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Fox News and its links to Hawkish support for the war in Iraq
Christopher E. Beaudoin Assistant Professor Department of Telecommunications Indiana University-Bloomington 313 Radio-Television Center Bloomington, IN 47405 812-856-5690 [log in to unmask]
Michael Antecol Director of Online Research Frank N. Magid Associates, Inc. Iowa City, IA
Esther Thorson Associate Dean for Graduate Studies and Research School of Journalism University of Missouri-Columbia Columbia, MO
Please send all correspondence to the first author.
Submitted for potential presentation to the Radio-Television Journalism Division at the annual conference of the Association for Education in Journalism and Mass Communication, Kansas City, 2003
April 1, 2003
Fox News and its links to Hawkish support for the war in Iraq
Abstract With telephone survey data from March 2003, this paper examines cable TV news dependency and links to attitudes and behaviors related to the war in Iraq. Fox News dependents are more supportive of the war effort than are other cable news dependents. Fox News dependents who watch the broadcasts more often are more supportive of the war effort than are other Fox News dependents. Findings are discussed in terms of news content and the concepts of media dependency and "television diplomacy."
Fox News and its links to Hawkish support for the war in Iraq
News coverage of the ongoing war in Iraq and its lead up has been instantaneous, momentous and mountainous. In the U.S. media, coverage has come in different forms, from different media, with different slants and approaches. News users have had access via traditional media such as newspaper, radio, and local and network news. In addition, Americans who seek immediate and continuous coverage of the war have been able to turn to the Internet and cable TV. Coverage of the five main cable TV news outlets—CNN, CNN Headline News, MSNBC, CNBC, and Fox—has shared much in common. The coverage has been prolific, urgent and around-the-clock, mixing the commentaries of U.S. and foreign diplomats and military specialists, news anchors and reporters, and ordinary U.S. and Iraqi citizens. There appear to be important differences, as well. Fox News coverage relies on stronger language and less on visual images (Stanley, 2003b). Anchors have made note of American troops "shellacking" Iraqi troops and have described Saddam Hussein as being "twisted." In addition, Fox News is more conservative—or, at least, less liberal. The network has been a strong proponent of the war effort. It has displayed overt patriotism (Kirkpatrick, 2003), with anchors serving as war cheerleaders (Stanley, 2003b). "Fox's commitment to boosting the war effort seemed to revive the old French theory that art and journalism should be put at the service of ideology," writes Stanley in the New York Times (Stanley, 2003b: p. 15). "It is the definition of patriotism that cleaves Fox from other newsrooms. Fox embraces a passionate partisanship." Furthermore, Fox News commentator Bill O'Reilly described ABC News anchor, Peter Jennings, as being an "internationalist … who puts foreign countries on the same plane as the United States in the war on terror" (Stanley, 2003c). This role is not new. During the Gulf War, the media played a similar role. For example, Ted Koppel used the pronoun "we" when referring to the U.S. government (O'Heffernan, 1993). Support for the war takes different forms, including overt support and the interviewing retired military officers and the relatives of current members of the military. Such coverage goes against the concept of objectivity, which is supposedly a hallmark of American journalism. The role of journalists has been diverse. In a matter of hours, Peter Arnett, of NBC and National Geographic Explorer, went from insider (serving as the last American to report from Baghdad) to outsider (being fired for criticizing the U.S. war effort when being interviewed on Iraqi TV) (Stanley, 2003d). Arnett's role as a CNN correspondent in the Gulf War was much the same—as was the result (Milavsky & Galceran, 1993). Arnett's participation in both wars shows the oddity of contemporary journalism, where, one second, a person can interview and, the next, be interviewed. In this way, the line between journalist and non-journalist is blurred, as is the line between objective and subjective news reporting. In these ways and more, it is clear that that the mass media have played an incredibly important role in the war in Iraq. Iraqi TV has been a conduit for the United States to keep tabs on the Iraqi leadership and, more importantly, for Iraq to foster and spur national and international opposition to the war. In the United States, coverage of the war has served a mixed role—keeping Hawks and Doves, alike, informed about the day-to-day operations and results of the war effort. The coverage in both U.S. and Iraqi media exemplifies what O'Heffernan (1993) calls "television diplomacy" and what Hiebert (1993) looks at in terms of public relations. Simply put, for a war effort to be successful, it must be supported by the public. In terms of the war in Iraq, this plays into both sides. Iraqi TV seeks to portray Iraqi forces as an underdog achieving success against a Zionist power, while U.S. media aim to show U.S. forces to be successful in bringing freedom—and, ostensibly democracy—to a land plagued by the evil regime of Saddam Hussein. In the current paper, we explore the effects that different styles of cable news coverage may be having on the American public. With telephone survey data from March 2003, we examine patterns in cable TV news dependency and their links to 1) demographics and 2) attitudes and behaviors related to the war. Relying on important research in the area of media dependency theory, we offer a picture of who is relying most on various cable TV news stations for information about the war and how this coverage may be related to American attitudes and behaviors related to U.S. involvement in Iraq. We then examine whether amount of exposure appears to be associated with these attitudes and behaviors.
