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(Feb 2006) Thank you. Elliott Parker ====================================================================
American Network Television News Coverage of Latvia, Lithuania, and Estonia during 1990 and 1991: The Baltic States' Drive Toward and Attainment of Independence
Anthony Moretti, Ph.D. Assistant Professor College of Mass Communications Texas Tech University P.O. Box 43082 Lubbock, TX 79409 (806) 742-6500 x 250 [log in to unmask]
and
Norman E. Youngblood, Ph.D. Assistant Professor College of Mass Communications Texas Tech University P.O. Box 43082 Lubbock, TX 79409 (806) 742-6500 x 229 [log in to unmask]
Paper submitted to the Radio-Television Journalism division of AEJMC for possible presentation at the 2005 national convention in San Antonio
INTRODUCTION This study examines how American network television newscasts covered the unfolding and dangerous situation taking place in Latvia, Lithuania, and Estonia as these Soviet republics sought to break free of the USSR throughout 1990 and 1991 with an eye towards how the story was framed and what sources were used to tell the story. The authors employed the Vanderbilt University television abstracts in this study. The abstracts provided a brief sketch of each story that was disseminated regarding the political and military events inside the soon-to-be liberated Baltic nations. This information included who reported the story, what the story was about, and who, if anyone, delivered a sound bite. These abstracts could be accessed online through the Vanderbilt University Television Archive Web site (http://tvnews.vanderbilt.edu). The authors are aware of the recent constructive criticisms made by Althaus, Edy, and Phalen (2002) regarding the use of the abstracts, especially their comments that abstracts should not be surrogates for actual tapes of the newscasts, and that the abstracts provide an imprecise evaluation of the tone of policy statements. However, the authors of this study believe that the type of information that was gleaned from the abstracts alleviates some of the aforementioned concerns. On February 10, 1990, a Lithuanian delegate of the USSR's Supreme Soviet handed U.S. Secretary of State James Baker a letter telling him that Lithuania was planning to declare its independence (Oberdorfer, 2003). On March 11, Lithuania did just that, marking the beginning of the end of the Soviet Union. Soviet troops soon occupied many of the Lithuanian government buildings, and Soviet aircraft began conducting maneuvers over the breakaway republic. Within a few months, Estonia and Lithuania announced that they also were planning to leave the Soviet Union. As was the case in Lithuania, Soviet leader Mikhail Gorbachev ordered troops into those republics, but in the end he was unwilling to use the force needed to suppress the nationalists. In August 1991, Soviet hardliners attempted to oust Gorbachev. Their coup failed. Nationalist groups across the Soviet Union united—in part under the leadership of Boris Yeltsin, who would later become the president of Russia—against the conspirators. Upon his return to power, Gorbachev found himself running a country in the throes of disintegration. Unwilling, and probably unable, to exert the military force need to quell the nationalists, he recognized the independence of the Baltics. The collapse of the USSR was soon to be complete: On December 31, 1991 the USSR disappeared from the world stage and was replaced by the Commonwealth of Independent States (CIS). Latvia, Lithuania, and Estonia did not join that new affiliation consisting of many former Soviet republics (O'Conner, 2003). The independence movement in the Baltics caught the attention of the media across the world, as people paused to watch the one-time superpower face its mortality and disintegration. In the United States, reporting on the breakaway republics could have taken several directions: it could have been treated as a diplomatic story, focusing on U.S.-Soviet relations; it could have been treated as a political story, with a focus on internal Soviet politics; or it could have been covered as a military story, with a focus on the Soviet Union's deployment of military forces in the region. In the midst of what was unfolding inside the Soviet Union, the American media were faced with reporting on another major story, and it also had a significant military component. On August 2, 1990, Iraq invaded Kuwait. On August 7, George H.W. Bush deployed American troops to Saudi Arabia and began the process of developing an international coalition to liberate Kuwait. Five months later, on January 17, 1991, the United States and its allies began the military battle necessary to free Kuwait from the clutches of Saddam Hussein. Special attention in this study was not paid to what was happening in Iraq and Kuwait; however, the authors realize that those events placed a strain on the resources of the American media and ultimately compelled these media outlets to focus more attention on the Middle East, where American forces were directly involved in the crisis, and less attention on the Baltic states during the time that the drive for independence remained in high gear and an important item to the Bush administration.
