a bar chart and lines on a line chart were more accurate than length and angle judgments such as those made when viewing pieces of a pie in a pie chart. They also attempted to order ten elementary perception tasks on the basis of accuracy with which people can extract quantitative information. These tasks included those of position on a common scale, position on non-aligned scales, length, direction, angle, area, volume, curvature, and shading. Their hypothesis stated that graphical forms which involved elementary perceptual tasks that lead to more accurate judgments than another graphical form which shows the same quantitative information will result in better organization and increase the chances of a correct perception of pattern and behavior. The conclusions from this hypothesis called for a dismissal of some of the more popular chart forms--bar charts, divided bar charts, pie charts, and statistical maps with shading--in favor of dot charts, dot charts with grouping, and framed-rectangle charts.<26> Macdonald-Ross in a comprehensive 1977 review of research on the presentation of quantitative data in texts urges restraint in applying too much importance to rigor in examining graphical methods. He says that for practical communication to be effective it is necessary for empirical research to be studied, but that is not sufficient by itself. He said many subtle tricks of the expert designer have never been studied, especially the art of adjusting the various parts of a design so that one coherent whole is produced. He said a great deal of experience, intuition, critical skill, and trial of alternative solutions go toward the design of good communication: this artful process will never be replaced by formal laboratory investigations. Macdonald-Ross stated that many issues that interest practical communicators have never been investigated and the ones that have been investigated were not done in a working environment. Formative evaluation is rare, he said; most tests were conducted on material produced by the researcher himself. He concluded that in general, the advice given by the best practical communicators was substantially vindicated. One or two workers, he stated, quite openly suggested that such advice was just "a matter of opinion" and hence as likely to be wrong as right. Macdonald-Ross said that on the contrary: there is no known case where a well articulated and deeply held practical viewpoint has been overturned, and many cases where the practitioner has been upheld.<27> In Bertin's 1983 book he proposes the theory that efficiency in representing quantitative data graphically can be defined by the following proposition: If, in order to obtain a correct and complete answer to a given question, all other things being equal, one construction requires a shorter period of perception than another construction, we can say that it is more efficient for this question. But how does Bertin define efficiency and how does that definition relate to the simplification of data? He answers the questions by saying that efficiency comes through simplification of data into the presentation of only those essential data which will accomplish the communication of the desired message in the shortest possible time. Surprisingly, Bertin introduces two contrary methods of simplification of data into its essential parts. The first is obvious; take out all the data which is not necessary to the communication. Bertin proposes that this be done through the calculation of moving averages and other mathematical operations and, with maps, the structural generalization of geographic forms. The second method is a foreshadowing to Tufte's theories of graphical display. Bertin proposes that data be simplified by adding more data. Specifically, he says that the information being produced can be introduced into a higher set. In other words, the representation of the initial data can sometimes be made more clear--simplified--by comparing or introducing a collection of related data which can be used to derive general tendencies, which can then be applied to the original data. Bertin admits that this second method of simplification of data relies heavily on the expert skill and knowledge of the graph creator to decide which related data to introduce.<28> Conveniently, this leads directly to Tufte's theories of data graphics. The first is that a large share of ink on a graphic should present data-information, the ink changing as the data change. Data- ink is the non-erasable core of a graphic, the non-redundant ink arranged in response to variation in the numbers represented. Tufte says that the larger the share of a graphic's ink devoted to data, the better (other relevant matters being equal). He qualifies this theory by saying that the principle of the data-ink ratio makes good sense and generates reasonable graphical advice--for perhaps two-thirds of all statistical graphics. For the others, the ratio is ill-defined or is just not appropriate.