Foreign Affair Attitudes Attitudes are "relatively enduring orientations toward objects" (Hennessy, 1972: 27). Raven and Rubin (1983) said attitudes are "our evaluations of objects, our 'likes and dislikes'" (p. 129), and Marlowe (1971) explained that attitudes consist of thoughts, feelings, and action. Recent research has articulated useful dimensions to attitudes toward U.S. foreign affairs: isolationism, militarism, and multilateralism (Chittick & Billingsley, 1989); identity, security, and prosperity (Chittick, Billingsley, & Travis, 1995); cold war internationalists, post-cold war internationalists, and isolationalists (Holsti, 1979); isolation and internationalism (Holsti, 1996); accomodationists, internationalists, isolationists, and hardliners (Wittkopf, 1976, 1981, 1987); and militarism, isolationism, and containment (Hurwitz & Peffley, 1987, 1993, 1997). Although these research studies, importantly, indicate that American attitudes toward foreign affairs are not random or unstructured—and that they can be predicted with demographics such as gender, political party identification, political ideology, and education (Peffley & Hurwitz, 1993)—the studies do not get at the important relationship between these attitudes and news portrayals in the U.S. media. Few studies have examined this important relationship. In one study, Snyder (1993) found no association between mass media use and support for the Gulf War. In another study of attitudes toward U.S. involvement in the Gulf War, Gunter and Wober (1993) found a significantly positive relationship with media use. In addition, Fan (1993) found that public opinion about the Gulf War appeared to follow media content of the conflict. In other, somewhat related studies, Robinson, Chivian and Tudge (1989) demonstrated a positive association between media use and attitudes toward international relations, while Yatani and Bramel (1989) found that American attitudes toward the Soviet Union fluctuate in relation to news happenings. In an even broader sense, the findings are mixed. Some researchers suggest that the media play a powerful role in attitudinal development (Herman & Chomsky, 1988), while others indicate that the relationship is negligible at best (Curran, Gurevitch, & Woollacott, 1982).
Media Dependency Theory Media system dependency is viewed as a macro-level theory (Ball-Rokeach, 1998), with the interaction between society and the individual at its core (Ball-Rokeach, 1985; Ball-Rokeach & DeFleur, 1976). Media dependency research asks respondents how dependent they are upon certain media outlets for certain types of information (Ball-Rokeach, 1985; Grant, Guthrie, & Ball-Rokeach, 1991; Loges, 1994; Loges & Ball-Rokeach, 1993). Related research suggests that societal change and conflict influence media motives and, subsequently, media dependency (Ball-Rokeach, 1998; Ball-Rokeach & DeFleur, 1976; Tichenor et al., 1973). In summary, the theory holds that media dependency rises in times of societal change and conflict, with this dependency leading to heightened levels of media effects on variables such as knowledge and attitudes. Ball-Rokeach (1998) and Rubin and Windahl (1986) contended that personal goals, needs and motives affect media dependencies. In what Ball-Rokeach (1998) calls "the ecology of individual media system," media dependency rises from an assortment of inputs including personal goals and individual differences. Personal goals, in turn, are predicted by individual differences and a person's sense of the environment, which includes both personal ambiguity and threat and societal change and conflict.