HISTORICAL BACKGROUND The Baltic republics were latecomers to the Soviet Union, escaping the evils of Stalinism until 1940. All three had been part of the Russian Empire, but they succeeded in winning their independence during the Russian Civil War. The new nations owed their existence in part to a desire in the West to create a cordon sanitaire between the Soviet Union and Germany. The republics began as liberal democracies in the 1920s but once confronted with the economic and political chaos of the 1930s moved to what O'Conner (2003) and others referred to as "benign dictatorships." Cooperation among Latvia, Lithuania, and Estonia was limited during these years and usually demonstrated itself in bilateral rather than trilateral agreements. In the end, they became pawns in the nascent struggle between the Soviet Union and Nazi Germany. Their independence was signed away as part of the secret protocols of the 1939 Nazi-Soviet Non-Aggression Pact, which codified the division of Poland and the other parts of central-eastern Europe between Nazi Germany and the Soviet Union. The Soviet Union invaded the Baltics the following year, and its forces quickly began the process of collectivization and rounded up groups of people they believed would resist the takeover. Some 48,000 people were deported in only a few days in mid-1941 alone. In June 1941, Latvia, Lithuania, and Estonia were invaded again, this time by Nazi Germany. Soviet forces regained control of the region at the end of World War Two, and they restarted the process of collectivization and deportation of landowners and the intelligentsia (O'Conner, 2003). During the 1960s and 1970s, the Baltics became one of the most productive regions of the Soviet Union, particularly in terms of industry. In addition, the republics had closer ties to the West, when compared to other Soviet republics. Estonian residents could hear Finnish radio stations and make occasional visits to Finland across the Baltic Sea. Despite the relative wealth in the Baltic republics and frequent crackdowns by KGB security forces, the nationalist movements, though small, did not disappear. Russian immigration to the region and fears of Russification added fuel to the nationalist fires. In addition, as the Soviet Union attempted to escape the legacy of Stalin, the government was generally unwilling to resort to the mass shootings and deportations necessary to cow the entire population. Nationalism, while still subdued, was waiting for a chance to come to the fore (O'Conner, 2003) That chance came in 1985 with Gorbachev's election as General Secretary of the Communist Party of the Soviet Union. Two years later, he began the process of perestroika, the restructuring of the Soviet economy, and of glasnost, the open discussion of political, social, and economic problems and issues. The nationalist movements in the Baltic republics quickly took advantage of the policies. In June, Latvians held protests to mark the anniversary of the 1941 deportations. In August, nationalists across the three republics staged demonstrations to mark the anniversary of the 1939 Nazi-Soviet Non-Aggression treaty. In November, Lithuanians commemorated their country's 1918 declaration of independence. On August 23, 1989, the pro-nationalist group Baltic Way coordinated a human chain of more than 2 million people that stretched across Latvia, Lithuania, and Estonia to mark the 50th anniversary of the Nazi-Soviet pact (O'Conner, 2003). The nationalist movement continued to gain momentum in 1990, climaxing in Lithuania's declaration of independence. Soviet forces quickly occupied a number of government buildings, including the Institute for Party History and the Press House, the republic's main newspaper press. On the night of March 23, the army began driving military conveys around the Lithuanian parliament building while it was in session. Military helicopters began flyovers of the capital, frequently dropping pro-Soviet leaflets. Later in the month, the Soviet government ordered foreign journalists out of the republic. Lithuanian nationalists proved unwilling to be browbeaten or provoked into action. Gorbachev, worried about relations with West, was unwilling to unleash the full might of the Soviet military machine. With the threat of military force failing, he ordered a blockade of Lithuania on April 18, 1990, stopping the flow of oil, natural gas, and other items into the breakaway republic. The 75-day blockade was a failure. Relieved of the need to supply food to the rest of the Soviet Union, Lithuania had more food for the domestic market. In addition, with the Ignalina atomic station located in Lithuania, the republic was actually an energy exporter. Soviet citizens in other republics, faced with food shortages began to think "We should experience such a blockade" (Senn, 1995). By the end of the year, Gorbachev found himself forced to give the military a more active role. On January 7, 1991 Soviet paratroopers arrived in the republics, ostensibly to look for army deserters. One day later, more than 100 tanks rolled through the Lithuanian capital, Vilnius. Over the course of the next few days, Soviet troops once again surrounded the Press House, Parliament, and other government buildings. The people reacted quickly, filling Independence Square in the heart of the city and surrounding the television station to keep it from being taken off the air (Senn, 1995). On January 13, Soviet troops stormed the station, killing 15 people—an action that became known as Vilnius Massacre. Similar events unfolded in Latvia, where people put up barricades to prevent the Soviet army from taking important government buildings. Five Latvians were killed when on January 20 the army attacked Ministry of the Interior buildings (O'Conner, 2003). Gorbachev's decision to use force, so reminiscent of the oppressive actions taken by previous Soviet administrations, cost him both international and domestic support (Watson, 1998). Indeed, O'Conner (2003) credits international coverage of the events in the Baltics–particularly the attack on the television station in Vilnius–with having kept the Soviet leader from taking even harsher actions. In the end, Gorbachev was unwilling to commit the military force necessary to put down the independence movements, and he quickly distanced himself from the army's attacks on civilians. In August, Communist Party hardliners tried to overthrow him. They failed. In the process, they undermined what little faith people had left in the party. Estonia declared full independence on August 20. Latvia's declaration of independence came the next day. Republics throughout the Soviet Union followed suit. The Soviet Union officially recognized the independence of the Baltic nations on September 6, and at the end of the year it simply ceased to exist (O'Conner, 2003).