<29> Kelly tested Tufte's theory of data-ink maximization in a 1989 study. He found that his results did not permit him to conclude that the ratio of data-ink to non-data-ink had no effect on accuracy judgments based on graphically displayed data. Kelly did call into question Tufte's theory somewhat by saying that based on his test, high ratios are not sufficient by themselves to consistently decrease accuracy of data recall.<30> Tufte's second principle for graphical displays involves the idea of multifunctioning graphical elements. He says the same ink should often serve more than one graphical purpose. A graphical element may carry data information and perform a design function usually left to non-data-ink or it might show several pieces of data. The theory, then is to mobilize every graphical element, perhaps several times over to show the data.<31> Wainer and Thissen describe a method of constructing multifunctioning graphical elements in their 1981 paper. Relying on human ability to perceive and remember even small variations in the structure of human faces, Chernoff developed and tested his idea in 1973 and 1975. The scheme involved letting the size, shape, or orientation of each feature of a cartoon face represent a particular variable. Thus one might let the size of the eyes represent on variable, the width of the mouth another, the length of the nose a third, and so on. The performance of Chernoff's scheme has not been fully explored<32> but it conforms to Tufte's idea by using facial element to represent specific variables and the locations of the faces within a grid to represent comparison as a whole. A third principle explored by Tufte attempted to enhance the idea of graphical integrity. He stated that the representation of numbers, as physically measured on the surface of the graphic itself, should be directly proportional to the numerical quantities represented. Tufte measures violations of this principle by calling into effect a measurement of the Lie Factor. The Lie Factor is determined by dividing the size of the effect shown in a graphic by the size of the effect in the data. Tufte said that if the Lie Factor is equal to one, then the graphic might be doing a reasonable job of accurately representing the underlying numbers. Lie Factors greater than 1.05 or less than .95 indicate substantial distortion, far beyond minor inaccuracies in plotting.<33> Tufte's Lie Factor was studied by Jarvenpaa in a 1989 paper. Jarvenpaa examined Tufte's principle as it related to decision making in a financial forecasting context. He found that the differences in overall performance or learning rates were not significantly different. The results suggest, Jarvenpaa said, people may be able to adapt format to task and that violations of Tufte's law may be tolerable when graphs are used as decision support tools.<34> Through the theories listed previously, it is seen that Tufte shows obvious concern for statistical graphs in general, however the subject of this study will only specifically address his contentions that relate directly to his theory of data density, namely that graphics should "present many numbers in a small space and make large data sets coherent."<35> Tufte says that our eyes can make a remarkable number of distinctions within a small area. With the use of very light grid lines, it is easy to locate 625 points in one square inch, he says. Tufte asks the questions: How many statistical graphics take advantage of the ability of the eye to detect large amounts of information in small spaces? And how much information should graphics show? Tufte describes a measure called the data density to determine the number of numbers represented in the space a graphic uses. It has been mentioned previously that Tufte called a graphic with a data density of .15 numbers per square inch "thin indeed," one with 3.8 numbers per square inch "lightweight," one with 181 numbers per square inch as "doing very well," and a map with 9,000 numbers per square inch as holding "the current record."<36> Tufte measured the data densities of graphics sampled from scientific and news publications with results published in his 1983 book. He describes the results by saying that "the table records an enormous diversity of graphical performances both within and between publications. A few data-rich designs appear in nearly every publication. The opportunity is there but it is rarely exploited: the average published graphic is rather thin, based on about fifty numbers shown at the rate of ten per square inch."<37> Tufte said that "among the world's newspapers, the Wall Street Journal, The Times (London), and Asahi publish data-rich graphics, with data densities equal to those of the Journal of the American Statistical Association. Most of the American papers and magazines, along with Pravda, publish less data per graphic than major papers of other industrialized countries."<38> CHAPTER THREE Methodology A comparison was made of three U.S. national daily newspapers: the New York Times, the Wall Street Journal, and USA Today. Six years from the last two decades were studied for the New York Times and the Wall Street Journal: 1981, 1983, 1985, 1987, 1989, 1991. Five years from the last two decades were studied for USA Today: 1983, 1985, 1987, 1989, 1991. A sample from 1981 was not included for USA Today since the paper began publication in 1983. The study started with the year 1981 for the New York Times and the Wall Street Journal and in 1983 for USA Today since it has been acknowledged that the increase in the use of informational graphics in newspapers has for the most part occurred over the last dozen or so years.