Expectations The above literature gives rise to several expectations for our study. We would expect that Fox News would have the largest number of dependents because of its top viewing ratings in recent years. In addition, if Fox News' coverage is rife with pro-war and patriotic appeals, it would make sense that dependents of the channel would be more supportive of the war than would dependents of other cable news channels. We also explore links between cable news dependencies and behaviors related to the war in Iraq. Finally, we would expect that the more dependents are exposed to their cable news channel of choice, the more supportive of the war they would be.
Methods A telephone survey of American adults was conducted from March 6 to March 27, 2003. To create the sample, we obtained email lists from 31 television stations across the country and invited news viewers to participate. This approach was followed to ensure a sample of news users from an assortment of U.S. markets. The total number of emails sent was 166,781, but about 30% were "undeliverable" and yet others—it can be assumed—went unread. Subsequently, 6,434 telephone surveys were completed, with 373 screenouts. No incentives were given to survey respondents. The mean length of the telephone interviews was 19.2 minutes (sd. 1.5).
Measures Descriptive statistics appear in Table 1. Demographics included age, education, ethnicity (W=1), income, gender (M=1), and political party. For age, there were nine groupings: 18-24; 25-29; 30-34; 35-39; 40-44; 45-49; 50-54; and over 55. Respondents were asked if they viewed themselves as being Democrats, Republicans, Independents, or other. A dummy variable was used for Republican (1) or not (0). We measured education on an 8-point scale, from "junior high school/middle school" (1) to "university—doctorate degree" (8). Household income was measured on a 9-point scale, from "less than $25,000" (1) to "$200,000 or more" (9). There were 11 attitudinal and behavioral statements (see Appendix). Factor analysis (principal components with Varimax rotation) indicated two factors (see Table 2). Factor 1, which involved six statements (alpha=.81), is labeled "support for U.S. military involvement." Factor 2, with the remaining five statements (alpha=.72), is labeled "behaviors related to U.S. military involvement." There were two statements for media dependency. First, respondents (N=6,807) were asked, "Which one of the following media do you depend on most to get your news and information about the possible war in Iraq?" Responses included local TV news (28.8%), network TV news (19.4%), cable news channels (32%), newspapers (3.6%), radio (3.7%), magazines .2%), and the Internet (10.3%). Those who responded "cable TV channels" (N=2,061) were then asked which cable station they were most dependent upon. Responses were CNN (26.9%), CNN Headline News (14.5%), Fox News Channel (45.9%), CNBC (1%), and MSNBC (10.7%). To measure exposure to their dependent news outlet, respondents were then asked, "After you start watching <enter first-choice cable news channel>, for how long do you watch?" Responses were as follows: five minutes (1); 10 minutes (2); fifteen minutes (3); 30 minutes (4); 45 minutes (45); 60 minutes (6); and more than 60 minutes (7).