LITERATURE REVIEW Framing Entman (1991) suggested that frames are constructed from and embodied in the keywords, metaphors, concepts, symbols, and visual images that are emphasized within news narratives. Hall (in Curran, Gurevitch, and Wallacott, 1977) argued that over time the selection and repetition of certain codes become accepted as the dominant explanation for events that need definition. Gitlin (1980) defined frames as "persistent patterns of cognition, interpretation, and presentation, of selection, emphasis, and exclusion, by which symbol-handlers routinely organize discourse, whether visual or verbal." Hackett (1984) added that framing the news might not be a conscious act by journalists. Instead, he wrote, "It may well be the result of the unconscious absorption of assumptions about the social world in which the news must be embedded in order to be intelligible to the intended audience." In short, framing allows for a single interpretation to dominate news coverage; all other themes become inferior or are non-existent. Entman noted that government officials were especially adept at developing news frames that they hoped the media would adopt, which quite often they did. For example, he examined U.S. media coverage of the downing of two commercial jetliners and the corresponding frames that developed in the media. In sum, the shooting down of a Korean Air Lines plane by a Soviet military aircraft was a deliberate act that might have been approved by the Soviet government. However, the U.S. government was assigned no such moral culpability when one of its naval ships shot down an Iranian airliner. In a separate study, Jayakar (1997) found differences in the coverage of national elections in India and Israel in 1996. More stories were devoted to the Israeli elections, and more of them appeared on the front page. India, in a variety of ways, was portrayed as a "backward and mysterious region," which, according to Jayaker, reinforced the image Americans had of the country. Meanwhile, Israel was portrayed as ready for an historic election that would enhance peace prospects with the Palestinians; this was an explicit aim of Bill Clinton's administration. The media's unwillingness to seek out additional voices to help frame news coverage compounds the concerns associated with framing. Employing the "news net" approach suggested by Tuchman (1973) means that gathering information becomes a sure thing. Selected individuals and institutions are guaranteed to provide material that is presumed to be newsworthy because it flows from a credible, legitimate, and frequently used source. But this arrangement also allows the source to determine what kind of information, and how much, is released to the media at a particular time. Press Nationalism Closely associated with framing is the press nationalism model, which asserts that that the American media have allowed their political leaders, especially the executive branch, to dictate foreign news coverage about the communist world. Gans (1979) argued that the American media are inclined to cover some foreign news stories over others. Among the topics more likely to be reported are stories that involve the United States, involve countries with extensive dealings with the United States, and somehow suggest a communist country has been weakened because of an event or action. Gitlin (1980) added that the media – because they are part of the elite and support the status quo – are able (and do) criticize the U.S. government; however, they are not going to extend that criticism too far because their own legitimacy might then come into question. There has been substantial research in the area of press nationalism, and many studies have demonstrated that U.S. government officials are the primary, if not only, sources used in reporting of such stories. Dickson (1992) and Kieh (1992) reviewed media coverage of the ouster of president Manuel Noriega from Panama and found that the American government portrayed Noriega as an international drug dealer without offering any proof; however, the media reported these allegations. The media also ignored the long-standing political relationship that the U.S. had had with Noriega before he was removed. Meanwhile, Dickson (1989) and McCoy (1992) noted that the substance and tone of American press reports from El Salvador adopted U.S. government positions. A study by Kodrich (1998) found bias in the coverage two American newspapers gave to the 1990 and 1996 Nicaraguan presidential elections. Studies by Mowlana (1984) and Chang (1984, 1989) supported the press nationalism models in studies about coverage of the Shah of Iran and from China. Finally, Kim (2000) provided additional evidence for the press nationalism model in a study that found that student demonstrators in China were labeled in positive terms when compared with students protesting similar government policies in South Korea. The positions of the United States government in both instances mirrored that of the media. Herman and Chomsky's (1988) Manufacturing Consent: The Political Economy of the Mass Media is one of the more recognized works in the discussion of press nationalism. They suggested that the government and selected dominant private interests control news flow with one of the primary effects being the reduction in the number of voices helping to frame news coverage. They identified five filters that they said assisted the government and private interests in shutting out opposition voices. One of those filters was anti-communism. The authors contended that the easy-to-level charge that a news organization was too far left of center acted as a powerful limitation. Compounding this problem was that the charge that a journalist or news outlet was "red" needed no evidence in order to be supported. The authors argued that simply the fear of being labeled "red" affected the media. Coverage of the Soviet Union The American media traditionally provided a negative portrayal of the Soviet Union. Merz and Lippmann (cited in Salisbury, 1980) noted that in the first two years of the USSR's existence one American newspaper reported on 91 occasions that the Bolshevik regime was on the brink of collapse or had already fallen. Meanwhile, Winch (1999) examined editorial cartoons that appeared in three American newspapers during World War Two. He found that "Germany was portrayed as a much greater threat (to the United States), and was consistently depicted in editorial cartoons as a villainous and despicable totalitarian regime, while favorable cartoons of the Soviets were fairly common throughout the period." He added that it was during the war that many "American journalists seemed to admire the courage of the Soviets" and often wrote positive reports of their experiences with the citizenry. Walsh (1945) polled American public opinion about the Soviet Union toward the end of World War Two. He determined