<39> Four weeks from each year for each newspaper were sampled. The third, 16th, 34th and 48th complete weeks of each year were randomly chosen with only weekday editions used in the sample. This decision arose from the fact that the Wall Street Journal only publishes weekday editions and USA Today publishes a combined Friday, Saturday, Sunday edition while the New York Times publishes seven days a week. To keep the sample fair and equal, the weekend edition of USA Today and the weekend editions of the New York Times were not included. DEFINITION OF CATEGORIES: (1.) GRAPHICS CATEGORIES: For the purposes of this study, a "graphic" is defined as a deliberately designed or rendered visual presentation of quantitative data. The categories of graphics included seven categories as defined by Smith and Hajash: - pie chart-the division of a whole into components, usually in percentages; - bar chart-comparative quantities represented by bars or other images of varying length; - line or fever chart-quantities plotted over time by a trend line; - table-visual display of numbers in columns; - scatterplot-multiple dots or other symbols showing the relationship of one variable with another; - spatial-a visual representation of a region of the earth or heavens which is used to show relational numerical data; and - other-a miscellaneous form of displaying quantitative data not included within the other categories. Television schedules, weather maps, stock listings, architectural and engineering drawings, recipe lists, box scores and statistics, and lists of numbers not in relational graphic form were excluded as were advertising communications.<40> Only staff-produced graphics were considered for this study since graphics available through a syndicate or wire service--because they are made available to a wide range of publications at once--do not reflect directly on the efforts of the individual newspapers' staff. (2.) DATA ENTRIES (3.) WIDTH/HEIGHT (4.) DATA DENSITY Since the overriding purpose of this study was to examine the data density of graphics, the width and height in inches as well as the number of numbers presented was counted for each graphic. All graphics conforming to the requirements of the category list were counted. If a graphic was encountered which included more than one specific type of charting method in a defined area or box--such as the use of two bar charts and four pie charts together to display the results of a survey--each occurrence of the individual method was counted. However for the purpose of determining such a graphic's data density, the total area and total number of numbers given to the entire graphic was counted--not each individual chart's area or numbers separately. Using the example previously mentioned, if a graphic showing the results of a survey contained two separate bar charts and four separate pie charts, the data density of that graphic was determined by dividing the total area given to the graphic's elements by the sum of the number of numbers presented by all the charts within the graphic's area. (5.) STORY RELATIONSHIP This category was included for the purposes of determining the number of graphics which were supplements to textual information or stories versus those that were meant to stand- alone with no textual or story information provided. If a graphic was included with the presentation of a story or related to a story, this was noted. (6.) PICTORIAL ELEMENTS This category was included for the purposes of determining the number of graphics which used pictorial or decorative elements along with the quantitative data within their boundaries versus graphics which displayed nothing but quantitative data. A pictorial or decorative element was defined as any drawing, sketch, rendering, illustration, photograph, caricature, model, trademark or logo which was not quantitative in nature in its relationship to the data presented. For example, this category would include a photograph over which a graphic was superimposed, a company logo such as the Apple Computer, Inc. symbol, an artist's drawing of baseball bats used as bars in a bar chart, or a woodcut of an executive's face placed within a graphic's frame. CHAPTER FOUR Findings A total of 3,510 graphics was examined for this study. To avoid coder reliability problems, all data were collected by one coder. To test the categories and repeatability of this study, two other coders compared their results to the original coding. One week for each year of each newspaper studied (seventeen total issues) was used for this comparison. A 97 percent rate of duplication was recorded. Table 1 NEWSPAPER QUANTITATIVE GRAPHICS OVERALL AVERAGE DATA DENSITY NEWSPAPER NUMBER AVERAGE DATA DENSITY New York Times 859 12.74 USA Today 1,064 3.63 Wall Street Journal 1,587 22.67 Data densities represented as numbers per square inch. The results