Data Analysis There were three main steps to data analysis. First, multivariate analysis of variance was used to examine whether the means of demographic measures differed by cable news channel dependency. The findings were as follows: gender (F=6.82, p<.001); age (F=1.73, p<.124); education (F=1.86, p<.098); income (F=3.54, p<.003); ethnicity (F=.65, p<.662); and the Republican dummy (F=27.09, p<.001). An a priori Tukey test indicated that gender was significantly different in the following comparisons: CNN vs. CNN Headline News; CNN vs. Fox News; and CNN Headline News vs. MSNBC. In the case of income, the difference was significant only for Fox News vs. MSNBC. For the Republican dummy variables, differences were significant for each of the five Fox News comparisons. These findings can be better understood with reference to Table 1. For example, 60% of Fox News viewers were Republicans, as compared to less than 50% for each of the other four cable news channels. Second, univariate analysis of variance, with the political dummy variable used as a controlling factor, was employed to test whether the two war measures (support for U.S. military involvement and behaviors related to U.S. military involvement) were different according to cable news channel dependency. The means for behaviors related to U.S. military involvement did not differ significantly according to cable news channel dependency (F=3.23, p<.112). In contrast, there were significant differences between the means for support for U.S. military involvement according to cable news channel dependency (F=5.24, p<.047). Tukey tests indicated significant differences between cable news channel means for this factor in terms of each of the five Fox News comparisons. Thus, Fox News dependents have higher levels of support than do the dependents of the other cable news channels. Third, hierarchical regression analysis was implemented. The Republican dummy variable was inserted in the first step, with the exposure measure in the second step. Separate analyses were run on dependents of the cable news channels. In the analyses, the dependent variables were support for U.S. military involvement and behaviors related to U.S. military involvement. Results are depicted in Tables 3 and 4. As noted in Table 3, the exposure measure was positively associated with support for U.S. military involvement in the Fox News and MSNBC models. Thus, the more dependents watch these news channels, the more supportive they are of the war effort. As noted in Table 4, there is one significant association between exposure and behaviors related to U.S. military intervention. It is in the CNN model, indicating that dependents who watch more CNN will have higher levels of expected behaviors than dependents who watch less.
Discussion In a general sense, descriptive analysis indicated the importance of cable news television in the United States. When asked about what news media people were relying on for information related to the potential war in Iraq, 32% indicated cable TV news. The only figure close to that was 28.8% for local TV news. Furthermore, among the cable news dependents, Fox News was the top choice, with almost 46% of the viewers. The next closest channel was CNN, at 26.9%. Multivariate analysis of variance rendered an interesting picture of what type of Americans are dependent on the five cable news channels. Most interesting here was the Republican dummy variable. As expected, Fox News had a significantly more Republican audience than the other channels. These analyses set the stage for the main thrust of the paper. We sought to examine whether support for U.S. military involvement and behaviors related to U.S. military involvement would differ by cable news dependency. We found that behaviors did not differ, when controlling for political party. Thus, it does not appear that the cable news channels have differing effects on dependents when it comes to the list of war-related behaviors. For example, if Fox News coverage was laden with sensational stories and gory images, Fox News dependents may be expected to have higher levels of fear related to the war and, as a result, higher levels of reactionary behaviors. This, however, was not the case, suggesting either that coverage of the war does not diverge in a way that would spur fear- or concern-related behaviors or that coverage of the war, even if divergent in this way, does not render dependents with different levels of behaviors that result from U.S. military intervention in Iraq. In contrast, there were significant differences for support for U.S. military involvement. In this case (see Table 1), Fox News dependents were more supportive of the war effort than were dependents of the other cable news channels. This ties in well with dependency theory, which indicates that media dependency rises during times of societal change and conflict, as do its effects on various dependent variables. Our analysis suggests that people who are dependent on Fox News have different attitudes when it comes to the lead-up to the war in Iraq. In comparison to dependents of other cable news channels, Fox News dependents favor U.S. action against Saddam Hussein. They oppose the pre-war withdraw of troops in the Middle East. They oppose additional attempts at diplomacy, believe that public demonstrations can undermine U.S. involvement in Iraq, and support U.S. troops no matter what happens. They are more pro-military, more Hawkish, while dependents of the other four cable news channels clump together in a more Dove-like fashion. Because our analysis does not suggest a direction of causation, we do not know why Fox News dependents hold higher levels of support for the military effort than