that a large majority of Americans held inaccurate beliefs about the Soviet state, its people, and the depth of support for the Communist Party within the USSR. Moreover, his survey found that Americans wavered on the question of whether they thought the Soviet Union could be trusted to remain cooperative with the United States once the war ended. At its zenith, only 51 percent of those surveyed believed good relations between the Americans and the Soviets would remain a constant of a post-war world. Larson (in Adams, 1982) found that between 1972 and 1981 the Soviet Union was one of four countries that received an exceptional amount of coverage on network television news. However, the coverage allotted to Eastern European nations – the Soviet's satellite states – was not as strong. Wanta, Golan, and Lee (2003) reported that Russia received the most mentions of all foreign countries in television news reports during the first nine months of 1998. More importantly, survey respondents considered Russia to be a country in which vital U.S. interests were at stake; and they demonstrated slightly negative feelings about Russia even though the Soviet regime had collapsed in 1991. McLean and Ikpah (1994) noted that throughout the 1980s more stories from the Soviet Union than any other foreign country appeared on American network television newscasts. Kreisberg (1946) found that a leading American newspaper gave more attention to negative news about the USSR than favorable news about it. Moretti (2002) reviewed New York Times' coverage of the entrance of the Soviet Union into the Olympic Games. His study found that stories written by the newspaper's reporters and columnists demonstrated a consistently negative tone toward the USSR, its reasons for entering the Olympics, and its willingness to abide by Olympic rules. However, stories written by the Associated Press or other wire services that made it into the same newspaper did not include similar negative frames. Moretti (2001) also examined network television news coverage of the 1980 and 1984 Olympic boycotts and found that American government and private sources appeared in the news far more than their Soviet counterparts. Moreover, he found that the achievements of Soviet athletes during the 1980 Games were largely ignored by the American media because of the absence of American athletes; however, no such discrediting of the achievements by U.S. athletes occurred in 1984 despite the absence of Soviet athletes. Huang and McAdams' (1995) examination of U.S., Chinese, and Taiwanese newspaper coverage of the failed 1991 coup in Moscow is worth mentioning. The authors determined that each country's coverage was biased and motivated to bolster the political agenda of their respective national governments. Specifically, they reported that the American and Taiwanese newspapers devoted more space to the on-going story; the American papers relied much more heavily on American government officials as sources than did reporters from the other nations; the American papers provided more detailed information about Boris Yeltsin and others opposing the coup; and American newspapers allowed the coup leaders to serve as sources on far fewer occasions than did the Chinese press. The authors concluded that political ideology and foreign policy played important roles in how much and what type of coverage appeared in each media outlet.
METHODOLOGY Cable television and the advent of newer media technologies continue to eat away at the audience share that America's over-the-air networks once enjoyed, but they remain a dominant news and entertainment source (Nielsen Media Research, 2002; Pew Research Center, 2004). Justification for examining television coverage stems from the recognition that television has supplanted the newspaper as the primary source Americans turn to for news. The coverage accorded to the so-called "breakaway" republics of Latvia, Lithuania, and Estonia offer an opportunity to examine whether network news producers, reporters, and anchors allowed American foreign policy interests to influence their reporting of these events. At the risk of overstating what was at stake during this time, the demise of the Soviet Union (manifested through the successful breaking away of selected republics) ensured the end of the Cold War, the collapse of communism, and the validation of America's political, social, and economic model. The authors included some of the key dates in the battle for independence in the Baltics. This chart also lists some of the more relevant events in the American-led effort to liberate Kuwait. As mentioned, one of the critical components connected to this study was how and if the events in the Middle East affected the amount of coverage from the Baltic region. 1990 • March 11 Lithuania declares independence • March 23 Soviet troops active in Vilnius • April 18 Soviet blockade of Lithuania begins • June 29 Soviet blockade of Lithuania ends • August 2 Iraq invades Kuwait • August 7 Beginning of Desert Shield
1991 • January 7 Soviet forces move into the Baltic republics • January 13 Vilnius Massacre: Soviet forces storm TV station in Vilnius • January 17 Beginning of Desert Storm • January 20 Five Latvians killed; Soviets storm Ministry of Interior buildings • February 9 Lithuanians vote to declare independence • March 3 Latvians and Estonians vote to declare independence • August 19 Soviet hardliners try to oust Gorbachev • August 21 Gorbachev returns to power • August 20 Estonia declares full independence • August 21 Latvia declares full independence • September 6 Soviet Union recognizes Latvia, Lithuania, and Estonia • September 17 Baltic nations admitted to the United Nations • December 31 The end of the Soviet Union
As mentioned, the authors employed the Vanderbilt University television abstracts in this study, and a census of all Monday through Friday stories focusing on Latvia, Lithuania, and Estonia that appeared on the three network evening newscasts was coded. The coding period began January 1, 1990 and concluded December 31, 1991. The January date corresponds to the beginning of the year in which the independence movement in the Baltics, as mentioned in the introduction, blossomed. The December date represents the dissolution of the Soviet Union. The authors chose to code all weekday stories on Latvia, Lithuania, and Estonia because of the short nature of the study. Weekend stories were not coded because of the periodic inconsistent nature of Saturday and Sunday network newscasts resulting from sports or other special programming. It is not uncommon for these newscasts to be either delayed or abandoned when special programming goes beyond its scheduled time frame. Five research questions were at the core of this project. RQ1 asked: Did the amount of stories from the breakaway republics decrease once American forces were deployed in the Middle East? Closely