indicated by Table 1 support the first part of Hypothesis I which states: The average data density ratio of all sampled graphics in the three newspapers will differ widely. RESULTS: The average data density of graphics in USA Today was 3.63 numbers per square inch while the Wall Street Journal exhibited 22.67 numbers per square inch. Graphics in the New York Times had an average data density of 12.74 numbers per square inch. The results indicated by Table 1 only partially support the second part of Hypothesis I which states: Graphics in the Wall Street Journal will exhibit the highest data density and those in USA Today will exhibit the lowest data density. The data density of graphics in the New York Times will fall just below those of the Wall Street Journal. RESULTS: The average data density of graphics in the Wall Street Journal was 22.67 numbers per square inch. Those in USA Today exhibited 3.63 numbers per square inch--a difference of 19.04 numbers per square inch. However, the average data density of graphics in the New York Times did not "fall just below those in the Wall Street Journal." The average data density of graphics in the New York Times was 12.74 numbers per square inch--9.93 number per square inch less. Table 2 NEWSPAPER QUANTITATIVE GRAPHICS AVERAGE DATA DENSITY AND AVERAGE AREA NEWSPAPER/ NUMBER AVG. AVG. YEAR DATA DENSITY AREA New York Times 1981 111 7.25 10.27 1983 124 9.13 9.76 1985 129 11.57 9.01 1987 141 7.11 12.55 1989 172 21.84 12.71 1991 182 19.53 11.64 USA Today 1983 301 3.28 9.49 1985 280 2.86 9.18 1987 189 2.85 11.50 1989 144 4.40 11.23 1991 150 4.78 11.35 Wall Street Journal 1981 142 27.45 9.51 1983 146 19.94 9.75 1985 266 25.72 7.52 1987 281 20.21 9.20 1989 377 21.44 8.63 1991 375 21.24 8.97 Data densities represented in numbers per square inch. Areas represented in square inches. The results indicated by Table 2 show mixed support for part A of Hypothesis II which states: There will be an increase from the start to the end of the sampling dates in the overall average data density of graphics in all three newspapers. RESULTS: The overall average data density of graphics in the New York Times and USA Today did indeed increase from the start of the sampling period to the end. However, overall average data densities in the Wall Street Journal decreased during the sampling period. For the New York Times in 1981 the average data density of sampled graphics was 7.25 numbers per square inch and in 1991 the average data density was 19.53 numbers per square inch. However, this increase was far from steady. Sampled graphics in the New York Times for the years 1981, 1983 and 1985 showed an increase from 7.25 numbers per square inch in 1981 to 11.57 numbers per square inch in 1985. But in 1987 the average data density showed a decrease of 4.46 numbers per square inch from the average in 1985. In 1989, the average data density increased again to 21.84 numbers per square inch from 7.11 numbers per square inch in 1987. For USA Today in 1983 the average data density of sampled graphics was 3.28 numbers per square inch and in 1991 the average data density was 4.78 numbers per square inch. This increase was also not steady. Sampled graphics in USA Today showed a small decrease in 1985 and 1987 of approximately .42 numbers per square inch. These numbers increased in 1989 and 1991 to 4.40 and 4.78 numbers per square inch respectively. The results for the Wall Street Journal did not agree with part A of Hypothesis II. The average data density of sampled graphics decreased from 27.45 numbers per square inch in 1981 to 21.24 in 1991. This decrease, like increases for graphics in the New York Times and USA Today, was unsteady. The average data density for graphics in 1983 decreased to 19.94 numbers per square inch and increased to 25.72 in 1985. This was followed by a decrease to 20.21 numbers per square inch in 1987 and an increase to 21.44 in 1989. The results indicated by Table 2 show mixed support for part B of Hypothesis II which states: There will be an increase from the start to the end of the sampling dates in the total number of graphics in all three newspapers. RESULTS: The total number of sampled graphics in the New York Times and the Wall Street Journal did increase from the start of the sampling period to the end. However, the total number of graphics in USA Today decreased during the sampling period. The number of sampled graphics in the New York Times increased steadily from 111 in 1981 to 182 in 1991. Likewise, the number of graphics in the Wall Street Journal increased steadily from 142 in 1981 to 377 in 1989 with a tiny decrease to 375 in 1991. The number of sampled graphics in USA Today decreased from 301 in 1983 to 144 in 1991 with a small increase to 150 in 1991. The results indicated by Table 2 show mixed support for part C of Hypothesis II which states: There will be an increase from the start to the end of the sampling dates in the overall average area (in square inches) of graphics in all three newspapers. RESULTS: The average area of sampled graphics in both the New York Times and USA Today showed an increase from the start of the sampling period to the end while the average