do the other cable news dependents. We controlled for political party to get around the potential explanation that such differences are based in party membership. If we had not done so, it would have made sense that Republicans would be more pro-war simply because of their allegiance to President Bush. There are two other possibilities. First, via selective exposure, it could be that Fox News draws viewers, because they are stronger proponents of military action in Iraq, are more dependent upon Fox News' pro-war coverage. This model suggests that people rely on media-use behaviors that allow them to "attain and sustain perceptual control of particular events" (Zillmann & Bryant, 1985: p. 2). Second, via a media effects model, it could be that Fox News instills in people more pro-war attitudes. This model, we think, is most interesting and leads to several interesting questions. What aspects of Fox News broadcasts, even after controlling for political party, would lend themselves to having these differing effects on the American public? Would Fox News' more sensational coverage play a role, or is it possible that a political ideology measure would account for more variance than our measure of political party membership? It certainly seems that the war cheerleading and patriotic nature of Fox News coverage could spur this type of attitudinal development in Americans. Hierarchical regression was then used to explore further the role of the cable news channels. Exposure to Fox News and MSNBC was positively associated with levels of support for U.S. military involvement—and exposure to CNN was positively associated with levels of behaviors related to U.S. military involvement. In addition, though the correlations were not significant, the standardized coefficients were also positive for CNN and CNN Headline News. Thus, exposure seems to go hand-in-hand with the development of pro-war attitudes. As mentioned above, Fox News dependents have significantly more positive attitudes toward U.S. involvement in Iraq. The regression findings expand upon this, suggesting that the more dependents watch Fox News, the more pro-war they will be. This, again, can be explained in two ways. First, via selective exposure, it is possible that Fox News dependents who are pro-war watch Fox News more often than Fox News dependents who are less pro-war. Second, via a media effects model, it could be that exposure to Fox News encourages dependents to have more positive attitudes toward U.S. involvement in the war. The univariate analysis of variance and hierarchical regression findings tie in with the common critique that Fox News is bold, sensational, patriotic, and pro-war. This type of coverage, it appears, is associated with strong, Hawkish perspectives of U.S. military action in Iraq. In terms of the concept of "television diplomacy," it, thus, looks as though Fox News' portrayals of the war effort may be playing a positive effect in the grand U.S. military effort there. Fox News coverage appears to be fostering pro-war attitudes, which are an important element of a contemporary war effort. These findings, we hope, will foster further research and discussion about the nature of news coverage and its effects, especially within the realm of U.S. military action in the Middle East. We hope future researchers will continue to examine relationships between cable news coverage and American attitudes toward foreign policy. Such research could also examine different attitudinal and knowledge-related dimensions to how the dependents of different cable news channels view the war. In addition, we hope that journalists at cable news channels such as Fox News and CNN will pay heed to our findings and better understand the potential ramifications of their coverage of U.S. military efforts.
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Table 1
Table 2 Factor Analysis Rotated Component Matrix Attitudes & Behaviors related to the war in Iraq 1 2 U.S. should take action 0.85
Approval of President Bush 0.84
U.S. should give sanctions more time 0.78
U.S. should pull troops out 0.74
Demonstrations undermine U.S. military 0.54
There should be support for U.S. troops 0.47
Avoid any airplane travel
0.79 Avoid going to public gatherings
0.71 Stock up on goods or products
0.69 Avoid any overseas travel
0.62 Drive less to save gas
0.60 Variance accounted for 28.41 21.73 Eigenvalue 3.13 2.39
Table 3 Table 4 Appendix
Support for U.S. military involvement The United States should take action against Saddam Hussein's regime in Iraq.* The United States should pull all of its troops out of the Middle East. (reversed)* The United States should give sanctions and trade restrictions against Iraq more time to work. (reversed)* Public demonstrations against U.S. involvement in Iraq undermine U.S. military.* There should be public support for U.S. troops no matter what happens.* How much do you approve of the way President Bush is handling the situation in Iraq?**
* Responses from "strongly disagree" (1) to "strongly agree" (5). ** Response from "strongly disapprove" (1) to "strongly approve" (5).
Behaviors related to U.S. military involvement How much do you expect to do each of the following things if war between the United States and Iraq does occur? Drive less to save gas and avoid high gas prices. Avoid any overseas travel you may have been planning. Avoid any airplane travel within the United States you may have been planning. Stock up on good or products that may become scares in a war. Avoid going to public gatherings such as movies, concerts, or sporting events that may attract a crowd.
Responses from "much less likely" (1) to "much more likely" (5).
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