associated with RQ1 is RQ2: Did the stories from Latvia, Lithuania, and/or Estonia appear lower in the newscast once the American military was called upon to assist in the liberation of Kuwait? RQ3 asked: What types of stories were emanating from Latvia, Lithuania, and Estonia during 1990 and 1991? In other words, did stories from the breakaway republics focus on the domestic political struggle for independence, the real or threatened actions of the Soviet military, and/or international diplomatic efforts to avert a widespread killing of the populace? (A complete listing of the classification of stories can be found below.) A frame that had developed within the American media regarding the Soviet military was enhanced with the previously mentioned KAL tragedy. In short, the Soviet military was thought to be ruthless and probably operating under the direct orders of the Kremlin. Any action in any of the three Baltic republics, less than ten years after the airline accident, could easily be framed once again as evidence of the ruthless nature of the Soviet regime. Thus RQ4 asked: How will story placement vary based on story topic? In other words, would some stories be considered more newsworthy and more prominent (and therefore consistently appear earlier in the newscast) than others? Stories involving conflict, for example, are ones that by their very nature engender more media interest than stories about social trends. Because of this, conflict type stories (among others) might be considered more newsworthy and thus appear earlier in a newscast, when compared to non-conflict stories. For purposes of this study, the newscasts were blocked into ten minute segments. Stories that began in the first ten minutes were classified as "first third" stories. Those that began in the middle ten minutes were categorized as "second third" stories. Finally, those reports that began in the last ten minutes were classified as "final third" reports. Recognizing the importance of framing and the sourcing of news leads to RQ5: What sources assisted America's national television networks in discussing the events in Latvia, Lithuania, and Estonia in 1990 and 1991? A reliance on sources from the United States and its allies would tend to reinforce previously developed frames about the Soviet Union and its intentions in the Baltics. There were seven coded categories in this study. A short description of each is provided here. 1. Case: This category included information about the date a story was aired and the network which aired it. 2. Year: This category reflected the year in which the story aired. Only two options existed here: 1990 or 1991. 3. Network: The three national, over-the-air networks were included in this study. The coders were to select ABC, CBS, or NBC. The information about which network aired a story is found on each abstract available through Vanderbilt University database. 4. Latvia and/or Lithuania, and/or Estonia: This category indicated whether Latvia, Lithuania, and/or Estonia were discussed in the network news report. 5. Story classification: One of 14 possible categories characterized the type of story that appeared in the newscast. Those categories were domestic politics; diplomacy and foreign affairs; economics; war and defense; domestic crime; public health and welfare; public moral problems; accidents and disasters; transportation and travel; agriculture; education and the arts; science and invention; popular amusements; and general human interest. 6. Appearance: This category reflected whether the story from or about Latvia, Lithuania, and/or Estonia appeared in the first-, second-, or final-third of the newscast. The start time of the story (available on the abstract) determined the answer to this category. 7. Sources: Government, military, business, academic/think tank, health care, religious, human rights/international aid organizations, journalists, and private individuals representing Latvia, Lithuania, Estonia, other Soviet republics, the Soviet Union, the United States, and all other countries were potential sources. All sources that were quoted either directly or indirectly in any news story were considered a source, for purposes of this study. The authors along with two graduate research assistants acted as the coders during this study. Intercoder reliability, borrowed from Stempel and Westley (1989) and based on percentage of agreement, ranged from 100 percent for date, year, network, republics mentioned, and appearance in newscast, to 98 percent for story classification, to 86 percent for sources, for an overall percentage of agreement of 97 percent (all figures rounded).
RESULTS A total of 407 stories from or about Latvia, Lithuania, and/or Estonia appeared on the three over-the-air networks during 1990 and 1991 (see Table 1). Slightly more than 71 percent (289 of 407) of those stories appeared in 1990. ABC delivered the most stories in 1990 (ABC – 102, CBS – 93, NBC – 94), and ABC and CBS delivered the most stories in 1991 (ABC – 42, CBS – 42, NBC – 34). These findings suggest that the "story" about the impending collapse of the Soviet Union was written in the republics in 1990. However, by 1991, the internal conflict within the Kremlin (including the failed August coup) had assumed the principal attention of the U.S. television networks. And, as mentioned, by the end of that year, the Soviet Union had dissolved. Moreover, the sharp drop in the number of stories reflects that American network television had turned its attention to another crisis: The U.S.-led war against Iraq, which began in January 1991. (Please see Table 2, for a month-by-month breakdown of stories that aired in calendar years 1990 and 1991.) Thus, support for RQ1 was found: The deployment of American forces in Kuwait and the Middle East did lead to a decrease in the number of stories from and about the Baltic states. The potential effect that this incident had on the coverage of the drive for independence within the Baltics will be addressed further in the discussion section. As mentioned, RQ2 asked: Did the stories from Latvia, Lithuania, and Estonia appear lower in the networks' newscasts once American forces were deployed in the Middle East? The answer to this question is yes. Table 3 refers to the placement of stories throughout 1990 and 1991. Almost seven out of every ten stories (201 of 289, 69.5 percent) in 1990 coming out of the Baltics appeared in the initial ten minutes of a network newscast. Almost one in four (72 of 289, 24.9 percent) appeared in the middle ten minutes of the newscast, and only 16 of 289 stories (5.5 percent) aired in the final ten minutes of the newscast. The percentages were much different in 1991, when only 58 of 118 stories (49.1 percent) were shown in the first ten minutes. More than one-third of all stories (41 of 118, 34.7 percent) appeared in the middle of the newscast, and 19 of 118 stories (16.1 