area of graphics decreased in the Wall Street Journal during the sampling period. The average area of a graphic in the New York Times was 10.27 square inches in 1981 and increased to 11.64 square inches in 1991. However, the average fluctuated during the sampling period. The average area of a graphic was 9.76 in 1983, 9.01 in 1985, 12.55 in 1987, and 12.71 in 1989. The average area of a graphic in USA Today was 9.49 square inches in 1983 and 11.35 in 1991. This average also fluctuated. The average area was 9.18 in 1985, 11.50 in 1987 and 11.23 in 1989. The average area of a graphic in the Wall Street Journal decreased from 9.51 square inches in 1981 to 8.97 in 1991. This average also showed unsteadiness. The average was 9.75 in 1983, 7.52 in 1985, 9.20 in 1987 and 8.63 in 1989. Table 3 NEWSPAPER QUANTITATIVE GRAPHICS GRAPHICS RELATED TO STORIES NEWSPAPER/ NUMBER PERCENT YEAR New York Times 1981 81 73 1983 91 73 1985 99 77 1987 109 77 1989 109 63 1991 121 66 USA Today 1983 72 24 1985 58 21 1987 46 24 1989 55 38 1991 57 38 Wall Street Journal 1981 31 22 1983 31 21 1985 71 27 1987 91 32 1989 155 41 1991 166 44 The results indicated by Table 3 partially support Hypothesis III which states: There will be an increase from the start to the end of the sampling dates in the number of graphics in all three newspapers that directly relate to stories. RESULTS: The number of sampled graphics which related to stories in both the New York Times and the Wall Street Journal did show an increase from the start of the sampling period to the end while the number of graphics which related to stories decreased in USA Today during the sampling period. However, when the corresponding percentages are compared, a different picture emerges. In 1981, the New York Times had 81 graphics, or 73 percent, which related to stories and in 1991, the number increased to 121 but the percentage decreased to 66 percent. The numbers for the New York Times were also unsteady during the sampling period. In 1983, there were 91 graphics, or 73 percent, which related to stories; in 1985, there were 99 graphics, or 77 percent, which related to stories; in 1987, there were 109 graphics, or 77 percent, which related to stories; and in 1989, there were 109 graphics, or 63 percent, which related to stories. The Wall Street Journal had 31 graphics, or 22 percent, which related to stories in 1981 and in 1991 the number increased to 166, or 44 percent. Furthermore, the numbers during the sampling period were relatively steady in their increase. In 1983, there were also 31 graphics, or 21 percent, which related to stories; in 1985, there were 71 graphics, or 27 percent, which related to stories; in 1987, there were 91 graphics, or 32 percent, which related to stories; and in 1989, there were 155 graphics, or 41 percent which related to stories. While USA Today did exhibit a decrease in the number of stories which related to graphics, 72 in 1983 to 57 in 1991, the percentage actually increased, from 24 in 1983 to 38 in 1991. The numbers for USA Today during the sampling period showed unsteadiness with 58 graphics, or 21 percent, related to stories in 1985; 46 graphics, or 24 percent, related to stories in 1987; and 55 graphics, or 38 percent, related to stories in 1989. Table 4 NEWSPAPER QUANTITATIVE GRAPHICS GRAPHICS CONTAINING PICTORIAL ELEMENTS NEWSPAPER/ NUMBER PERCENT YEAR New York Times 1981 10 9.1 1983 9 7.3 1985 3 2.3 1987 10 7.1 1989 3 1.7 1991 19 10.4 USA Today 1983 28 9.3 1985 102 36.4 1987 82 43.3 1989 93 64.6 1991 84 56.0 Wall Street Journal 1981 2 1.4 1983 4 2.7 1985 1 0.3 1987 1 0.4 1989 0 0.0 1991 2 0.5 The results indicated by Table 4 support Hypothesis IV which states: There will be a large increase in the use of pictorial or decorative elements in the graphics of USA Today during the sampling period. The use of pictorial or decorative elements will be negligible in graphics in the Wall Street Journal and only a minor component of graphics in the New York Times during the sampling period. RESULTS: The number of sampled graphics which contained pictorial elements in USA Today increased sharply from the start of the sampling period to the end. The number of graphics containing pictorial elements was indeed negligible in the Wall Street Journal and a minor component in graphics of the New York Times. The number of pictorial elements in graphics of USA Today increased greatly from 28, or 9.3 percent of the total, in 1983 to 84, or 56 percent in 1991. A large increase was made from 1983 to 1985 where 102 graphics with pictorial elements, or 36.4 percent of the total, were counted. In 1987, 82 graphics containing pictorial elements, or 43.3 percent, were counted and in 1989, 93 graphics, or 64.6 percent, were counted. Graphics with pictorial elements were almost nonexistent in the Wall Street Journal sample. In 1981, 2 graphics containing pictorial elements, or 1.4 percent of the total, were counted. The other years showed similar numbers: 1983, 4 graphics, or 2.7 percent; 1985, 1 graphic, or 0.3 percent; 1987, 1 graphic, or 0.4 percent; 1989, zero graphics; and 1991, 2 graphics, or 0.5 percent. The New York Times sample contained 10 graphics with pictorial elements, or 9.1 percent, in 1981; 9 graphics, or 7.3 percent, in 1983; 3 graphics, or 2.3 percent, in 1985; 10 graphics, or 7.1 percent, in 1987; 3 graphics, or 1.7 percent, in 1989; and 19 graphics, or 10.4 percent, in 1991. CHAPTER FIVE Discussion Graphics editors from the three newspapers used for this research project were contacted and asked to react to the data and conclusions drawn. The following discussions are graphics editors' commentary on the content of their informational graphics. New York Times Richard Meislin, a graphics editor at the New York Times since 1988, said that graphics in the Times must reach high standards every day in order to be considered for publication. "The way the Times news judgment works is that a graphic has to justify the space it takes on its news value. We have to convince a national editor, for example, that a two by five-inch graphic tells the story as well as, or better than, ten extra inches of text. When you come in with that theory you end up with a different kind of graphic than a paper like USA Today." Meislin said the Times tends to be more closely aligned with the content-driven "Tufte school" than the visual impact "Nigel Holmes school" when it comes to the substance of their graphics. "However, we have been trying over the past four years to make our graphics a bit less gray, a bit more interesting. We're trying now to strike a balance between high content and visual appeal in our graphics."<41> USA Today Richard Curtis, graphics director at USA Today had "no comment" on the results of this study.<42> Wall Street Journal Jim Condon, graphics director at the Wall Street Journal, could not be reached for a response to the results of this study. SUMMARY: The overall average data density of a quantitative graphic in the three newspapers differed widely. Sampled graphics in the Wall Street Journal had the highest average data density while those in the New York Times and USA Today had significantly lower average data densities. The overall average data density and the overall average area of quantitative graphics in the New York Times and USA Today increased over the sampling period while those in the Wall Street Journal decreased. The total number of sampled graphics in the New York Times and the Wall Street Journal increased over the sampling period while the total number of sampled graphics in USA Today decreased. The number of sampled quantitative graphics which had a story relationship increased during the sampling period in both the New York Times and the Wall Street Journal and decreased in USA Today. However, when percentages of graphics with a story relationship are compared, USA Today and the Wall Street Journal showed increases while the New York Times showed a decrease. The number of sampled quantitative graphics which contained pictorial elements in USA Today increased sharply during the sampling period. The number was negligible for the Wall Street Journal and only a minor component of graphics in the New York Times. CONCLUSIONS: Overall, the results of this study were not earthshaking, nor were they expected to be. The lack of steadiness in some of the increases and decreases provided some concern, but can be generally blamed on differences in news coverage during the years. Some results might raise an eyebrow but it is hoped that they raise questions instead. The intention of this work was not to provide the speculation but to start a foundation which it can be based on. It is easier to look back at this study and analyze what could have been done than look to the future and predict what will come. However, there are some concerns which might have been addressed more clearly if this type of study was to be conducted again. Three newspapers were used for this study: the New York Times, the Wall Street Journal and USA Today. One concern is that the circulations of the newspapers selected were too large for a truly representative analysis of the content of quantitative graphics in the country today. What would the results have been if the sample of newspapers used had a much broader range of circulations? An obvious second concern is that only three newspapers were sampled. Furthermore, two are located in New York City while the other is produced in Arlington, Virginia. What would the results have looked like if a greater number of newspapers which represented more locations in the United States--or for that matter, the world--were used? Was there an "East Coast" slant on the results? What about the use of some (or many!) local newspapers instead of three which were more national in their scope? Another concern is that the sampling period only allowed the counting of graphics for certain weeks from odd-numbered years starting in 1981. Was relevant data missed by sampling only from odd- numbered years and only from certain weeks? Informational graphics have appeared in newspapers for decades. What would the results show if the sampling period started in 1900 or 1920 and counted each year instead of every other year? The nature of the data density theory tested in this study only allowed for quantitative graphics to be sampled. The