percent) aired in the final ten minutes of news programs. In short, the first two research questions demonstrate that there was less interest in and less prominence placed on stories from the Baltics once American military forces were dispatched to the Middle East. These findings should not be surprising when one recognizes that the involvement of American troops in the Middle East necessitated that news coverage shift to that part of the world. The amount of coverage and the prominence attached to American forces at war in the Middle East ensured that reporting from other international hotspots – including the Baltics – would decline. The third research question associated with this study asked: What stories were emanating from Latvia, Lithuania, and Estonia during 1990 and 1991? The results that are contained in Table 4 suggest that in 1990 the "story" within the Baltics was viewed as a political one, as the governments in Riga, Vilnius, and Tallinn maneuvered toward freedom from the Soviet state; however, one year later the spotlight had shifted to the military conflicts taking place in Latvia, Lithuania, and Estonia as the three continued to press ahead toward their independence. In 1990, 190 stories concerning the political actions of the three Baltic governments aired on the three American television networks. This represented almost two-thirds (190 of 289, 65.7 percent) of all Baltic-related stories during that year. One year later, the percentage of domestic political stories dropped to less than 50 percent of all stories (51 of 118, 43.2 percent); however, this item remained the most discussed element on the three networks. In 1990, less than 6 percent (16 of 289, 5.5 percent) of all stories focused on issues of war and defense; one year later more than one in four stories (33 of 118, 28 percent) focused on that topic. As mentioned, only domestic political acts received more attention. The increasing number of stories about war and defense (combined with the overall decrease in attention paid to the Baltics because of the situation in the Middle East) during 1991 led to sizable drops in stories relating to international affairs and economics. In 1990, almost 14 percent (40 of 289, 13.8 percent) of all stories described the diplomatic and foreign affairs efforts of the three Baltic states. A similar number of stories highlighted economic issues. However, by 1991, the number of reports about diplomatic efforts fell to 23; the decline in the number of overall Baltic-related reports meant that the percentage of stories about the topic in this year actually increased, when compared to 1990, to almost 20 percent (23 of 118, 19.4 percent). The number of stories about economic issues all but disappeared in 1991. Only two stories (1.7 percent) dealt with this issue. In short, by 1991 the attention of the American television networks was focused squarely on government and military actions; all other topics essentially were removed from the media agenda. It could be argued that as the number of reports declined so did the breadth of coverage: The Baltics were seen as a political and economic battlefield in 1991. The authors contend that the complexity of coverage from 1990 was now evident in the Middle East, which was the focal point of international reporting. RQ4 asked: How will story placement vary based on story topic? Tables 5a (covering 1990) and 5b (covering 1991) assist in the reporting of this answer, which is a mixed one. On one hand, certain topics were more likely to appear earlier in the newscast; however, in 1990 an overwhelming majority of stories about the Baltic nations aired during the initial ten minutes of the news programs. This was not the case in 1991. Especially in 1990 America's network television news producers, reporters, and anchors considered prominent stories about the domestic politics, diplomacy, and economics of the Baltic nations. More than six of every ten (119 of 190, 62.7 percent) domestic political stories aired in the first ten minutes of the networks' newscasts. Meanwhile, almost nine of ten (35 of 40, 87.5 percent) reports pertaining to diplomatic efforts appeared in the initial ten minutes of a news program. Finally, eight of every ten stories (32 of 40, 80 percent) relating to economic issues appeared in the first ten minutes. Overall in 1990 almost seven of every ten stories (201 of 289, 69.6 percent) were disseminated in the "first third" of all newscasts. By 1991 there was a noticeable shift: Domestic political and diplomatic stories remained prominent "first third" stories; however, the percentage of those stories appearing in that timeslot declined. Slightly more than half (27 of 51, 53 percent) of the domestic political stories remained "first third" stories, and almost two of every three (15 of 23, 65.2 percent) reports relating to diplomatic efforts aired in the initial ten minutes of a news program. Perhaps the most interesting result is that the data show in 1991 less than one in four (7 of 33, 21.2 percent) reports relating to the actions of the Soviet military and/or the response to those actions appeared in the "first third" of the newscast. Overall in 1991 almost one-half (58 of 118, 49.2 percent) of all reports relating to Latvia, Lithuania, and/or Estonia were placed in the initial ten minutes of a network newscast. These findings relating to coverage in 1990 and 1991 provide perhaps the strongest evidence that the U.S. military's deployment and engagement in the Middle East affected media coverage from and about the Baltic nations. In 1990, more stories were disseminated about this region and they were given prominent placement in the newscasts. In 1991, there were fewer stories and they were not guaranteed a "first third" classification. Finally, RQ5 asked: What sources assisted America's national television networks in discussing the events in Latvia, Lithuania, and Estonia in 1990 and 1991? Table 6 reports these results. Overall, Soviets (248 of 777, 31.9 percent) and Lithuanians (30.2 percent) were the most frequently used sources. Americans (179 of 777, 23 percent) were the third most frequently used. Soviet (157 of 443, 35.4 percent) and Lithuanian sources (149, 33.6 percent) were the most often used in stories relating to domestic political acts. Both dwarfed the number of appearances made by Americans (69, 15.5 percent) when this topic was discussed on network television news programs. Similarly, stories relating to war and defense also saw more Lithuanian (34 of 95, 35.8 percent) and Soviet sources (31, 32.6 percent) than American sources (18, 18.9 percent). These findings perhaps suggest that U.S. news producers, reporters, and anchors considered "local" sources better suited to report what was happening in the Baltics. However, Americans were the most often used sources when stories were disseminated relating to diplomacy and foreign relations (63 of 135, 46.7 