number of numbers and areas were easily counted. However, this limitation made necessary the total exclusion of informational graphics which were explanatory or spatial by nature since qualities associated with explanations and maps are difficult, if not impossible, to quantify. How does one accurately measure the information content of a weather map or a graphic showing a surgical procedure? It seems that until such a method is developed much of the analysis of informational graphics will necessarily remain subjective. While every attempt was made to conduct and present this study in a fair and equitable manner, an analysis of the results does provide some small opportunities for subjectivity. It should come as no surprise to those familiar with the three newspapers examined that the results generally confirmed Hypothesis I. However, the statement that the data density of graphics in the New York Times will fall just below those of the Wall Street Journal was, in fact, confirmed when looking at the most recent results. Graphics in the New York Times exhibited a large jump in average data density for the years 1989 and 1991, equaling average data densities of graphics in the Wall Street Journal for the period. This can be attributed to a renewed commitment to increased graphic content on the part of the staff of the New York Times in recent years. A look at the results corresponding to Hypothesis II provided some surprising findings. While the number of graphics rose modestly and at a steady pace in the New York Times, the increase was dramatic in the Wall Street Journal. An overall design change in the Wall Street Journal--from two to three daily sections in 1984--probably accounted for the rise. In the case of USA Today, a dramatic fall in the number of graphics--accompanied by an overall increase in their average data densities and average areas--could imply that an effort has been made to make the paper, or maybe just the graphics, more content-driven. That contention becomes more likely when the results corresponding to Hypothesis III are analyzed. The percentage of graphics related to stories--an indication that they are being used as adjuncts to text and not simply as context-less numbers--jumped markedly for USA Today during the sampling period. Curiously, the same rise occurred for graphics in the Wall Street Journal, signaling their efforts to accompany stand-alone graphics with text. Finally, the results corresponding to Hypothesis IV were rather surprising. While the percentages of graphics containing pictorial elements were pretty much as expected for the New York Times and the Wall Street Journal, those for USA Today were unexpected. A jump in excess of 45 percent was experienced during the sampling period. The ease with which drawings and illustrations can be produced using personal computers such as the Macintosh--and USA Today's propensity to employ them--has no doubt contributed to the rise. The state of informational graphics in newspapers has received a flurry of attention in recent years. 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Utt, "Reader Use & Understanding of Newspaper Infographics," Newspaper Research Journal, 11:28-41, 2 (1990). 22 James W. Tankard Jr., "Effects of Chartoons & Three- Dimensional Graphs on Interest & Information Gain," Newspaper Research Journal, 10:91-103, 3 (1989). 23Kelly, "Data-Ink Ratio," 639. 24 Daryl Moen, "Graphics Require Careful Editing," Presstime, August, 1989, pp. 15-17. 25 Silverstone, "Saying It with Images," 28. 26 William S. Cleveland and Robert McGill, "Graphical Perception: Theory, Experimentation, and Application to the Development of Graphical Methods," Journal of the American Statistical Association, 79:531-554, 387 (1984). 27 Michael Macdonald-Ross, "How Numbers are Shown," Audio- Visual Communication Review, 25:359-409, 4 (1977). 28 Bertin, Semiology of Graphics. 29Tufte, Visual Display, 96. 30 Kelly, "Data-Ink Ratio," 639. 31 Tufte, Visual Display, 139. 32 Wainer and Thissen, "Graphical Data Analysis," 222. 33 Tufte, Visual Display, 57. 34 S.L. Jarvenpaa, "Empirical Investigation of Tufte's "Lie Factor" with Computer Generated Graphics," presented to the Third IFAC/IFIP/IEA/IFORS Conference, Oulu, Finland, 1988. 35 Tufte, Visual Display, 13. 36 Ibid. 162-166 . 37Ibid. 168. 38 Ibid. 39 Mario R. Garcia, Contemporary Newspaper Design (Englewood Cliffs, NJ: Prentice Hall, 1987). Garcia, Contemporary Newspaper Design; Edward J. Smith and Donna J. Hajash, "Informational Graphics in 30 Daily Newspapers," Journalism Quarterly, 65:714-718, Fall (1988). Smith and Hajash, "Graphics in 30 Daily Newspapers;" Keith Kenney and Stephen Lacy, "Economic Forces Behind Newspapers' Increasing Use of Color and Graphics," Newspaper Research Journal, 8:33-41, 3 (1987). Kenney and Lacy, "Increasing Use of Color and Graphics;" and Kelly, "Data-Ink Ratio". 40 Smith and Hajash, "Graphics in 30 Daily Newspapers," 716. 41Richard Meislin, graphics editor for the New York Times. Telephone interview, 22 May 1992. 42Richard Curtis, graphics director for USA Today. Telephone interview, 20 May 1992. ###
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