percent). They also were heavily used in reports centering on economic issues (29 of 86, 33.7 percent). These findings could suggest that topics that were more abstract or had a direct effect on actual or potential American actions required, in the minds of the news professionals, U.S. sources to assist in making them understandable. As mentioned, Lithuanian sources were used most often, and they spoke on a variety of topics. However, their Baltic neighbors made only sporadic appearances on network news programs. Latvians were used as sources on only 42 occasions (5.4 percent of all sources), and Estonians appeared only 25 times (3.2 percent). One possible explanation for this imbalance in Baltic sources is that the push for Baltic independence in 1990 began in Lithuania; thus, government officials and others from that country had more time to frame the independence movement. At the same time, their efforts drew the most attention from the Soviet government and it was in Lithuania where Soviet troops were sent first in an effort to derail the independence drive. Finally, further evidence that the situation in the Middle East dominated the attention of American sources (at the expense of what was happening in the Baltics) in 1991 can be seen in Table 7, which reviews the use of those sources during both calendar years examined in this study. More than three of every four U.S. sources (135 of 179, 75.4 percent) appeared on American television newscasts in 1990. In 1991, they made far fewer appearances in stories relating to politics and government (14, versus 55 in 1990), diplomacy and foreign relations (19, versus 44), and economics (1, versus 28). It was only when stories related to war or other military issues (10, versus 8) that American sources made more appearances than they had during the previous year.
DISCUSSION This study examined American network television news coverage of a specific aspect of the collapse of the USSR: the pursuit and attainment of independence by the so-called "breakaway" republics of Latvia, Lithuania, and Estonia during 1990 to 1991. The independence movement in the Baltics received substantial network television coverage in 1990; however, in 1991 coverage waned, principally because of the Gulf War. On August 2, 1990, Iraqi forces invaded Kuwait. Five months later, the United States launched Operation Desert Storm and began the process of liberating the country. Given the importance of Persian Gulf oil reserves to the United States and the deployment of American troops to the chronically volatile Middle East, it should not be surprising that reporting on Latvia, Lithuania, and Estonia declined because of media attention being refocused to the Middle East. Network coverage of the Baltic region was at its highest between January and June 1990, a period before Saddam Hussein ordered his military into Kuwait. The networks averaged 46.7 stories per month, reaching a high of 83 stories in April (see Table 2). Coverage fell to only two stories in July, indicating that the networks viewed the situation there as having reached a stalemate (the second factor accounting for the decline in overall reporting from the region). Coverage all but disappeared until January 1991, with only four stories being disseminated in these five months. It took the deaths of protestors in Latvia and Lithuania and an attack by the Soviet military in January 1991 to erase the image of the stalemate and bring the area back into the news. However, the coverage did not approach the depth and scope of the reporting in 1990; only 40 stories in the month of January appeared on network television. Of these stories, 12 (30 percent) appeared in the final ten minutes of the newscast. This is particularly striking because of the 407 stories on the three republics in 1990 and 1991, only 36 occurred in the last third of the newscast. Clearly, the Gulf War and the commitment of American military forces to it continued to dominate American television news coverage; however, the appearance of these stories on the newscasts indicates the importance the media attached to the region. Coverage of the three Baltic republics for all intents and purposes disappeared again until August 1991, despite referendums in February and March that overwhelmingly reaffirmed moves towards independence—the networks totaled only seven stories in each of the two months. Again, without the Gulf War, it is likely that there would been a more thorough media examination of these events given the tremendous interest in the region only a year earlier. When the republics returned to the media spotlight, it was as part of their final drive to independence and the failed August 1991 coup. The number of stories on the republics jumped to 28 in August and 22 in September, the month that the Soviet Union finally recognized Latvian, Lithuanian and Estonian independence. The last three months of the year saw only one story each on the new nations. The story of independence had been overshadowed by the death throes of the Soviet Union. The political situation in Moscow had once again become the principal story, as viewed by America's three over-the-air television news programs. The American television networks tended to frame their reporting of the independence movements more as a political story than as a military one. This research found that almost six of every ten stories (241 of 407, 59.2 percent) from the Baltics dealt with the fluid political situation inside the three republics. This attention to domestic politics among the American media is likely due to the importance the political situation in the Soviet Union had on the American government dating to the end of World War Two. The Cold War ensured that the Americans saw the Soviets as their principal political enemy. Thus, according to successive American governments, it was necessary to prevent the Soviets from spreading Communist ideology around the world. Had Eastern Europe (and specifically the Soviet Union) been a less important area of the world, it seems likely that the coverage from Latvia, Lithuania, and Estonia would have focused more on the military aspect of the story. While stories mentioning the Soviet military were more likely to show up in the early portions of the newscast, these stories were substantially less likely to appear in the beginning of the newscast, when compared to strictly political, diplomatic, or economic stories. This finding again highlights the political importance of the Baltics and the Soviet Union to the United States. In addition, the story of Baltic independence, at least in Lithuania, was largely told by Lithuanian and Soviet sources, something that might have been much less likely had the region been unimportant to the United States. American sources only begin to dominate the story when it became a diplomatic issue, and then they overshadowed Soviet and all other sources.
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Table 1: Yearly Breakdown of Stories, All Three Networks ABC CBS NBC Total 1990 102 93 94 289 1991 42 42 34 118 Total 144 135 128 407
Table 2: Number of Stories from and/or about Latvia, and/or Lithuania, and/or Estonia
Jan Feb Mar Apr May Jun Jul Aug Sep Oct Nov Dec 1990 25 22 68 83 55 27 2 0 0 1 3 0 1991 40 7 7 1 0 5 6 28 22 1 1 1
Table 3: Placement of Stories from the Baltic region; 1990 and 1991 First-Third Second-Third Final-Third Total 1990 201 (69.5%) 72 (24.9%) 16 (5.5%) 289 1991 58 (49.1%) 41 (34.7%) 19 (16.1%) 118 Total 259 113 35 407
Table 4: Stories from the Baltics, 1990-1991 1990 1991 Total Politics/Government 190 (78.9%) 51 (21.1%) 241 Diplomacy/For. Affairs 40 (63.5%) 23 (36.5%) 63 Economics 40 (95.2%) 2 (4.8%) 42 War/Defense 16 (32.7%) 33 (67.3%) 49 Domestic Crime 1 (16.7%) 5 (83.3%) 6 Health/Welfare 1 (100%) 0 (0%) 1 Public Moral Problems 0 (0%) 2 (100%) 2 Accidents/Disasters 0 (0%) 1 (100%) 1 Transport/Travel 0 0 0 Agriculture 0 0 0 Education/Arts 0 0 0 Science/Invention 0 0 0 Popular Amusements 0 0 0 Human Interest 1 (50%) 1 (50%) 2 Total 289 118 407
Table 5a: Placement in Newscast of All Story Topics (1990) Topic First-Third Second-Third Final Third Total Politics/Government 119 (62.7%) 60 (31.6%) 11 (5.8%) 190 Diplomacy 35 (87.5%) 3 (7.5%) 2 (5%) 40 Economics 32 (80%) 6 (15%) 2 (5%) 40 War/Defense 12 (75%) 3 (18.8%) 1 (6.3%) 16 Domestic Crime 1 (100%) 0 (0%) 0 (0%) 1 Health/Welfare 1 (100%) 0 (0%) 0 (0%) 1 Pub. Moral Probs. 0 0 0 0 Accidents/Disasters 0 0 0 0 Transport/Travel 0 0 0 0 Agriculture 0 0 0 0 Education/Arts 0 0 0 0 Science/Invention 0 0 0 0 Popular Amusement Amusements 0 0 0 0 Human Interest 1 (100%) 0 (0%) 0 (0%) 1 Total 201 (69.6%) 72 (25%) 16 (5.5%) 289
Table 5b: Placement in Newscast of All Story Topics (1991) Topic First-Third Second-Third Final Third Total Politics/Government 27 (53%) 17 (33%) 7 (13.8%) 51 Diplomacy 15 (65.2%) 5 (21.7%) 3 (13%) 23 Economics 1 (50%) 1 (50%) 0 (0%) 2 War/Defense 7 (21.2%) 17 (51.5%) 9 (27.2%) 33 Domestic Crime 5 (100%) 0 (0%) 0 (0%) 5 Health/Welfare 0 0 0 0 Pub. Moral Probs. 2 (100%) 0 (0%) 0 (0%) 2 Accidents/Disasters 1 (100%) 0 (0%) 0 (0%) 1 Transport/Travel 0 0 0 0 Agriculture 0 0 0 0 Education/Arts 0 0 0 0 Science/Invention 0 0 0 0 Popular Amusement 0 0 0 0 Human Interest 0 (0%) 1 (100%) 0 (0%) 1 Total 58 (49.2%) 41 (34.7%) 19 (16.1%) 118
Table 6: Use of All Sources by Country and Topic Soviet Republic Latvia Lithuania Estonia USSR USA Other Total Politics/Gov. 8 24 149 17 157 69 19 443 Diplomacy/For.Rel. 0 6 16 4 37 63 9 135 Economics 0 1 34 0 15 29 7 86 War/Defense 1 5 34 3 31 18 3 95 Domestic Crime 0 0 2 0 5 0 0 7 Health/Welfare 0 5 0 0 0 0 0 5 Moral Problems 0 1 0 1 3 0 0 5 Accidents 0 0 0 0 0 0 1 1 Transport/Travel 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 Agriculture 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 Education/Arts 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 Science/Invention 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 Pop. Amusements 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 Human Interest 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 TOTAL 9 42 235 25 248 179 39 777
Table 7: Distribution of American Sources, 1990 and 1991 1990 1991 Total Politics/Government 55 14 69 Diplomacy/ For. Rel. 44 19 63 Economics 28 1 29 War/Defense 8 10 18 Domestic Crime 0 0 0 Health/Welfare 0 0 0 Moral Problems 0 0 0 Accidents 0 0 0 Transport/Travel 0 0 0 Agriculture 0 0 0 Education/Arts 0 0 0 Science/Invention 0 0 0 Pop. Amusements 0 0 0 Human Interest 0 0 0 Total 135 44 179
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